Canadian federal election results in Central Toronto explained

This page shows results of Canadian federal elections in the central, earlier-development areas of Toronto—in particular, Old Toronto (what was the city of Toronto prior to the 1998 amalgamation), the former Borough of York, most of the former City of East York, and the southern, older portions of the former City of North York, in particular those south of Highway 401 and west of Leslie Street.

Regional profile

Until 1962, most ridings in inner Toronto were Progressive Conservative strongholds, aside from splits with the Liberals in the 1949 and 1953 elections. Since 1962, Central Toronto, particularly Old Toronto, has generally leaned to the political left or centre-left. Most elections in the 1960s resulted in a small handful (most often two or three) of New Democratic Party (NDP) seats with the Liberals taking all or most of the rest. Between 1972 and 1988, inclusive, the Tories usually split Toronto seats almost evenly with the Liberals (1972, 1979, 1984) or were reduced to about the same number of seats as the NDP (1974, 1980, 1988) with the Grits taking the lion's share. In 1993, 1997, and 2000, the Grits held every seat in the former Metro Toronto, in some cases with large margins. The NDP broke through to win a seat in the 2004 election, when its new leader Jack Layton took Toronto–Danforth, and did slightly better in each of the next two elections, held in 2006 and 2008.

In 2011, the Liberal vote collapsed under the onslaught of both the Conservatives and the NDP, with the Conservatives taking two uptown ridings, the Liberals retaining two downtown ridings along Yonge Street, and the NDP winning the remaining six. Before then, centre-right parties had been completely shut out in central Toronto since the PCs lost all their seats in 1993. The region reverted to its post-1990 form in 2015, as a massive surge in Liberal support allowed the Liberals to sweep Toronto. However, growing discontent with Justin Trudeau's government led to the Conservatives winning a by-election in Toronto-St Paul's, with Don Stewart winning by less than 2%, making it the first time the Conservatives won a riding inside the 416 since 2011.

Votes by party throughout time

Election /
1979154,547
38.5%
90,968
22.7%
149,203
37.2%
5,569
1.4%
1980168,155
44.0%
83,187
21.8%
124,224
32.5%
4,238
1.1%
1984137,437
33.6%
101,801
24.9%
3,344
0.8%
160,470
39.2%
4,659
1.1%
1988186,773
42.6%
92,398
21.1%
1,358
0.3%
148,915
34.0%
6,174
1.4%
1993239,384
56.3%
44,803
10.5%
2,895
0.7%
64,480
15.2%
53,485
12.6%
19,413
4.6%
1997213,314
50.3%
80,669
19.0%
4,377
1.0%
67,657
16.0%
35,110
8.3%
22,815
5.4%
2000218,459
53.6%
62,897
15.4%
5,483
1.3%
55,393
13.6%
41,017
10.1%
18,784
4.6%
2004244,018
52.0%
75,063
16.0%
125,218
26.7%
21,548
4.6%
1,041
0.2%
2006239,455
46.5%
98,414
19.1%
148,843
28.9%
25,164
4.9%
1,807
0.4%
2008201,095
43.2%
98,158
21.1%
120,695
25.9%
42,406
9.1%
2,362
0.5%
2011164,142
32.8%
127,066
25.4%
185,200
37.0%
20,721
4.1%
1,827
0.4%
2015291,170
49.5%
118,875
20.2%
156,260
26.6%
15,685
2.7%
3,627
0.6%
2019324,644
52.8%
109,889
17.9%
135,115
22.0%
35,549
5.8%
6,411
1.0%
1,016
0.2%
2021238,814
44.7%
106,538
20.0%
134,098
25.1%
18,332
3.4%
15,243
2.9%
19,583
3.7%

