| Election Name: | 1995 Asturian regional election |
| Country: | Asturias |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 1991 Asturian regional election |
| Previous Year: | 1991 |
| Next Election: | 1999 Asturian regional election |
| Next Year: | 1999 |
| Seats For Election: | All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias |
| Majority Seats: | 23 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 945,105 |
| Turnout: | 652,640 (69.1%) 10.4 pp |
| Election Date: | 28 May 1995 |
| Leader1: | Sergio Marqués |
| Party1: | People's Party of Asturias |
| Leader Since1: | 1995 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Central |
| Last Election1: | 15 seats, 30.4% |
| Seats1: | 21 |
| Seat Change1: | 6 |
| Popular Vote1: | 272,495 |
| Percentage1: | 42.0% |
| Swing1: | 11.6 pp |
| Leader2: | Antonio Trevín |
| Party2: | Asturian Socialist Federation |
| Leader Since2: | 17 June 1993 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Eastern |
| Last Election2: | 21 seats, 41.0% |
| Seats2: | 17 |
| Seat Change2: | 4 |
| Popular Vote2: | 219,527 |
| Percentage2: | 33.8% |
| Swing2: | 7.2 pp |
| Leader3: | Gaspar Llamazares |
| Party3: | IU |
| Colour3: | 732021 |
| Leader Since3: | 1991 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Central |
| Last Election3: | 6 seats, 14.8% |
| Seats3: | 6 |
| Seat Change3: | 0 |
| Popular Vote3: | 106,538 |
| Percentage3: | 16.4% |
| Swing3: | 1.6 pp |
| Leader4: | Xuan Xosé Sánchez Vicente |
| Party4: | Partíu Asturianista |
| Leader Since4: | 1985 |
| Leaders Seat4: | Central |
| Last Election4: | 1 seat, 2.7% |
| Seats4: | 1 |
| Seat Change4: | 0 |
| Popular Vote4: | 20,669 |
| Percentage4: | 3.2% |
| Swing4: | 0.5 pp |
| Leader5: | Alfonso Román |
| Party5: | Democratic and Social Centre (Spain) |
| Leader Since5: | 1995 |
| Leaders Seat5: | Central (lost) |
| Last Election5: | 2 seats, 6.7% |
| Seats5: | 0 |
| Seat Change5: | 2 |
| Popular Vote5: | 11,555 |
| Percentage5: | 1.8% |
| Swing5: | 4.9 pp |
| Map Size: | 350px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Antonio Trevín |
| Before Party: | Asturian Socialist Federation |
| After Election: | Sergio Marqués |
| After Party: | People's Party of Asturias |
The 1995 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The election was won by the People's Party (PP) under Sergio Marqués, which became the most-voted party in the region for the first and, to date, only time. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) vote suffered from the population weariness after 12 years of Socialist governments, the economic crisis and the eruption of numerous scandals both at the regional and the national level (one such scandal had forced the resignation of President Juan Luis Rodríguez-Vigil in 1993). United Left (IU) scored a record result despite failing to win any new seats, while the Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) was expelled from the regional legislature.
The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:
Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[2]
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [4]
The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 28 May 1995.[1] [2] [4]
The General Junta could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PAS | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 regional election | 28 May 1995 | 69.1 | 33.8 | 42.0 | 16.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 8.2 | ||
| Eco Consulting/RTVE[5] | 28 May 1995 | ? | ? | 33.0 | 41.9 | 15.7 | – | 4.1 | 8.9 | |
| Vox Pública–ODEC/Antena 3 | 28 May 1995 | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | – | ? | |
| Demoscopia/El País[6] [7] [8] [9] | 10–15 May 1995 | 1,000 | ? | 31.0 | 41.5 | 16.5 | – | – | 10.5 | |
| CIS[10] [11] | 24 Apr–10 May 1995 | 600 | 71.2 | 34.0 | 39.0 | 17.5 | – | 3.9 | 5.0 | |
| 1994 EP election | 12 Jun 1994 | 58.2 | 32.1 | 42.6 | 19.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 10.5 | ||
| 1993 general election | 6 Jun 1993 | 75.4 | 39.3 | 37.4 | 15.4 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | ||
| 1991 regional election | 26 May 1991 | 58.7 | 41.0 | 30.4 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 10.6 | ||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| People's Party (PP) | 272,495 | 42.00 | +11.60 | 21 | +6 | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 219,527 | 33.83 | –7.19 | 17 | –4 | ||
| United Left (IU) | 106,538 | 16.42 | +1.57 | 6 | ±0 | ||
| Asturianist Party (PAS)1 | 20,669 | 3.19 | +0.45 | 1 | ±0 | ||
| Asturian Centre–Democratic and Social Centre (CA–CDS) | 11,555 | 1.78 | –4.97 | 0 | –2 | ||
| The Greens of Asturias (LV) | 4,504 | 0.69 | –0.68 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Asturian League (LA) | 1,959 | 0.30 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Andecha Astur (AA) | 1,948 | 0.30 | +0.09 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 1,108 | 0.17 | –0.16 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Asturian Council (Conceyu) | 862 | 0.13 | –0.23 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 7,655 | 1.18 | –0.05 | ||||
| Total | 648,820 | 45 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 648,820 | 99.41 | +0.16 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 3,820 | 0.59 | –0.16 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 652,640 | 69.05 | +10.36 | ||||
| Abstentions | 292,465 | 30.95 | –10.36 | ||||
| Registered voters | 945,105 | ||||||
| Sources[12] [13] [14] | |||||||
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | IU | PAS | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S |
| Central | 42.0 | 15 | 31.4 | 11 | 18.6 | 6 | 3.5 | 1 | |||||||
| Eastern | 44.1 | 3 | 42.6 | 2 | 6.5 | − | 2.8 | − | |||||||
| Western | 40.7 | 3 | 43.5 | 4 | 9.2 | − | 1.4 | − | |||||||
| Total | 42.0 | 21 | 33.8 | 17 | 16.4 | 6 | 3.2 | 1 | |||||||
| Sources | |||||||||||||||
| Investiture | ||||||
| Ballot → | 7 July 1995 | 10 July 1995 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 23 out of 45 | Simple | ||||
| colspan="2" | ||||||
| Absentees | ||||||
| Sources | ||||||
| Motion of no confidence Ovidio Sánchez (PP) | |||
| Ballot → | 10 March 1999 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 23 out of 45 | ||
| Sources[15] | |||