Andrew Gelman Explained

Andrew Gelman
Birthname:Andrew Eric Gelman
Birth Date:February 11, 1965
Birth Place:Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S.
Fields:Statistics
Workplaces:Columbia University
Alma Mater:Massachusetts Institute of Technology (SB)
Harvard University (MA, PhD)
Thesis Title:Topics in Image Reconstruction from Emission Tomography
Thesis Url:http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/phd_thesis.pdf
Thesis Year:1990
Doctoral Advisor:Donald Rubin
Awards:COPSS Presidents' Award (2003)
Website:stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/
Children:3
Relatives:

Andrew Eric Gelman (born February 11, 1965) is an American statistician and professor of statistics and political science at Columbia University.

Gelman received bachelor of science degrees in mathematics and in physics from MIT, where he was a National Merit Scholar, in 1986. He then received a master of science in 1987 and a doctor of philosophy in 1990, both in statistics from Harvard University, under the supervision of Donald Rubin.[1] [2]

Career

Gelman is the Higgins Professor of Statistics and Professor of Political Science and the Director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University.[3] [4] He is a major contributor to statistical philosophy and methods especially in Bayesian statistics[5] and hierarchical models.[6]

He is one of the leaders of the development of the statistical programming framework Stan.

Perspective on Statistical Inference and Hypothesis Testing

Gelman's approach to statistical inference emphasizes studying variation and the associations between data, rather than searching for statistical significance.[7]

Gelman says his approach to hypothesis testing is "(nearly) the opposite of the conventional view"[8] of what is typical for statistical inference. While the standard approach may be seen as having the goal of rejecting a null hypothesis, Gelman argues that you can't learn much from a rejection. On the other hand, a non-rejection tells you something: "[it] tells you that your study is noisy, that you don't have enough information in your study to identify what you care about—even if the study is done perfectly, even if measurements are unbiased and your sample is representative of your population, etc. That can be some useful knowledge, it means you're off the hook trying to explain some pattern that might just be noise." Gelman also works within the context of larger confirmationist and falsificationist paradigms of science.[9]

Gelman's approach to statistical inference is a major recurring theme of his work.[10]

Popular press

Gelman is notable for his efforts to make political science and statistics more accessible to journalists and to the public. He was one of the primary authors of "The Monkey Cage",[11] blog published by The Washington Post. The blog is dedicated to providing informed commentary on politics and making political science more accessible.[12]

Gelman also keeps his own blog which deals with statistical practices in social science.[13] He frequently writes about Bayesian statistics, displaying data, and interesting trends in social science.[14] [15] According to The New York Times, on the blog "he posts his thoughts on best statistical practices in the sciences, with a frequent emphasis on what he sees as the absurd and unscientific... He is respected enough that his posts are well read; he is cutting enough that many of his critiques are enjoyed with a strong sense of schadenfreude."[16]

Gelman is a prominent critic of poor methodological work and he identifies such work as contributing to the replication crisis.

Honors

He has received the Outstanding Statistical Application award from the American Statistical Association three times, in 1998, 2000, and 2008.[17] [18] He is an elected fellow of the American Statistical Association[19] and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics.[20] He was elected fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (AAAS) in 2020.[21] [22]

Personal life

Gelman married Caroline Rosenthal in 2002[23] and has three children.[24] The psychologist Susan Gelman is his older sister[25] and cartoonist Woody Gelman was his uncle.[26]

Gelman is a participant in Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth.[27]

