Canadian federal election results in Northern Ontario explained

This page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Northern Ontario.

Regional profile

Northern Ontario has traditionally been one of the more left-leaning areas of Ontario, with strong support for reformist and social democratic policies. This region has traditionally been a two-way split between the Liberals and New Democratic Party (NDP). However, the Liberals held every seat here during their Ontario sweeps from 1993 to 2000. The NDP regained two seats in 2004 and produced very strong results in many other ridings. They were unable to pick up any more in 2006, but came close in almost every riding, and they swept much of the region in 2008.

The Conservatives are traditionally weak in this region, except in the Parry Sound—Muskoka riding bordering Central Ontario, which they were able to pick up in the 2006 election in a very close race. The Conservatives also have some strength in Kenora, which has often seen close three-way races between all three major parties and was won by the Conservatives in 2008. This changed in 2011, when the meltdown of Liberal support allowed the Conservatives to pick up an additional two seats, leaving the Liberals completely shut out of northern Ontario for the first time in decades.

In 2015, however, the Liberals took seven ridings, many of which they had lost in 2008. The NDP held onto two ridings, while Parry Sound-Muskoka remained with the Conservatives.

In 2019, the Conservatives overtook the NDP for second place in terms of vote share in the region, and they took the riding of Kenora.

In 2021, the Conservatives overtook the Liberals for first place in terms of vote share in the region, but no seats changed parties.

Votes by party throughout time

Election /
1979166,292
40.4%
133,687
32.5%
108,925
26.5%
1,567
0.4%
1980189,730
46.9%
138,373
34.2%
74,776
18.5%
1,057
0.3%
1984139,642
32.2%
126,234
29.1%
166,122
38.3%
1,283
0.3%
1988158,146
36.5%
136,328
31.4%
127,363
29.4%
1,824
0.4%
1993259,203
59.1%
54,397
12.4%
48,800
11.1%
68,955
15.7%
6,783
1.5%
1997192,456
48.5%
82,298
20.7%
513
0.1%
47,648
12.0%
71,872
18.1%
1,851
0.5%
2000186,988
51.4%
60,343
16.6%
5,409
1.5%
30,527
8.4%
79,618
21.9%
343
0.1%
2004155,063
41.1%
95,902
25.4%
109,575
29.0%
14,281
3.8%
906
0.2%
2006160,408
38.7%
103,814
25.0%
131,663
31.8%
14,450
3.5%
396
0.1%
2008106,626
28.9%
109,533
29.7%
128,120
34.8%
22,403
6.1%
868
0.2%
201173,799
18.9%
139,146
35.6%
162,474
41.6%
14,364
3.7%
693
0.2%
2015185,992
42.4%
111,667
25.5%
120,743
27.5%
19,157
4.4%
1,080
0.2%
2019151,597
35.2%
122,495
28.5%
115,962
27.0%
29,641
6.9%
9,267
2.2%
892
0.2%
2021132,008
31.4%
135,947
32.4%
112,993
26.9%
7,283
1.7%
30,982
7.4%
680
0.2%

2021

See main article: 2021 Canadian federal election.

2019

See main article: 2019 Canadian federal election.

2015

See main article: 2015 Canadian federal election.

2011

See main article: 2011 Canadian federal election.

2008

See main article: 2008 Canadian federal election.

2006

See main article: 2006 Canadian federal election.

2004

See main article: 2004 Canadian federal election.

2000

See main article: 2000 Canadian federal election.