2018 United States Senate election in New York explained

Election Name:	2018 United States Senate election in New York
Country:	New York
Flag Image:	Flag of New York (1909–2020).svg
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2012 United States Senate election in New York
Previous Year:	2012
Next Election:	2024 United States Senate election in New York
Next Year:	2024
Election Date:	November 6, 2018
Turnout:	47.99%
Image1:	Kirsten Gillibrand, official photo, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Kirsten Gillibrand
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	4,056,931
Percentage1:	67.00%
Nominee2:	Chele Farley
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	1,998,220
Percentage2:	33.00%
Map Size:	300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:	Kirsten Gillibrand
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Kirsten Gillibrand
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.

Democratic primary

Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.

Candidates

Nominee

• Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator^{[1] [2]}

Failed to file

• Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon^{[3] [4]}

Declined

• Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former senator Hillary Clinton^[5]
• Andrew Cuomo, incumbent New York Governor
• Caroline Kennedy, former United States Ambassador to Japan, daughter of former president John F. Kennedy and member of the Kennedy family^[6]
• Andrew Yang, entrepreneur (ran for Democratic presidential nomination in 2020)^[7]

Republican primary

The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.^[8]

Candidates

Nominee

• Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive^[9]

Failed to file

• Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate^[4]
• Patrick John Hahn, civic activist^[4]
• Rafael Arden Jones Sr.^[4]
• David A. Webber^[4]

Declined

• Chris Gibson, former U.S. Representative^[10]
• Joseph Holland, former Commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal^[11] (running for Governor)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[12]		October 26, 2018
Inside Elections^[13]		November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[14]		November 5, 2018
Fox News^[15]		July 9, 2018
CNN^[16]		July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[17]		June 7, 2018

†Highest rating given

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	Farley (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.^[18]	November 1–3, 2018	450	± 4.6%	align=center	60%	32%	–	8%
Siena College^[19]	October 28 – November 1, 2018	641	± 3.9%	align=center	58%	35%	0%	8%
Quinnipiac University^[20]	October 10–16, 2018	852	± 4.4%	align=center	58%	33%	0%	8%
Siena College^[21]	September 20–27, 2018	701	± 3.9%	align=center	61%	29%	0%	9%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)^[22]	August 29–30, 2018	2,783	± 1.9%	align=center	51%	36%	–	13%
Quinnipiac University^[23]	July 12–16, 2018	934	± 4.1%	align=center	57%	30%	1%	10%
Siena College^[24]	June 4–7, 2018	745	± 3.7%	align=center	61%	28%	0%	8%
Quinnipiac University^[25]	April 26 – May 1, 2018	1,076	± 3.7%	align=center	58%	23%	1%	16%
Siena College^[26]	April 8–12, 2018	692	± 4.3%	align=center	58%	27%	0%	13%
Siena College^[27]	March 11–16, 2018	772	± 4.0%	align=center	60%	24%	0%	14%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.^[28]

District	Gillibrand	Farley	Representative
		53%	47%		Lee Zeldin
		54%	46%		Peter T. King
		59%	41%		Thomas Suozzi
		60%	40%		Kathleen Rice
		89%	10%		Gregory Meeks
		72%	28%		Grace Meng
		92%	8%		Nydia Velázquez
		90%	10%		Hakeem Jeffries
		89%	11%		Yvette Clarke
		83%	16%		Jerry Nadler
		55%	45%		Max Rose
		87%	13%		Carolyn Maloney
		95%	5%		Adriano Espaillat
		83%	16%		Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
		96%	4%		Jose E. Serrano
		79%	21%		Eliot Engel
		66%	34%		Nita Lowey
		57%	43%		Sean Patrick Maloney
		56%	44%		Antonio Delgado
		63%	37%		Paul Tonko
		53%	47%		Elise Stefanik
		51%	49%		Anthony Brindisi
		51%	49%		Tom Reed
		58%	42%		John Katko
		63%	37%		Joe Morelle
		68%	32%		Brian Higgins
		47%	53%		Chris Collins

External links

• • • • Candidates at Vote Smart Candidates at Ballotpedia Campaign finance at FEC Campaign finance at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) for Senate
• Chele Farley (R) for Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: Madina Toure . Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions . Observer . December 4, 2016 . February 20, 2018.
2. Web site: Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it . Politico.com . February 16, 2018 . February 20, 2018.
3. Web site: DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview. March 16, 2018.
4. News: Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election . NY Board of Elections . April 12, 2018 . June 26, 2018 . May 4, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160504084538/http://www.elections.ny.gov:8080/reports/rwservlet?cmdkey=whofiled_primary . dead .
5. Web site: Beavers . Olivia . Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report . . 18 March 2023 . 29 March 2017.
6. Web site: Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton? . New York Post . Oppenheimer . Jerry . January 22, 2017 . January 24, 2017.
7. Web site: The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand. Bernstein. Jonathan. February 16, 2018. www.bloomberg.com.
8. Web site: Jimmy Vielkind . Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand . Politico . March 2, 2018 . March 20, 2018.
9. Web site: GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand. The Buffalo News. February 2, 2018. February 2, 2018. Jerry. Zremski.
10. Web site: Hamilton . Matthew . Gibson talks book, Trump . Times Union . October 1, 2017 . February 20, 2018.
11. Web site: George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand. New York Daily News. Kenneth. Lovett. January 7, 2018. January 10, 2018.
12. Web site: 2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018. The Cook Political Report. March 13, 2021.
13. Web site: 2018 Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. March 13, 2021.
14. Web site: 2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings. Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 11, 2017.
15. Web site: 2018 Senate Power Rankings. Fox News. July 10, 2018.
16. Web site: Key Races: Senate. July 15, 2018.
17. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2018. July 15, 2018.
18. https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Tables_Midterms_04Nov2018.pdf Research Co.
19. https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/SNY1018LV-Crosstabs_37042.pdf Siena College
20. https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny10182018_nabf28.pdf Quinnipiac University
21. https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/SNY092818-Crosstabs.pdf Siena College
22. https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/ab18ad_d0b29b508b0c452fa9f38c9225d0f0df.docx?dn=State-Wide%20August%20-%20Toplines.docx Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)
23. https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny07182018_nkaf26.pdf Quinnipiac University
24. https://web.archive.org/web/20180613152543/https://www2.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0618_Crosstabs.pdf Siena College
25. https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny05022018_nwjo161.pdf Quinnipiac University
26. https://web.archive.org/web/20180417190618/https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0418_Crosstabs.pdf Siena College
27. https://web.archive.org/web/20180320002922/https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0318_Crosstabs.pdf Siena College
28. Web site: DRA 2020. Daves Redistricting. August 18, 2024.