| Election Name: | 2022 New York gubernatorial election |
| Country: | New York (state) |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2018 New York gubernatorial election |
| Previous Year: | 2018 |
| Next Election: | 2026 New York gubernatorial election |
| Next Year: | 2026 |
| Election Date: | November 8, 2022 |
| Turnout: | 47.74% 0.3 pp |
| Image1: | file:Governor Hochul April 2022.jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kathy Hochul |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Alliance1: | Working Families |
| Running Mate1: | Antonio Delgado |
| Popular Vote1: | 3,140,415 |
| Percentage1: | 53.20% |
| Nominee2: | Lee Zeldin |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Running Mate2: | Alison Esposito |
| Alliance2: | Conservative Party of New York State |
| Popular Vote2: | 2,762,581 |
| Percentage2: | 46.80% |
| Governor | |
| Before Election: | Kathy Hochul |
| Before Party: | Democratic |
| After Election: | Kathy Hochul |
| After Party: | Democratic |
The 2022 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York. Kathy Hochul ascended to the governorship in August 2021, upon Andrew Cuomo's resignation following allegations of sexual harassment. She sought a full term as governor. She appointed Brian Benjamin to the position of lieutenant governor and planned to run alongside him until he too resigned in April 2022. Congressman Antonio Delgado was appointed to replace Benjamin as lieutenant governor. Hochul defeated Jumaane Williams and Tom Suozzi in the Democratic primary for governor, while Delgado defeated Ana Maria Archila and Diana Reyna in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.
Lee Zeldin ran as the Republican nominee, having defeated Rob Astorino, Andrew Giuliani, and Harry Wilson in the Republican primary. Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, an NYPD officer, as his running mate, and she won unopposed in the primary. Esposito was the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York.[1]
Hochul won a full term in office, defeating Zeldin in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994 and the closest Democratic victory since 1982. Hochul's election marked the first time that a woman was elected to the state's governorship.[2] Hochul's margin of victory of 6.4 percentage points was significantly worse than Cuomo's margin of 23.4 percentage points that he achieved in 2018. While Hochul was able to flip the Schenectady and Columbia counties in Upstate New York, Zeldin made gains in the New York metropolitan area, flipping Rockland, Richmond (Staten Island), Nassau, and Suffolk counties. Hochul won the city of New York with 69.8% to 30.2%, the latter being the highest vote percentage for a Republican since 2002. Zeldin carried the state outside of the Five Boroughs 54.1% to 45.9% and carried the 52 counties of Upstate (the counties outside of the New York metropolitan area–the Five Boroughs, Long Island, and Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester counties) 54.6% to 45.4%.
This was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not featuring any third-party candidates after the New York State Board of Elections rejected the petitions of all the minor parties that put forward candidates.[3] Hochul became the first elected New York governor from outside New York City and its immediate suburbs since 1932 when Franklin D. Roosevelt left office. Hochul also became the first elected governor from north of Hyde Park since Nathan L. Miller in 1922, in addition to being the first from Western New York since Horace White in 1910 and the first from Buffalo since Grover Cleveland in 1885.[4]
Zeldin received the highest percentage of the vote for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 2002 and the highest raw vote total for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 1970.
In August 2021, after New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced his resignation, then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul announced that she would run for governor in 2022. Hochul was sworn in as governor of New York on August 24, 2021.[5] Hochul was elected to the position of lieutenant governor in 2014, and was re-elected in 2018; in both elections, she was Cuomo's running mate.[6]
New York Attorney General Letitia James garnered attention for releasing a report on her office's investigation into alleged sexual harassment by Cuomo; the release of this report helped lead to Cuomo's resignation in August 2021.[7] James announced her gubernatorial campaign in October 2021 and was considered a formidable challenger to Hochul.[7]
On November 12, 2021, Newsday reported that Hochul had raised $10 million in campaign donations since taking office as governor.[8] On November 16, 2021, New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, described by CNN as "a progressive favorite from Brooklyn", announced his 2022 gubernatorial bid. Williams ran for lieutenant governor against Hochul in 2018, losing a close race.[9] On November 29, 2021, U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi of Long Island announced that he was running for governor. According to The New York Times, Suozzi was known as a "vocal centrist" and announced an intent to bill himself as a "'common-sense Democrat'".[10] Suozzi was considered to have the potential to siphon votes away from Hochul.
