| Election Name: | 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election |
| Country: | Alaska |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2010 Alaska gubernatorial election |
| Previous Year: | 2010 |
| Next Election: | 2018 Alaska gubernatorial election |
| Next Year: | 2018 |
| Election Date: | November 4, 2014 |
| Image1: | File:Bill Walker.jpg |
| Nominee1: | Bill Walker |
| Party1: | Independent (United States) |
| Alliance1: | Democratic |
| Running Mate1: | Byron Mallott |
| Popular Vote1: | 134,658 |
| Percentage1: | 48.10% |
| Nominee2: | Sean Parnell |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Running Mate2: | Dan Sullivan |
| Popular Vote2: | 128,435 |
| Percentage2: | 45.88% |
| Governor | |
| Before Election: | Sean Parnell |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Bill Walker |
| After Party: | Independent politician |
The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent lieutenant governor Mead Treadwell instead chose to run for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.
Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan.[1] The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an independent was former Republican mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.
On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker ran for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew.[2] Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Former Republican governor Sarah Palin, who had praised Parnell as her successor when she resigned in 2009, endorsed Walker and Mallott, taking issue with Parnell's tax cuts for the oil and gas industry.
On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead,[3] which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%.[4] Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede.[5] [6] [7] [8] [9] On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes,[10] multiple media outlets called the race.[11] [12] Parnell conceded the following day.[13] His loss – coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election – marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which an incumbent governor and senator from different political parties were defeated in the same state in the same election cycle.[14] .
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell | Bill Walker | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 507 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard.[36] [37] [38]
In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated[39] in August 2014. Walker and Mallott made the repeal of the tax cuts a centerpiece of their campaign.[40]
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[41] | November 3, 2014 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | November 3, 2014 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg Political Report[43] | November 3, 2014 | ||
| align=left | Real Clear Politics[44] | November 3, 2014 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Byron Mallott (D) | Bill Walker (I) | Other | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2014 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 45% | — | align=center | 46% | 4%[45] | 5% | |
| 47% | — | align=center | 48% | — | 6% | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27–30, 2014 | 887 | ± 4% | 43% | — | align=center | 50% | — | 7% | |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 561 | ± 9% | align=center | 42% | — | 39% | 0% | 20% | |
| Hellenthal & Associates | October 15–21, 2014 | 403 | ± 4.88% | align=center | 44% | — | 43% | 5%[46] | 9% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 8–12, 2014 | 700 | ± 4% | 41% | — | align=center | 50% | 2% | 7% | |
| Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 706 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 42% | — | 37% | 8%[47] | 13% | |
| CNN/ORC | October 1–6, 2014 | 704 LV | ± 3.5% | 45% | — | align=center | 51% | — | 3% | |
| 875 RV | ± 3.4% | 46% | — | align=center | 49% | 1% | 5% | |||
| Hickman Analytics | September 26 – October 2, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 46% | — | 38% | 7%[48] | 10% | |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 593 | ± 5% | 40% | — | align=center | 45% | 1% | 14% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23–24, 2014 | 713 | ± 4% | 42% | — | align=center | 47% | 5% | 6% | |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2014 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 41% | — | align=center | 42% | 5%[49] | 13% | |
| 41% | — | align=center | 45% | — | 14% | |||||
| Hays Research/AFL-CIO | September 13–14, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 30% | — | align=center | 37% | 33% | ||
| Hays Research* | August 20–22, 2014 | 474 | ± 4.5% | 40% | — | align=center | 43% | — | 15% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20–21, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | align=center | 47% | 36% | — | 11% | 6% | |
| Public Policy Polling | July 31 – August 1, 2014 | 673 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 37% | 22% | 20% | 5%[50] | 16% | |
| align=center | 48% | 37% | — | — | 14% | |||||
| align=center | 41% | — | 40% | — | 19% | |||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 450 | ± 5.2% | align=center | 55% | 29% | — | 6% | 8% | |
| Public Policy Polling | May 8–11, 2014 | 582 | ± 4.1% | align=center | 37% | 27% | 17% | 4%[51] | 15% | |
| Public Policy Polling | January 30 – February 1, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.4% | align=center | 41% | 25% | 16% | 3% | 15% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Ethan Berkowitz (D) | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | align=center | 51% | 38% | 12% | |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | align=center | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Hollis French (D) | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | align=center | 54% | 33% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Les Gara (D) | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | align=center | 53% | 33% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Scott McAdams (D) | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | align=center | 52% | 34% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Mike Navarre (D) | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | align=center | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Joe Paskvan (D) | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% | align=center | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Sean Parnell (R) | Bill | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | 890 | ± 3.3% | align=center | 52% | 33% | 15% |