Brandon East Explained

Brandon East
Province:Manitoba
Prov-Status:active
Prov-Rep:Glen Simard
Prov-Rep-Party:NDP
Demo-Census-Date:2016
Demo-Pop:23045
Prov-Created:1968
Prov-Election-First:1969
Prov-Election-Last:2023
Demo-Electors:14292
Demo-Electors-Date:2019
Demo-Area:43
Demo-Csd:Brandon

Brandon East (French: Brandon-Est) is a provincial electoral division in the province of Manitoba, Canada. It encompasses the southeastern part of the City of Brandon.

Historical riding

The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City and riding of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.

Current riding

The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.

The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Spruce Woods in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is in the southwestern region of the province.

Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.

Brandon East had been a safe seat for the New Democratic Party since its re-creation. This changed at the 2016 election, in which Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.

At the 2015 Canadian federal election, according to data from Elections Canada, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a marginal seat between the Conservative and Liberal parties, with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]

In the 2018 redistribution, the part of the riding north of the Assiniboine River was moved to Spruce Woods.

List of provincial representatives

AssemblyYearsMemberParty6th1886–1888James A. SmartLiberal
29th1969–1973Len EvansNew Democratic
30th1973–1977
31st1977–1981
32nd1981–1986
33rd1986–1988
34th1988–1990
35th1990–1995
36th1995–1999
37th1999–2003Drew Caldwell
38th2003–2007
39th2007–2011
40th2011–2016
41st2016–2019Len IsleifsonProgressive Conservative
42nd2019–2023
43rd2023–presentGlen SimardNew Democratic

Opinion polls

width=20%Polling Firmwidth=20%Last Date of PollingLink width=10% align="center"NDP width=10% align="center"PC width=10% align="center"Liberal width=10% align="center"Green width=10% align="center"Other
Probe Research IncPDF1841383
Probe Research IncPDF2840266

Election results

2016

2016 provincial election redistributed results[3]
Party%
 51.5
 36.4
 12.1

1886

References

49.835°N -99.894°W

Notes and References

  1. CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
  2. Probe Research, December 2015
  3. Web site: New Manitoba election boundaries give upper hand to Progressive Conservatives, CBC News analysis finds. 2019-08-27. Marcoux. Jacques. CBC . 2023-08-29.