In early December, James withdrew her candidacy and chose to seek re-election as attorney general instead.[11] James' withdrawal from the race was seen as a positive development for Hochul, as James had been considered the second-strongest candidate in the race.[12] The exit of James boosted the campaign of Williams, who became the only major candidate from New York City and the clear choice for the left wing of the Democratic Party.[12]
On February 17, 2022, at the New York State Democratic Convention, Hochul was selected as the preferred Democratic candidate for governor of New York in 2022. At the convention, Hochul received 85.6% of the weighted vote, while Williams received 12.5%. Neither Williams nor Suozzi received sufficient support to obtain automatic ballot access and force a primary election; however, both candidates were "expected to work the alternate method of gathering the 15,000 signatures to get on the ballot for the June primary".[13] [14]
Although the candidates for governor and lieutenant governor are nominated separately, those running for governor may choose to endorse a candidate for lieutenant governor as their unofficial running mate. All three candidates did so (Hochul had initially chosen Brian Benjamin, but switched to Antonio Delgado after Benjamin's arrest).
Hochul won the primary with 67.64% of the vote, a margin of 48% over Jumaane Williams, who came in second.
| Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | Tom Suozzi | Jumaane Williams | ||||||
| June 7, 2022 | CBS New York WCBS Newsradio 880 | New York, New York | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | Video | ||||
| June 20, 2022 | NBC New York Telemundo 47 | New York, New York | David Ushery | Video | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steven Bellone | Preet Bharara | Alessandra Biaggi | Andrew Cuomo | Bill | Thomas DiNapoli | Kathryn Garcia | Kirsten Gillibrand | Kathy Hochul | Letitia James | Sean Patrick Maloney | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Tom Suozzi | Scott Stringer | Jumaane Williams | Other | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | March 20–24, 2022 | 369 (RV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 14% | |
| Emerson College | March 9–10, 2022 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 4% | 9% | 9% | |
| Zogby Analytics | January 21–24, 2022 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 13% | 5% | 14% | |
| Data for Progress (D) | November 16–17, 2021 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 15% | 3% | – | – | – | 36% | 22% | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 11% | |
| – | – | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | |||||
| Siena College | October 10–14, 2021 | 419 (RV) | ± 5.4% | – | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 23% | |
| Marist College | October 4–7, 2021 | 389 (RV) | ± 6.9% | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 36% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 12% | |
| co/efficient (R) | August 15–16, 2021 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 30% | ||
| Slingshot Strategies (D) | August 6–7, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 26% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 2% | – | 19% | |
| 3% | 6% | 2% | – | 5% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | – | 22% | |||||
| Zogby Analytics | February 3–5, 2021 | 316 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 65% | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | |
| – | – | – | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 9% |
On April 12, 2022, incumbent lieutenant governor Brian Benjamin resigned from office after being arrested for campaign finance violations. Despite this, he did not officially withdraw from the race, so under the laws of the time, he could only be removed if he moved out of New York, ran for a different office, or died.[42] On May 3, 2022, Hochul announced her intent to appoint Representative Antonio Delgado to the position of lieutenant governor after a bill passed the New York General Assembly allowing Benjamin to be removed from the ticket.[43] [44] Delgado won the primary by a large margin.
In June 2020, Lewis County sheriff Mike Carpinelli became the first Republican to enter the race.[48] He was the only announced challenger until Long Island congressman Lee Zeldin announced his own campaign in April 2021; he announced by the end of the month that the Erie and Niagara counties' Republican Party chairs had endorsed his campaign, giving him the necessary 50% of state committee support to gain the Republican nomination.[49] [50] Trump administration official Andrew Giuliani and 2014 New York gubernatorial nominee Rob Astorino made campaign announcements the following month.[51] [52] Contractor and podcast host Derrick Gibson was also in the race.
