Canadian federal election results in Edmonton and environs explained

This page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Edmonton and the surrounding area.

Regional profile

Edmonton is far friendlier to centre-left parties than the rest of Alberta. It is the current base of the provincial NDP. The NDP scored an upset victory in the 2015 provincial election in part by taking all of Edmonton, and held all but one Edmonton seat even as it lost its majority dominance in the Legislature in 2019.

However, Edmonton has been historically more conservative than most other large cities in Canada. Since 1958, Conservatives have won more of the seats here than any other party, although in most cases with smaller pluralities than the astronomical margins in rural Alberta. Social Credit, at first a radical movement but by the 1940's morphing into a conservative-style party, took several seats between 1935 and 1958. From 1972 to 1988, Conservatives won every Edmonton seat, although occasionally with less than half the votes in the district. (A Conservative won the Edmonton Strathcona seat four times with less than half of the votes during that period - in 1962 with just a bit more than a third of the votes.)

From 1935 to 2008, the CCF/NDP won only one seat in Edmonton (the only one in all of Alberta), despite taking as much as 18% of the province-wide federal vote. The NDP won an Alberta seat in 1988 when Ross Harvey won Edmonton East.

Edmonton is the only part of Alberta where the federal Liberals have consistently broken through in recent times (since 1993). It held two to four seats here from 1993 to 2006, although never winning by large margins. The Liberals lost all their Edmonton seats in 2006, but won more in 2015 before losing them again in 2021. The four seats the Liberals won in 1993 were the first they had won anywhere in Alberta since 1968.

In 2006, the Conservatives again achieved a total sweep of Alberta, repeating their 1958-1988 shut-outs, but this was broken by the New Democratic Party in Edmonton-Strathcona in 2008. The NDP has held this seat every election since, including the 2011. In 2011, the NDP finished second in all the other Edmonton-area ridings except Edmonton-Sherwood Park (where it came in third behind the Conservative winner and an independent candidate).

The safest Tory seats are located in the more suburban ridings outside of the city core. From 2004 to 2011, their best riding in the region was Edmonton—Spruce Grove, most of which is now Edmonton West. In 2011, for instance, the Conservatives won 71% of the vote there. They also won more than 60% of the vote in Edmonton—St. Albert, Edmonton—Leduc and Edmonton—Mill Woods—Beaumont.

Liberals, on the other hand, have recently had most of their success in the downtown ridings, not in the suburbs. Liberals won seats in 2015 and 2019. One of the Liberal victories in 2015 was in Edmonton Centre.

The NDP, both provincially and federally, has had proven popularity in the university-oriented and culturally-diverse area of Old Strathcona, and recently has come in second or better in almost all the ridings in the Edmonton area.

In 2015, the Liberals took two ridings, the NDP retained Edmonton Strathcona, and the Tories held the remainder. In 2019, Conservatives took all the Edmonton ridings except Edmonton Strathcona, which remained in NDP hands as the only non-Tory riding in Alberta. The Conservatives' dominance in the Edmonton representation was achieved despite Conservative candidates taking a combined 55 percent of the city vote. The near-total NDP shut-out was achieved despite the NDP taking 20 percent of the city vote. Such was repeated in 2021.[1]

Votes by party throughout time

2015

See main article: 2015 Canadian federal election.

2011

See main article: 2011 Canadian federal election.

2008

See main article: 2008 Canadian federal election.

2006

See main article: 2006 Canadian federal election.

2004

See main article: 2004 Canadian federal election.

Maps

  1. Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
  2. Edmonton Centre
  3. Edmonton East
  4. Edmonton-Leduc
  5. Edmonton-St. Albert
  6. Edmonton-Sherwood Park
  7. Edmonton-Spruce Grove
  8. Edmonton-Strathcona

2000

See main article: 2000 Canadian federal election. |-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Edmonton Centre-East||Sue Olsen
14,323
34.21%|||Peter Goldring
17,768
42.44%||Ray Martin
7,304
17.44%||Kevin Mahfouz
2,252
5.38%||Naomi Rankin (Comm.)
222
0.53%|||Peter Goldring|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Edmonton North||Jim Jacuta
14,786
34.33%|||Deborah Grey
22,063
51.22%||Laurie Lang
3,216
7.47%||Dean Sanduga
3,010
6.99%|||||Deborah Grey|-|rowspan=3 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Edmonton Southeast|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |David Kilgour
21,109
50.87%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Tim Uppal
16,392
39.51%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Joginder Kandola
1,285
3.10%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Allan Ryan
2,269
5.47%||Matthew James (Comm.)
97 0.23%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |David Kilgour|-||Michael Sekuloff (CAP)
154 0.37%|-||Richard Shelford (NLP)
187 0.45%|-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Edmonton Southwest|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Chiu Lau
18,223
33.98%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |James Rajotte
26,197
48.85%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Bernie Keeler
2,746
5.12%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Joseph Fernando
5,803
10.82%||Wade McKinley (NLP)
195 0.36%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Ian McClelland|-||Jerry Paschen (Green)
462 0.86%|-|rowspan=3 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Edmonton—Strathcona|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Jonathan Dai
17,816
31.89%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Rahim Jaffer
23,463
42.00%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Hélène Narayana
8,256
14.78%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Gregory Toogood
5,047
9.04%||Kevan Hunter (M-L)
164 0.29%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Rahim Jaffer|-||Ken Kirk (Mar.)
814 1.46%|-||Kesa Rose Semenchuk (CAP)
299 0.54%|-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Edmonton West|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Anne McLellan
21,978
44.24%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Betty Unger
21,245
42.77%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Richard D. Vanderberg
2,895
5.83%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Rory J. Koopmans
3,009
6.06%||Peggy Morton (M-L)
194 0.39%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Anne McLellan|-||Dan Parker (CAP)
354 0.71%|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |St. Albert||Bob Russell
13,637
24.78%|||John Williams
32,745
59.50%||John Williams
2,965
5.39%||Andy Jones
5,687
10.33%|||||John Williams|}

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Elections Canada - Official Website .