1999 Asturian regional election explained

Election Name:1999 Asturian regional election
Country:Asturias
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1995 Asturian regional election
Previous Year:1995
Next Election:2003 Asturian regional election
Next Year:2003
Seats For Election:All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias
Majority Seats:23
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:979,618
Turnout:623,242 (63.6%)
5.5 pp
Election Date:13 June 1999
Leader1:Vicente Álvarez Areces
Party1:Asturian Socialist Federation
Leader Since1:14 June 1998
Leaders Seat1:Central
Last Election1:17 seats, 33.8%
Seats1:24
Seat Change1:7
Popular Vote1:284,972
Percentage1:46.0%
Swing1:12.2 pp
Leader2:Ovidio Sánchez
Party2:People's Party of Asturias
Leader Since2:9 December 1998
Leaders Seat2:Central
Last Election2:21 seats, 42.0%
Seats2:15
Seat Change2:6
Popular Vote2:200,164
Percentage2:32.3%
Swing2:9.7 pp
Leader3:Gaspar Llamazares
Party3:IU
Colour3:732021
Leader Since3:1991
Leaders Seat3:Central
Last Election3:6 seats, 16.4%
Seats3:3
Seat Change3:3
Popular Vote3:55,747
Percentage3:9.0%
Swing3:7.4 pp
Leader4:Sergio Marqués
Party4:Asturian Renewal Union
Leader Since4:2 December 1998
Leaders Seat4:Central
Last Election4:Did not contest
Seats4:3
Seat Change4:3
Popular Vote4:44,261
Percentage4:7.1%
Swing4:New party
Leader5:Xuan Xosé Sánchez Vicente
Party5:Partíu Asturianista
Leader Since5:1985
Leaders Seat5:Central (lost)
Last Election5:1 seat, 3.2%
Seats5:0
Seat Change5:1
Popular Vote5:15,998
Percentage5:2.6%
Swing5:0.6 pp
Map Size:350px
President
Before Election:Sergio Marqués
Before Party:Asturian Renewal Union
After Election:Vicente Álvarez Areces
After Party:Asturian Socialist Federation

The 1999 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 13 June 1999, to elect the 5th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 1999 European Parliament election.

An internal People's Party (PP) crisis starting in 1997 between the regional PP leadership and President Sergio Marqués resulted in a party split, with Marqués' government breaking away from the PP in 1998, maintaining the support of only 5 of the 21 PP deputies for the remainder of the legislature.

As a result of the ensuing political crisis, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) of Vicente Álvarez Areces went on to win an absolute majority of seats, at the cost of the greatly weakened PP. United Left (IU) also suffered from the party crisis at the national level and lost half of its support, while Sergio Marqués' party, the Asturian Renewal Union (URAS), entered parliament with 3 seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[2]

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [4]

Election date

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. Legal amendments introduced in 1998 allowed for these to be held together with European Parliament elections, provided that they were scheduled for within a four month-timespan. The previous election was held on 28 May 1995, setting the election date for the General Junta concurrently with a European Parliament election on Sunday, 13 June 1999.[1] [2] [4]

After legal amendments earlier in 1999, the president was granted the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 13 June 1999 General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)284,972 46.00 +12.1724 +7
People's Party (PP)200,164 32.31 –9.6915 –6
United Left of Asturias (IU)55,747 9.00 –7.423 –3
Asturian Renewal Union (URAS)44,261 7.14 New3 +3
Asturianist Party (PAS)15,998 2.58 –0.610 –1
The Greens of Asturias (LV)3,343 0.54 –0.150 ±0
Andecha Astur (AA)2,206 0.36 +0.060 ±0
Asturian Left Bloc (BIA)11,366 0.22 +0.050 ±0
Centrist Union–Democratic and Social Centre (UC–CDS)737 0.12 –1.660 ±0
Asturian Council (Conceyu)496 0.08 –0.050 ±0
The Phalanx (FE)453 0.07 New0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)23 0.00 New0 ±0
Blank ballots9,720 1.57 +0.39
Total619,486 45 ±0
Valid votes619,486 99.40 –0.01
Invalid votes3,756 0.60 +0.01
Votes cast / turnout623,242 63.62 –5.43
Abstentions356,376 36.38 +5.43
Registered voters979,618
Sources[14] [15] [16] [17]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPSOEPPIUURAS
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Central46.31731.71110.235.92
Eastern44.2337.023.99.5
Western45.3432.924.913.11
Total46.02432.3159.037.13
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot →22 July 1999
Required majority →23 out of 45
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias] ]. Organic Law . 7 . . es . 30 December 1981 . 14 March 2017.
  2. Ley 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias . Law . 14 . Boletín Oficial del Estado . es . 26 December 1986 . 14 March 2017.
  3. Web site: Gallagher . Michael . 30 July 2012 . Effective threshold in electoral systems . https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php . dead . 30 July 2017 . Trinity College, Dublin . 22 July 2017.
  4. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . Boletín Oficial del Estado . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  5. Web site: El tránsfuga Marqués abre el camino al PSOE . es . ABC . 7 June 1999.
  6. Web site: El PSOE cobra la factura que los votantes pasan al PP . es . El País . 7 June 1999.
  7. Web site: Asturias: El PSOE aprovecha la crisis . es . El Mundo . 29 May 1999.
  8. Web site: ELECCIONES 13-J /BALANCE DE LAS ENCUESTAS . es . El Mundo . 6 June 1999.
  9. Web site: Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales, 1999. Principado de Asturias (Estudio nº 2327. Mayo 1999) . es . CIS . 4 June 1999.
  10. Web site: Estudio CIS nº 2327. Ficha técnica . es . CIS . 4 June 1999.
  11. Web site: Bono e Ibarra repiten y el PSOE recuperará Asturias . es . La Vanguardia . 5 June 1999.
  12. Web site: Una encuesta atribuye un único escaño a Marqués en Asturias . es . ABC . 17 May 1999.
  13. Web site: La sangría de votos del PP favorece a los socialistas . es . El País . 20 July 1998.
  14. Web site: General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results, 13 June 1999 . 18 November 1999 . es . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . Electoral Commission of Asturias . 8 December 2019.
  15. Web site: Electoral Results. General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. 5th Legislature (1999–2003) . es . www.jgpa.es . General Junta of the Principality of Asturias . 29 November 2019.
  16. Web site: Electoral Results. 1999 . es . www.sadei.es . SADEI . 27 September 2017.
  17. Web site: Elecciones a la Junta General (1983 - 2019) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 27 September 2017.