In June 2021, Zeldin was named the 'presumed nominee' of the New York's Republican Party by state chairman Nick Langworthy after he earned 85 percent of a straw poll vote of county leaders, and was also called the 'presumptive nominee' of New York's Conservative Party by Conservative state chairman Gerard Kassar.[53] As of February 2022, Zeldin had the endorsement of 59 of New York's 62 county Republican committees.[54]
In February 2022, shortly before the Republican convention, businessman Harry Wilson announced his candidacy for governor of New York.[55] Wilson stated that he intended to invest $12 million of his own money in the race.[56]
At the Republican convention in Nassau County, Zeldin received 85 percent support from the party's voting committee members, with Astorino and Wilson receiving 7 percent of the vote each, and Giuliani receiving less than one percent of the vote.[57]
On June 28, 2022, the primary election was held. Astorino's strongest performance was in his native Westchester County, Giuliani performed well across New York City (although Manhattan was won by Zeldin), and Wilson performed best in his native Fulton County. It was Zeldin who won the Republican nomination, receiving the most votes in 48 of New York's 62 counties, including earning 76% of the vote in his native Suffolk County.[58]
| Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Zeldin | Andrew Giuliani | Rob Astorino | Harry Wilson | ||||||
| June 13, 2022 | CBS New York | New York, New York | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | Video | |||||
| June 20, 2022 | NY1 | New York, New York | Susan Arbetter Errol Louis | Video | |||||
| June 21, 2022 | Newsmax | Rochester, New York | Eric Bolling | Video | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rob Astorino | Michael Carpinelli | Derrick Gibson | Andrew Giuliani | Harry Wilson | Lee Zeldin | Other | Undecided | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | June 20–22, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 16% | – | – | 28% | 14% | 35% | – | 8% | ||||
| SurveyUSA | June 15–20, 2022 | 538 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 8% | – | – | 23% | 13% | 25% | – | 31% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | June 16–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 38% | – | 12% | ||||
| Emerson College | June 9–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 34% | – | 22% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | May 24–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | – | – | 18% | 13% | 41% | – | 12% | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 408 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | – | – | 35% | 12% | 25% | – | 11% | ||||
| Gibson does not qualify for primary ballot | |||||||||||||||
| Emerson College | May 1–3, 2022 | 192 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 8% | 26% | 10% | 19% | ||||
| Carpinelli withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | April 11–12, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | – | – | 15% | 7% | 47% | – | 14% | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 267 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | – | – | 29% | 11% | 28% | – | 17% | ||||
| Emerson College | March 9–10, 2022 | 225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 6% | 27% | 8% | 23% | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 266 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 21% | 9% | – | 31% | 5% | 23% | – | 12% | ||||
| Zogby Analytics | January 21–24, 2022 | 243 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 18% | – | 16% | 5% | 33% | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies | January 20–21, 2022 | 251 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 26% | 2% | 28% | 2% | 21% | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rob Astorino | Andrew Giuliani | Harry Wilson | Lee Zeldin | Undecided | |||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | April 11–12, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | – | 9% | 53% | 18% | |||||||
| – | – | 13% | 64% | 24% | |||||||||||
At the 2022 Conservative Party convention, the party endorsed Congressman Lee Zeldin for governor and NYPD deputy inspector Alison Esposito for Lieutenant Governor.