Detailed results

2021

See main article: 2021 Canadian federal election. |-|rowspan=3 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Beaches—East York|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
28,919
56.58%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Lisa Robinson
7,336
14.35%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Alejandra Ruiz Vargas
11,513
22.52%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Reuben Anthony DeBoer
1,388
2.72%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Radu Rautescu
1,613
3.16%||Philip Fernandez (M-L)
50 0.10%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Nathaniel Erskine-Smith|-||Jennifer Moxon (Comm.)
131 0.26%|-||Karen Lee Wilde (Ind.)
166 0.32%|-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Davenport
(judicial recount terminated)|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Julie Dzerowicz
19,930
42.13%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Jenny Kalimbet
4,774
10.09%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Alejandra Bravo
19,854
41.97%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Adrian Currie
1,087
2.30%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Tara Dos Remedios
1,499
3.17%||Chai Kalevar (Ind.)
77 0.16%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Julie Dzerowicz|-||Troy Young (Ind.)
86 0.18%|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Don Valley West|||Rob Oliphant
24,798
52.75%||Yvonne Robertson
16,695
35.51%||Syeda Riaz
3,814
8.11%||Elvira Caputolan
761
1.62%||Michael Minas
881
1.87%||Adil Khan (Cent.)
65
0.14%|||Rob Oliphant|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Eglinton—Lawrence|||Marco Mendicino
24,051
48.48%||Geoff Pollock
18,082
36.45%||Caleb Senneker
4,543
9.16%||Eric Frydman
1,490
3.00%||Timothy Gleeson
1,445
2.91%|||||Marco Mendicino|-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Parkdale—High Park|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Arif Virani
22,307
42.45%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Nestor Sanajko
6,815
12.97%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Paul Taylor
20,602
39.21%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Diem Marchand-Lafortune
957
1.82%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Wilfried Richard Alexander Danzinger
1,642
3.13%||Lorne Gershuny (M-L)
90 0.17%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Arif Virani|-||Terry Parker (Mar.)
130 0.25%|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Spadina—Fort York|||Kevin Vuong
18,991
38.90%||Sukhi Jandu
9,875
20.23%||Norm Di Pasquale
16,834
34.48%||Amanda Rosenstock
1,645
3.37%||Ian Roden
1,476
3.02%|||||Adam Vaughan$[1] |-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Toronto Centre|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Marci Ien
23,071
50.35%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Ryan Lester
5,571
12.16%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Brian Chang
11,909
25.99%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Annamie Paul
3,921
8.56%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Syed Jaffery
1,047
2.29%||Ivan Byard (Comm.)
181 0.40%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Marci Ien|-||Peter Stubbins (Animal)
117 0.26%|-|rowspan=3 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Toronto—Danforth|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Julie Dabrusin
25,214
48.36%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Michael Carey
6,547
12.56%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Clare Hacksel
17,555
33.67%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Maryem Tollar
1,023
1.96%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Wayne Simmons
1,282
2.46%||Habiba Desai (Ind.)
123 0.24%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3 |Julie Dabrusin|-||Elizabeth Rowley (Comm.)
215 0.41%|-||Liz White (Animal)
183 0.35%|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Toronto—St. Paul's|||Carolyn Bennett
26,429
49.22%||Stephanie Osadchuk
13,587
25.30%||Sidney Coles
9,036
16.83%||Phil De Luna
3,214
5.99%||Peter Remedios
1,432
2.67%|||||Carolyn Bennett|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |University—Rosedale|||Chrystia Freeland
22,451
47.53%||Steven Taylor
9,473
20.06%||Nicole Robicheau
11,921
25.24%||Tim Grant
1,974
4.18%||David Kent
1,172
2.48%||Drew Garvie (Comm.)
244
0.52%|||Chrystia Freeland|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |York South—Weston|||Ahmed Hussen
21,644
56.12%||Sajanth Mohan
7,783
20.18%||Hawa Mire
6,517
16.90%||Nicki Ward
872
2.26%||Sitara Chiu
1,754
4.55%|||||Ahmed Hussen|}

2019

See main article: 2019 Canadian federal election.

