Average earnings index (horse racing) explained

Average earnings index (AEI) is a popular statistic used in North American Thoroughbred horse breeding. It is used to put the earnings of a breeding animal's progeny into proper perspective.

Method

The average earnings index measures the earning power of a stallion or mare's offspring by comparing the average earnings of a given horse's progeny with all other runners of the same age that raced in the same country in a given period of time. The average is stated as a value of 1.00. The AEI is calculated for each year a horse has offspring racing and can be averaged for all years that horse has had first generation descendants on the track.[1]

The AEI can be used for additional comparisons, such as the composite AEI of a sire or damsire based on all of his progeny. Another way it is used is to compare stallions from one generation to the next, because it compensates for the changing value of currency over time.[2]

Development

The AEI was developed in 1948 by Joe Estes of The Blood-Horse magazine. It originally could only be used to calculate numbers for sires and, beginning in the 1950s, broodmare sires. It was only with the addition of computer power beginning in the 1970s and 1980s that a full analysis of mares could be added to the equations and determine the AEI for various crosses.[3]

Criticism

Although considered by some an industry standard,[3] the AEI is criticized as easily skewed by the influence of a single exceptional horse in a given year and favors horses that throw "durable types" of horses that have multiple starts in a given year, including at lower-level races.[4]

Examples

A stallion's career AEI can be found by looking up the pedigree of any of their offspring in The Jockey Club's online pedigree database, equineline.com. The AEI figures for various leading American sires are:

As noted above, a stallion's career AEI can be found by looking up the pedigree of any of their offspring in The Jockey Club's online pedigree database, equineline.com. Sunday Silence's career AEI, according to the Jockey Club's online pedigree database (which includes all career earnings throughout the entire world), equineline.com, is 2.55.[16] Sunday Silence's career AEI, according to Racing Post, is 2.15. However Racing Post warns details of horses trained outside GB and Ireland may be incomplete.[17]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Directory of Reference-Average Earnings Index . equineline.com . March 7, 2014.
  2. News: The five cross files . Blood Horse . Scot . Gillies . April 21, 2009.
  3. Book: Mitchell, Frank . Racehorse Breeding Theories. The Russell Meerdink Company, Ltd . 69 . 2004. 9780929346755 .
  4. Web site: The Language of Numbers . thoroughbredreview.com . June 22, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20111111135012/http://www.thoroughbredreview.com/languageofnumbers.htm . 2011-11-11 .
  5. Web site: 5-Cross Pedigree of Secretariat with stallion statistics for Bold Ruler. equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  6. Web site: Bold Ruler by Nasrullah. equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  7. Web site: Easy Goer by Alydar. equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  8. Web site: Ferdinand by Nijinsky II. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017. en.
  9. Web site: Citation by Bull Lea. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017. en.
  10. Web site: Nijinsky by Northern Dancer. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  11. Web site: Danzig Connection by Danzig. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  12. Web site: Fusaichi Pegasus by Mr. Prospector. equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  13. Web site: Tabasco Cat by Storm Cat. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  14. Web site: Sunday Silence by Halo. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  15. Web site: Mineshaft by A.P. Indy. www.equineline.com. 22 April 2017.
  16. Web site: Silent Name by Sunday Silence. www.equineline.com. 7 November 2018.
  17. Web site: Sunday Silence Stud Record . Racing Post . November 7, 2018 . November 7, 2018 .