On February 8, 2022, the Working Families Party endorsed New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams for the governorship. On February 28, 2022, the party announced that their preferred candidate for lieutenant governor was activist Ana María Archila.
Following Hochul and Delgado's respective wins in the Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primary, the party filed to put the two Democratic nominees on the Working Families ballot line.[82]
In an unprecedented decision, the New York State Board of Elections rejected all petitions for non-qualified party ballot access in July 2022.[3] Among the parties who submitted rejected petitions:
On February 16, 2022, Larry Sharpe, the Libertarian Party's candidate for governor of New York in 2018, officially announced his campaign to run for governor of New York on Kennedy.[85] He received his party's nomination at the convention in Albany on February 19, 2022.[86] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Sharpe for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[3]
On April 25, 2022, Howie Hawkins, who had run for numerous elected offices including Governor of New York, launched his campaign.[90] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Hawkins for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[3]
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[95] | August 26, 2022 | ||
| RealClearPolitics[96] | October 15, 2022 | ||
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[97] | October 19, 2022 | ||
| The Cook Political Report[98] | October 28, 2022 | ||
| Fox News[99] | November 1, 2022 | ||
| Inside Elections[100] | November 3, 2022 | ||
| Politico[101] | November 4, 2022 | ||
| Elections Daily[102] | November 7, 2022 |
| Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Participant Absent Non-invitee Invitee Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Lee Zeldin | Kathy Hochul | |||||||
| 1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | Spectrum News | Pace University Manhattan, New York | Errol Louis Susan Arbetter | Link | |||
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided | Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 26–31, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.0% | 45.0% | 3.0% | Hochul +7.0 | |||
| FiveThirtyEight | October 20 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.7% | 43.9% | 4.4% | Hochul +7.8 | |||
| Average | 51.8% | 44.5% | 3.7% | Hochul +7.4 | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Other | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 41% | – | 11% | |
| ActiVote (D) | August 8 – November 6, 2022 | 260 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 55% | 45% | – | – | |
| Patriot Polling | October 31 – November 3, 2022 | 826 (RV) | – | 49% | 44% | – | 7% | |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 1% | 3% | |
| 54% | 45% | 2% | – | |||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% | |
| KAConsulting (R) | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 3% | 5% | |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 42% | – | 4% | |
| Slingshot Strategies (D) | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% | |
| Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 593 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 54% | 43% | 2% | 2% | |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 2% | 4% | |
| 52% | 44% | 4% | – | |||||
| Bold Decision | October 16–20, 2022 | 1,204 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 37% | – | 12% | |
| co/efficient (R) | October 18–19, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% | |
| SurveyUSA | October 14–18, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 8% | |
| Quinnipiac University | October 12–16, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 2% | |
| Siena College | October 12–14, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 1% | 6% | |
| Marist College | October 3–6, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 1% | 3% | |
| 1,117 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 1% | 7% | |||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 30 – October 3, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 10% | |
| Siena College | September 16–25, 2022 | 655 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 37% | 2% | 7% | |
