| Election Name: | 2003 Asturian regional election |
| Country: | Asturias |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 1999 Asturian regional election |
| Previous Year: | 1999 |
| Next Election: | 2007 Asturian regional election |
| Next Year: | 2007 |
| Elected Members: | 6th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias |
| Seats For Election: | All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias |
| Majority Seats: | 23 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 976,104 |
| Turnout: | 623,149 (63.8%) 0.2 pp |
| Election Date: | 25 May 2003 |
| Leader1: | Vicente Álvarez Areces |
| Party1: | Asturian Socialist Federation |
| Leader Since1: | 14 June 1998 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Central |
| Last Election1: | 24 seats, 46.0% |
| Seats1: | 22 |
| Seat Change1: | 2 |
| Popular Vote1: | 250,474 |
| Percentage1: | 40.5% |
| Swing1: | 5.5 pp |
| Leader2: | Ovidio Sánchez |
| Party2: | People's Party of Asturias |
| Leader Since2: | 9 December 1998 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Central |
| Last Election2: | 15 seats, 32.3% |
| Seats2: | 19 |
| Seat Change2: | 4 |
| Popular Vote2: | 242,396 |
| Percentage2: | 39.2% |
| Swing2: | 6.9 pp |
| Leader3: | Francisco Javier García Valledor |
| Party3: | IU–BA |
| Colour3: | 732021 |
| Leader Since3: | April 2000 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Central |
| Last Election3: | 3 seats, 9.0% |
| Seats3: | 4 |
| Seat Change3: | 1 |
| Popular Vote3: | 68,360 |
| Percentage3: | 11.0% |
| Swing3: | 2.0 pp |
| Map Size: | 350px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Vicente Álvarez Areces |
| Before Party: | Asturian Socialist Federation |
| After Election: | Vicente Álvarez Areces |
| After Party: | Asturian Socialist Federation |
The 2003 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 6th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:
Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[2]
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [4]
The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 25 May 2003.[1] [2] [4]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | URAS | PAS | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 regional election | 25 May 2003 | 63.8 | 40.5 | 39.2 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ||
| Sigma Dos/Antena 3[5] | 25 May 2003 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | ? | |
| Ipsos–Eco/RTVE[6] | 25 May 2003 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | ? | |
| InvesMark/El Comercio[7] | 2–8 May 2003 | 1,600 | 61.5 | 48.6 | 30.8 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 17.8 | |
| CIS[8] [9] | 22 Mar–28 Apr 2003 | 1,287 | 73.0 | 45.7 | 30.7 | 11.2 | 4.8 | – | 15.0 | |
| Vox Pública/El Periódico[10] [11] | 23–24 Apr 2003 | 802 | ? | 48.0– 49.0 | 28.5– 29.5 | ? | ? | – | 19.5 | |
| CIS[12] [13] [14] | 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 | 493 | 72.0 | 45.8 | 31.5 | 9.7 | 1.0 | – | 14.3 | |
| 2000 general election | 12 Mar 2000 | 67.0 | 37.0 | 46.3 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 9.3 | ||
| 1999 regional election | 13 Jun 1999 | 63.6 | 46.0 | 32.3 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 13.7 | ||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 250,474 | 40.48 | –5.52 | 22 | –2 | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 242,396 | 39.18 | +6.87 | 19 | +4 | ||
| United Left–Bloc for Asturias (IU–BA) | 68,360 | 11.05 | +2.05 | 4 | +1 | ||
| Asturian Renewal Union (URAS) | 17,552 | 2.84 | –4.30 | 0 | –3 | ||
| Asturianist Party (PAS) | 11,376 | 1.84 | –0.74 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| The Greens–Green Left of Asturias (LV–IVA) | 6,561 | 1.06 | +0.52 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Andecha Astur (AA) | 3,821 | 0.62 | +0.26 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Senior Defense Platform (PlaDeTE) | 1,297 | 0.21 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)1 | 1,211 | 0.20 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 642 | 0.10 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Asturian Council (Conceyu) | 524 | 0.08 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Asturian Democratic Convergence (CDAS) | 359 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 14,143 | 2.29 | +0.72 | ||||
| Total | 618,716 | 45 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 618,716 | 99.29 | –0.11 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 4,433 | 0.71 | +0.11 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 623,149 | 63.84 | +0.22 | ||||
| Abstentions | 352,955 | 36.16 | –0.22 | ||||
| Registered voters | 976,104 | ||||||
| Sources[15] [16] [17] | |||||||
| Constituency | PSOE | PP | IU–BA | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S |
| Central | 39.3 | 15 | 38.9 | 14 | 12.4 | 4 | |||||
| Eastern | 43.7 | 3 | 43.0 | 2 | 5.1 | − | |||||
| Western | 45.5 | 4 | 38.4 | 3 | 7.1 | − | |||||
| Total | 40.5 | 22 | 39.2 | 19 | 11.0 | 4 | |||||
| Sources | |||||||||||
| Investiture | ||||
| Ballot → | 4 July 2003 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 23 out of 45 | |||
| Absentees | ||||
| Sources[18] | ||||