Bibliography

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Gelman . Andrew Eric . Topics in Image Reconstruction from Emission Tomography. 2022-10-01. Harvard University. 2022-06-06 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220606163108/http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/phd_thesis.pdf . live .
  2. Web site: Kesselman. Ellie. Statistics comes to Swarthmore College . 19 November 2016 . 10 September 2014 . ...familiar name on that very short list of all Harvard Statistics PhD alumni: Columbia University political science and statistics professor Andrew Gelman in 1990 . 30 August 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170830102444/https://myindigolives.wordpress.com/2014/09/10/statistics-at-swarthmore-college-young-tufte-visits/. live.
  3. Web site: Andrew Gelman ISERP . iserp.columbia.edu . 12 December 2022.
  4. Web site: Applied Statistics Center ISERP . iserp.columbia.edu . 12 December 2022.
  5. Andrew Gelman, John B. Carlin, Hal S. Stern and Donald B. Rubin. "Bayesian Data Analysis" (2nd edition). Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2003.
  6. Gelman, Andrew. 2006. Multilevel (hierarchical) modeling: What it can and cannot do . Technometrics . 48 . 3 . https://web.archive.org/web/20060506015550/http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/multi2.pdf. 6 May 2006. live. 10.1198/004017005000000661. 432–435. 7974250.
  7. Book: Gelman . Andrew . Regression and Other Stories . Hill . Jennifer . Vehtari . Aki . Cambridge University Press . 2022 . 59.
  8. Web site: What hypothesis testing is all about. (Hint: It's not what you think.) . 2022-02-10 . statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu . en-US . 2022-02-10 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220210144817/https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2017/05/04/hypothesis-testing-hint-not-think/ . live .
  9. Web site: Confirmationist and falsificationist paradigms of science . 2022-03-31 . statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu . en-US . 2022-04-04 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220404110528/https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2014/09/05/confirmationist-falsificationist-paradigms-science/ . live .
  10. Book: Gelman. Andrew. Hill. Jennifer. Jennifer Hill. Vehtari. Aki. 2020-07-23. Regression and Other Stories. 2022-02-10. Higher Education from Cambridge University Press. 10.1017/9781139161879 . 9781139161879 . 218968955 . en. 2022-02-10. https://web.archive.org/web/20220210191717/https://www.cambridge.org/highereducation/books/regression-and-other-stories/DD20DD6C9057118581076E54E40C372C. live.
  11. News: Monkey Cage . The Washington Post . 19 November 2016 . 19 November 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161119031610/https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/ . live .
  12. https://themonkeycage.org/2007/11/20/why_this_blog/ "Why this blog?"
  13. Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/
  14. How Do I Make My Graphs?: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2013/03/15/how-do-i-make-my-graphs/
  15. Exponential Increase In The Number of Stat Majors: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2013/04/21/exponential-increase-in-the-number-of-stat-majors/
  16. News: When the Revolution Came for Amy Cuddy. Dominus. Susan. 2017-10-18. The New York Times. 2017-10-19. en-US. 0362-4331. 2020-01-03. https://web.archive.org/web/20200103061226/https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/18/magazine/when-the-revolution-came-for-amy-cuddy.html. live.
  17. Web site: Outstanding Statistical Application Award . American Statistical Association . https://web.archive.org/web/20160408225512/https://www.amstat.org/awards/outstandingstatisticalapplicationaward.cfm. 8 April 2016.
  18. Web site: Pennington . Rosemary . Big, If True - Episode 234 . Stats + Stories . Miami University . 12 December 2022 . Miami, Ohio . 2 June 2022.
  19. Web site: ASA Fellows . American Statistical Association . 12 December 2022 . 2 May 2022 . Elected Fellow in 1998.
  20. Web site: Honored IMS Fellows . Institute of Mathematical Statistics . 12 December 2022 . en.
  21. AAAS Fellows Elected. Notices of the American Mathematical Society. 67. 2020-09-27. 2020-08-22. https://web.archive.org/web/20200822201143/https://www.ams.org/journals/notices/202007/rnoti-p1051.pdf. live.
  22. Web site: New Members . American Academy of Arts & Sciences . 12 December 2022 . en . 2020.
  23. News: WEDDINGS; Caroline Rosenthal, Andrew Gelman. 2002-05-12. The New York Times. 0362-4331. 2016-11-03. https://web.archive.org/web/20171213050205/https://www.nytimes.com/2002/05/12/style/weddings-caroline-rosenthal-andrew-gelman.html. 2017-12-13. live.
  24. Web site: The way science works…or doesn't. Life After Baby. 2016-11-03. https://web.archive.org/web/20171214033635/http://www.life-after-baby.com/home/the-way-science-worksor-doesnt. 2017-12-14. dead.
  25. Susan Gelman on 'How essentialism shapes our thinking' . 2018-05-12 . Rationally Speaking: Official Podcast of New York City Skeptics . Julia . Galef . Susan . Gelman . December 13, 2015 . RS 149 . Full . http://static1.1.sqspcdn.com/static/f/468275/26732425/1450061194013/rs149transcript.pdf . https://web.archive.org/web/20180625142933/http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-149-susan-gelman-on-how-essentialism-shapes-our-thinking.html . June 25, 2018 . live .
  26. Web site: 2018-07-05. Uncle Woody. Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. 14 July 2006. Andrew. Gelman. https://web.archive.org/web/20181225231952/http://andrewgelman.com/2006/07/14/uncle_woody/. 25 December 2018. live. dmy-all.
  27. Web site: "Life Paths and Accomplishments of Mathematically Precocious Males and Females Four Decades Later" . 2022-05-05 . 2022-05-05 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220505190020/https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2015/01/08/life-paths-accomplishments-mathematically-precocious-males-females-four-decades-later/ . live .

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