| Data for Progress (D) | September 9–13, 2022 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 9% | |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 8–9, 2022 | 510 (LV) | – | 54% | 39% | – | 7% | |
| co/efficient (R) | September 5–7, 2022 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% | |
| Emerson College | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 6% | 9% | |
| The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 31 – September 1, 2022 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 43% | 2% | 7% | |
| SurveyUSA | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 31% | – | 14% | |
| Emerson College | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 7% | 7% | |
| Siena College | July 24–28, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 39% | 0% | 7% | |
| Sharpe is disqualified from the ballot | ||||||||
| SurveyUSA | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 28% | – | 20% | |
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 32% | 6% | 10% | |
| 54% | 36% | – | 10% | |||||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 34% | 3% | 14% | |
| Data for Progress (D) | March 30 – April 4, 2022 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% | |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | March 9–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | – | 11% | |
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 33% | 6% | 14% | |
| 50% | 35% | – | 15% | |||||
| Zogby Analytics | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 27% | 6% | 23% | |
| John Zogby Strategies | January 20–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 29% | 6% | 15% | |
| 51% | 33% | – | 16% | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 55% | 28% | – | 17% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 35% | – | 11% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 34% | – | 16% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 35% | – | 16% | ||
| Zogby Analytics | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 27% | 6% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Andrew Giuliani (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 56% | 30% | 15% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 35% | 11% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 54% | 29% | – | 17% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | 5% | 12% | ||
| 53% | 36% | – | 11% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 30% | 4% | 16% | ||
| 51% | 32% | – | 17% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Suozzi (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 34% | 17% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 31% | 24% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 32% | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Suozzi (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | 17% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 33% | 24% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 35% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Andrew Giuliani (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 35% | 20% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 33% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 37% | 18% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 34% | 25% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 37% | 16% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 36% | 21% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 36% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 27–31, 2022 | 1198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – | ||
| Data for Progress (D) | March 30 – April 4, 2022 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 41% | – | 15% | ||
| Zogby Analytics | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 31% | 7% | 28% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Andrew Cuomo (I) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | May 1–3, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 33% | 16% | 18% | ||
| Emerson College | March 9–10, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 33% | 12% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | June 7–13, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 44% | 10% | ||