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
11000
0740
0470
00011
|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Beaches—East York|||Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
32,647
57.20%||Nadirah Nazeer
8,026
14.06%||Mae J. Nam
12,196
21.37%||Sean Manners
3,378
5.92%||Deborah McKenzie
831
1.46%|||||Nathaniel Erskine-Smith|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Davenport|||Julie Dzerowicz
23,251
43.72%||Sanjay Bhatia
4,921
9.25%||Andrew Cash
21,812
41.02%||Hannah Conover-Arthurs
2,397
4.51%||Francesco Ciardullo
496
0.93%||Chai Kalevar (Ind.)
79
0.15%
Elizabeth Rowley (Comm.)
138
0.26%
Troy Young (Ind.)
86
0.16%|||Julie Dzerowicz|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Don Valley West|||Rob Oliphant
29,148
55.80%||Yvonne Robertson
16,304
31.21%||Laurel MacDowell
3,804
7.28%||Amanda Kistindey
2,257
4.32%||Ian Prittie
444
0.85%||John Kittredge (Libert.)
277
0.53%|||Rob Oliphant|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Eglinton—Lawrence|||Marco Mendicino
29,850
53.30%||Chani Aryeh-Bain
18,549
33.12%||Alexandra Nash
4,741
8.47%||Reuben DeBoer
2,278
4.07%||Michael Staffieri
586
1.05%|||||Marco Mendicino|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Parkdale—High Park|||Arif Virani
28,852
47.39%||Adam Pham
8,015
13.16%||Paul M. Taylor
19,180
31.50%||Nick Capra
3,916
6.43%||Greg Wycliffe
643
1.06%||Lorne Gershuny (M-L)
43
0.07%
Alykhan Pabani (Comm.)
119
0.20%
Terry Parker (Mar.)
119
0.20%|||Arif Virani|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Spadina—Fort York|||Adam Vaughan
33,822
55.77%||Frank Fang
10,680
17.61%||Diana Yoon
12,188
20.10%||Dean Maher
3,174
5.23%||Robert Stewart
672
1.11%||Marcela Ramirez (Ind.)
114
0.19%|||Adam Vaughan|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Toronto Centre|||Bill Morneau
31,271
57.37%||Ryan Lester
6,613
12.13%||Brian Chang
12,142
22.27%||Annamie Paul
3,852
7.07%||||Sean Carson (Rhino.)
147
0.27%
Bronwyn Cragg (Comm.)
125
0.23%
Philip Fernandez (M-L)
54
0.10%
Rob Lewin (Animal)
182
0.33%
Jason Tavares (Ind.)
126
0.23%|||Bill Morneau|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Toronto—Danforth|||Julie Dabrusin
27,681
47.68%||Zia Choudhary
6,091
10.49%||Min Sook Lee
19,283
33.21%||Chris Tolley
3,761
6.48%||Tara Dos Remedios
621
1.07%||Elizabeth Abbott (Animal)
261
0.45%
Ivan Byard (Comm.)
151
0.26%
John Kladitis (Ind.)
210
0.36%|||Julie Dabrusin|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Toronto—St. Paul's|||Carolyn Bennett
32,494
54.31%||Jae Truesdell
12,933
21.61%||Alok Mukherjee
9,442
15.78%||Sarah Climenhaga
4,042
6.76%||John Kellen
923
1.54%|||||Carolyn Bennett|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |University—Rosedale|||Chrystia Freeland
29,652
51.67%||Helen-Claire Tingling
9,342
16.28%||Melissa Jean-Baptiste Vajda
12,573
21.91%||Tim Grant
4,861
8.47%||Aran Lockwood
510
0.89%||Karin Brothers (SCC)
124
0.22%
Drew Garvie (Comm.)
143
0.25%
Steve Rutschinski (M-L)
27
0.05%
Liz White (Animal)
159
0.28%|||Chrystia Freeland|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |York South—Weston|||Ahmed Hussen
25,976
58.42%||Jasveen Rattan
8,415
18.93%||Yafet Tewelde
7,754
17.44%||Nicki Ward
1,633
3.67%||Gerard Racine
685
1.54%|||||Ahmed Hussen|}

2015

See main article: 2015 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
11000
0830
0380
00011

2011

See main article: 2011 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
6130
2800
2170
00010

2008

See main article: 2008 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
8200
2440
0460
00010

2006

See main article: 2006 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
7300
3430
0370
00010

2004

See main article: 2004 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
9100
1630
0370
00010

Maps

  1. Beaches-East York
  2. Davenport
  3. Don Valley West
  4. Eglinton-Lawrence
  5. Parkdale-High Park
  6. St. Paul's
  7. Toronto Centre
  8. Toronto-Danforth
  9. Trinity-Spadina
  10. York South-Weston

2000

See main article: 2000 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
10000
0523
0442
0145

1997

See main article: 1997 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
9100
1000
0631
0343
0045

1993

See main article: 1993 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
10000
0406
0361
0343

1988

See main article: 1988 Canadian federal election.

Party rankings

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd Total
55010
32510
23510

Seats won/lost by party

Party1984Gain from (loss to)1988
colspan="2" align="center" width="50"Lib. colspan="2" align="center" width="50"PC colspan="2" align="center" width="50"NDP
4+10+1(1)5
40(1)003
3+1(1)002

Notes and References

  1. News: Dhanraj . Travis . Toronto MP Adam Vaughan will not run in next federal election . 8 August 2021 . . 8 August 2021.