| Siena College | April 18–21, 2022 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 45% | 15% | ||
| Siena College | March 20–24, 2022 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 43% | 14% | ||
| Siena College | February 14–17, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| County | Kathy Hochul | Lee Zeldin | Margin | Total votes | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | WFP | Total | Republican | Conservative | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | data-sort-type=number | data-sort-type=number | % | |||||||
| Albany | 62,327 | 53.46 | 6,708 | 5.75 | 69,035 | 59.22 | 40,416 | 34.67 | 7,129 | 6.12 | 47,545 | 40.78 | 21,490 | 18.43 | 116,580 | ||||||||||||
| Allegany | 3,613 | 22.81 | 255 | 1.61 | 3,868 | 24.42 | 10,862 | 68.56 | 1,112 | 7.02 | 11,974 | 75.58 | -8,106 | -51.17 | 15,842 | ||||||||||||
| Bronx | 148,131 | 73.88 | 7,433 | 3.71 | 155,564 | 77.58 | 41,685 | 20.79 | 3,263 | 1.63 | 44,948 | 22.42 | 110,616 | 55.17 | 200,512 | ||||||||||||
| Broome | 27,272 | 40.02 | 2,527 | 3.71 | 29,799 | 43.73 | 34,542 | 50.69 | 3,801 | 5.58 | 38,343 | 56.27 | -8,544 | -12.54 | 68,142 | ||||||||||||
| Cattaraugus | 7,291 | 27.98 | 504 | 1.93 | 7,795 | 29.91 | 16,219 | 62.24 | 2,046 | 7.85 | 18,265 | 70.09 | -10,470 | -40.18 | 26,060 | ||||||||||||
| Cayuga | 9,505 | 35.33 | 670 | 2.49 | 10,175 | 37.83 | 14,465 | 53.77 | 2,260 | 8.40 | 16,725 | 62.17 | -6,550 | -24.35 | 26,900 | ||||||||||||
| Chautauqua | 14,180 | 32.59 | 1,057 | 2.43 | 15,237 | 35.02 | 24,668 | 56.70 | 3,600 | 8.27 | 28,268 | 64.98 | -13,031 | -29.95 | 43,505 | ||||||||||||
| Chemung | 8,998 | 32.32 | 476 | 1.71 | 9,474 | 34.03 | 16,781 | 60.28 | 1,583 | 5.69 | 18,364 | 65.97 | -8,890 | -31.93 | 27,838 | ||||||||||||
| Chenango | 4,623 | 27.45 | 345 | 2.05 | 4,968 | 29.50 | 10,911 | 64.80 | 960 | 5.70 | 11,871 | 70.50 | -6,903 | -40.99 | 16,839 | ||||||||||||
| Clinton | 11,124 | 40.47 | 770 | 2.80 | 11,894 | 43.28 | 14,223 | 51.75 | 1,367 | 4.97 | 15,590 | 56.72 | -3,696 | -13.45 | 27,484 | ||||||||||||
| Columbia | 14,400 | 48.51 | 1,679 | 5.66 | 16,079 | 54.17 | 11,697 | 39.41 | 1,908 | 6.43 | 13,605 | 45.83 | 2,474 | 8.33 | 29,684 | ||||||||||||
| Cortland | 6,299 | 39.11 | 513 | 3.19 | 6,812 | 42.29 | 8,349 | 51.84 | 945 | 5.87 | 9,294 | 57.71 | -2,482 | -15.41 | 16,106 | ||||||||||||
| Delaware | 5,869 | 31.58 | 621 | 3.34 | 6,490 | 34.92 | 11,076 | 59.60 | 1,019 | 5.48 | 12,095 | 65.08 | -5,605 | -30.16 | 18,585 | ||||||||||||
| Dutchess | 50,967 | 44.32 | 4,552 | 3.96 | 55,519 | 48.28 | 52,803 | 45.91 | 6,683 | 5.81 | 59,486 | 51.72 | -3,967 | -3.45 | 115,005 | ||||||||||||
| Erie | 166,539 | 48.89 | 14,087 | 4.14 | 180,626 | 53.03 | 128,008 | 37.58 | 31,996 | 9.39 | 160,004 | 46.97 | 20,622 | 6.05 | 340,630 | ||||||||||||
| Essex | 6,484 | 41.79 | 508 | 3.27 | 6,992 | 45.07 | 7,878 | 50.78 | 644 | 4.15 | 8,522 | 54.93 | -1,530 | -9.86 | 15,514 | ||||||||||||
| Franklin | 5,628 | 37.07 | 375 | 2.47 | 6,003 | 39.54 | 8,385 | 55.23 | 795 | 5.24 | 9,180 | 60.46 | -3,177 | -20.92 | 15,183 | ||||||||||||
| Fulton | 4,915 | 26.08 | 340 | 1.80 | 5,255 | 27.88 | 12,342 | 65.49 | 1,249 | 6.63 | 13,591 | 72.12 | -8,336 | -44.23 | 18,846 | ||||||||||||
| Genesee | 5,823 | 26.14 | 451 | 2.02 | 6,274 | 28.16 | 13,558 | 60.86 | 2,445 | 10.98 | 16,003 | 71.84 | -9,729 | -43.67 | 22,277 | ||||||||||||
| Greene | 6,730 | 33.41 | 921 | 4.57 | 7,651 | 37.98 | 10,722 | 53.23 | 1,770 | 8.79 | 12,492 | 62.02 | -4,841 | -24.03 | 20,143 | ||||||||||||
| Hamilton | 770 | 26.72 | 61 | 2.12 | 831 | 28.83 | 1,871 | 64.92 | 180 | 6.25 | 2,051 | 71.17 | -1,220 | -42.33 | 2,882 | ||||||||||||
| Herkimer | 5,389 | 24.19 | 364 | 1.63 | 5,753 | 25.82 | 14,984 | 67.25 | 1,545 | 6.93 | 16,529 | 74.18 | -10,776 | -48.36 | 22,282 | ||||||||||||
| Jefferson | 8,690 | 27.39 | 514 | 1.62 | 9,204 | 29.01 | 20,488 | 64.58 | 2,035 | 6.41 | 22,523 | 70.99 | -13,319 | -41.98 | 31,727 | ||||||||||||
| Kings | 340,206 | 60.16 | 61,908 | 10.95 | 402,114 | 71.10 | 151,740 | 26.83 | 11,690 | 2.07 | 163,430 | 28.90 | 238,684 | 42.20 | 565,544 | ||||||||||||
| Lewis | 1,933 | 18.15 | 135 | 1.27 | 2,068 | 19.42 | 7,876 | 73.97 | 704 | 6.61 | 8,580 | 80.58 | -6,512 | -61.16 | 10,648 | ||||||||||||
| Livingston | 7,551 | 31.07 | 585 | 2.41 | 8,136 | 33.48 | 13,922 | 57.28 | 2,246 | 9.24 | 16,168 | 66.52 | -8,032 | -33.05 | 24,304 | ||||||||||||
| Madison | 9,438 | 36.07 | 754 | 2.88 | 10,192 | 38.95 | 13,693 | 52.34 | 2,279 | 8.71 | 15,972 | 61.05 | -5,780 | -22.09 | 26,164 | ||||||||||||
| Monroe | 137,598 | 49.97 | 11,153 | 4.05 | 148,751 | 54.02 | 105,694 | 38.38 | 20,943 | 7.60 | 126,637 | 45.98 | 22,114 | 8.03 | 275,388 | ||||||||||||
| Montgomery | 4,708 | 29.64 | 320 | 2.01 | 5,028 | 31.65 | 9,457 | 59.53 | 1,401 | 8.82 | 10,858 | 68.35 | -5,830 | -36.70 | 15,886 | ||||||||||||
| Nassau | 222,305 | 42.90 | 9,731 | 1.88 | 232,036 | 44.78 | 264,736 | 51.09 | 21,411 | 4.13 | 286,147 | 55.22 | -54,111 | -10.44 | 518,183 | ||||||||||||
| New York | 336,737 | 74.45 | 35,412 | 7.83 | 372,149 | 82.28 | 74,592 | 16.49 | 5,567 | 1.23 | 80,159 | 17.72 | 291,990 | 64.56 | 452,308 | ||||||||||||
| Niagara | 27,791 | 36.43 | 1,878 | 2.46 | 29,669 | 38.89 | 38,338 | 50.25 | 8,289 | 10.86 | 46,627 | 61.11 | -16,958 | -22.23 | 76,296 | ||||||||||||
| Oneida | 23,658 | 31.40 | 1,700 | 2.26 | 25,358 | 33.65 | 44,685 | 59.30 | 5,306 | 7.04 | 49,991 | 66.35 | -24,633 | -32.69 | 75,349 | ||||||||||||
| Onondaga | 85,144 | 50.19 | 6,266 | 3.69 | 91,410 | 53.88 | 66,148 | 38.99 | 12,091 | 7.13 | 78,239 | 46.12 | 13,171 | 7.76 | 169,649 | ||||||||||||
| Ontario | 18,945 | 41.06 | 1,221 | 2.65 | 20,166 | 43.70 | 22,154 | 48.01 | 3,825 | 8.29 | 25,979 | 56.30 | -5,813 | -12.60 | 46,145 | ||||||||||||
| Orange | 51,397 | 41.47 | 2,989 | 2.41 | 54,386 | 43.88 | 62,845 | 50.70 | 6,713 | 5.42 | 69,558 | 56.12 | -15,172 | -12.24 | 123,944 | ||||||||||||
| Orleans | 3,086 | 22.58 | 206 | 1.51 | 3,292 | 24.09 | 8,988 | 65.76 | 1,388 | 10.16 | 10,376 | 75.91 | -7,084 | -51.83 | 13,668 | ||||||||||||
| Oswego | 12,217 | 30.38 | 898 | 2.23 | 13,115 | 32.62 | 23,935 | 59.53 | 3,159 | 7.86 | 27,094 | 67.38 | -13,979 | -34.77 | 40,209 | ||||||||||||
| Otsego | 8,104 | 36.75 | 691 | 3.13 | 8,795 | 39.89 | 11,833 | 53.66 | 1,422 | 6.45 | 13,255 | 60.11 | -4,460 | -20.23 | 22,050 | ||||||||||||
| Putnam | 15,108 | 36.57 | 1,305 | 3.16 | 16,413 | 39.73 | 22,195 | 53.73 | 2,703 | 6.54 | 24,898 | 60.27 | -8,485 | -20.54 | 41,311 | ||||||||||||
| Queens | 252,652 | 57.74 | 24,628 | 5.63 | 277,280 | 63.37 | 148,466 | 33.93 | 11,813 | 2.70 | 160,279 | 36.63 | 117,001 | 26.74 | 437,559 | ||||||||||||
| Rensselaer | 25,411 | 40.81 | 3,110 | 4.99 | 28,521 | 45.80 | 27,702 | 44.49 | 6,047 | 9.71 | 33,749 | 54.20 | -5,228 | -8.40 | 62,270 | ||||||||||||
| Richmond | 44,481 | 31.56 | 2,654 | 1.88 | 47,135 | 33.44 | 87,263 | 61.91 | 6,555 | 4.65 | 93,818 | 66.56 | -46,683 | -33.12 | 140,953 | ||||||||||||
| Rockland | 45,258 | 41.57 | 2,596 | 2.38 | 47,854 | 43.95 | 51,462 | 47.27 | 9,556 | 8.78 | 61,018 | 56.05 | -13,164 | -12.09 | 108,872 | ||||||||||||
| Saratoga | 45,052 | 43.32 | 3,131 | 3.01 | 48,183 | 46.33 | 48,463 | 46.60 | 7,361 | 7.08 | 55,824 | 53.67 | -7,641 | -7.35 | 104,007 | ||||||||||||
| Schenectady | 25,310 | 46.52 | 2,322 | 4.27 | 27,632 | 50.79 | 22,557 | 41.46 | 4,215 | 7.75 | 26,772 | 49.21 | 860 | 1.58 | 54,404 | ||||||||||||
| Schoharie | 3,560 | 27.74 | 363 | 2.83 | 3,923 | 30.57 | 7,651 | 59.62 | 1,259 | 9.81 | 8,910 | 69.43 | -4,987 | -38.86 | 12,833 | ||||||||||||
| Schuyler | 2,436 | 31.42 | 225 | 2.90 | 2,661 | 34.32 | 4,613 | 59.50 | 479 | 6.18 | 5,092 | 65.68 | -2,431 | -31.36 | 7,753 | ||||||||||||
| Seneca | 4,226 | 36.58 | 325 | 2.81 | 4,551 | 39.39 | 6,267 | 54.25 | 735 | 6.36 | 7,002 | 60.61 | -2,451 | -21.22 | 11,553 | ||||||||||||
| St. Lawrence | 10,811 | 31.54 | 780 | 2.28 | 11,591 | 33.81 | 20,167 | 58.83 | 2,520 | 7.35 | 22,687 | 66.19 | -11,096 | -32.37 | 34,278 | ||||||||||||
| Steuben | 9,053 | 26.20 | 613 | 1.77 | 9,666 | 27.98 | 22,815 | 66.03 | 2,071 | 5.99 | 24,886 | 72.02 | -15,220 | -44.05 | 34,552 | ||||||||||||
| Suffolk | 223,688 | 39.52 | 12,048 | 2.13 | 235,736 | 41.64 | 289,077 | 51.07 | 41,260 | 7.29 | 330,337 | 58.36 | -94,601 | -16.71 | 566,073 | ||||||||||||
| Sullivan | 8,912 | 35.98 | 847 | 3.42 | 9,759 | 39.40 | 13,363 | 53.95 | 1,646 | 6.65 | 15,009 | 60.60 | -5,250 | -21.20 | 24,768 | ||||||||||||
| Tioga | 5,723 | 30.14 | 394 | 2.07 | 6,117 | 32.22 | 11,863 | 62.48 | 1,008 | 5.31 | 12,871 | 67.78 | -6,754 | -35.57 | 18,988 | ||||||||||||
| Tompkins | 20,685 | 59.19 | 4,634 | 13.26 | 25,319 | 72.45 | 8,639 | 24.72 | 991 | 2.84 | 9,630 | 27.55 | 15,689 | 44.89 | 34,949 | ||||||||||||
| Ulster | 38,207 | 49.03 | 6,376 | 8.18 | 44,583 | 57.21 | 28,938 | 37.13 | 4,409 | 5.66 | 33,347 | 42.79 | 11,236 | 14.42 | 77,930 | ||||||||||||
| Warren | 11,601 | 41.23 | 772 | 2.74 | 12,373 | 43.98 | 14,131 | 50.23 | 1,630 | 5.79 | 15,761 | 56.02 | -3,388 | -12.04 | 28,134 | ||||||||||||
| Washington | 7,361 | 33.31 | 585 | 2.65 | 7,946 | 35.95 | 12,655 | 57.26 | 1,500 | 6.79 | 14,155 | 64.05 | -6,209 | -28.09 | 22,101 | ||||||||||||
| Wayne | 10,074 | 29.95 | 740 | 2.20 | 10,814 | 32.15 | 19,081 | 56.73 | 3,742 | 11.12 | 22,823 | 67.85 | -12,009 | -35.70 | 33,637 | ||||||||||||
| Westchester | 187,342 | 57.08 | 10,860 | 3.31 | 198,202 | 60.38 | 119,352 | 36.36 | 10,683 | 3.25 | 130,035 | 39.62 | 68,167 | 20.77 | 328,237 | ||||||||||||
| Wyoming | 3,041 | 19.91 | 251 | 1.64 | 3,292 | 21.56 | 10,376 | 67.95 | 1,602 | 10.49 | 11,978 | 78.44 | -8,686 | -56.88 | 15,270 | ||||||||||||
| Yates | 2,715 | 32.86 | 186 | 2.25 | 2,901 | 35.11 | 4,729 | 57.23 | 633 | 7.66 | 5,362 | 64.89 | -2,461 | -29.78 | 8,263 | ||||||||||||
| Totals | 2,879,092 | 48.77 | 261,323 | 4.43 | 3,140,415 | 53.20 | 2,449,394 | 41.49 | 313,187 | 5.31 | 2,762,581 | 46.80 | 377,834 | 6.40 | 5,902,996 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 gubernatorial election in New York City | Manhattan | The Bronx | Brooklyn | Queens | Staten Island | Total | |||
| Democratic- Working Families | Kathy Hochul | 372,149 | 155,564 | 402,114 | 277,280 | 47,135 | 1,254,242 | 69.8% | |
| 82.3% | 77.6% | 71.1% | 63.4% | 33.4% | |||||
| Republican- Conservative | Lee Zeldin | 80,159 | 44,948 | 163,430 | 160,279 | 93,818 | 542,634 | 30.2% | |
| 17.7% | 22.4% | 28.9% | 36.6% | 66.6% | |||||
Hochul won 42 of 51 city council districts, while Zeldin won 9 of 51 city council districts, including three held by Democrats.[103] [104]
Hochul won 14 of 26 congressional districts with the remaining 12 going to Zeldin, including one that elected a Democrat.[105]
New York has been a solidly Democratic state, and has not elected a Republican to statewide office since George Pataki's win in 2002. Despite this, polls showed the race narrowing, with the main focus of the election being crime.[106] Zeldin accused Hochul of being weak on crime and education issues, promising to declare a statewide crime emergency and to repeal cashless bail,[107] while Hochul attacked him for his ties to former president Donald Trump and the anti-abortion movement.[108]
By October, analysts viewed the race as tightening, although Hochul was still favored. The Associated Press stated that Zeldin's focus on crime was persuasive, leading to a closer race. Hochul's campaign ramped up in the final weeks in an effort to prevent an upset loss. She pivoted her messaging to focus more on crime.[109] She also reached out to the Working Families Party and campaigned with Democrats such as Hillary Clinton.[110]
Ultimately, Hochul defeated Zeldin by a margin of 6.4%, making her the first woman to be elected governor of New York. Despite his loss, Zeldin's performance was the best a Republican had done since George Pataki's victory in 2002, the closest gubernatorial race since 1994, and the most votes a Republican had received for the position in 52 years, since Nelson Rockefeller in 1970. Additionally, Zeldin's coattails significantly narrowed other statewide races, with Democratic senator Chuck Schumer, who last won by over 43 points in 2016, only winning by just over 14 points in 2022. Republicans also flipped 4 congressional seats in the state, contributing to them winning the House of Representatives. Due to his overperformance, Zeldin was considered to be a challenger to Ronna McDaniel as chair of the Republican National Committee; however, he later declined though he stated that he would remain in politics.[111] [112]
Fox News Voter Analysis showed in their exit polls that Zeldin won White voters (54%-46%) while Hochul won African Americans (82%-17%), Latinos (64%-35%) including Puerto Rican Americans (66%-33%) and other minorities (58%-41%). https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2022/midterm-results/voter-analysis?year=2022&state=NY