2002 Alabama gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2002 Alabama gubernatorial election
Country:Alabama
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1998 Alabama gubernatorial election
Previous Year:1998
Next Election:2006 Alabama gubernatorial election
Next Year:2006
Election Date:November 5, 2002
Image1:File:Governor Bob Riley (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Bob Riley
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:672,225
Percentage1:49.17%
Nominee2:Don Siegelman
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:669,105
Percentage2:48.95%
Governor
Before Election:Don Siegelman
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Bob Riley
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2002 Alabama gubernatorial election was held on November 5. With 669,105 votes or 48.95%, incumbent Democrat Don Siegelman lost re-election to Republican Bob Riley (who got 672,225 votes or 49.17%), a margin of 3,120 votes or 0.22%. The close and controversial election was marked by high turnout. This was the third consecutive Alabama gubernatorial election where the incumbent was defeated. Riley was sworn in on January 20, 2003, marking what is to date the last time the Alabama Governor’s office changed partisan control.

Primary elections were held on June 4. Both of the nominees faced less opposition than expected.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

General election

Campaign

The closeness of the general election contest was reflected in its intensity and fervor. At one point in the campaign, a clash erupted between the two principal campaigns over disclosure of the identities of large contributors to the Riley campaign. President George W. Bush appeared in Alabama at a July event, and a private reception with a $50,000 admission was held to benefit the Riley campaign. Riley's campaign initially refused to identify the donors attending the event. Later, under pressure from the Siegelman campaign, Riley called on the national Republican Party, which had hosted the event, to release the names of donors.[3] The Riley campaign was subjected to editorial criticism when the voluminous reports released made it difficult to trace the sources of donations from the event to Riley.[4]

During the campaign, actor and National Rifle Association president Charlton Heston came to Alabama to campaign for Republican congressional candidates. While in the state, Heston released a written statement endorsing Siegelman, despite the fact that Riley had made a point of being seen in public with Heston. Spokesmen for both Riley and the Alabama Republican Party issued statements insinuating that Siegelman had taken advantage of Heston's recently diagnosed Alzheimer's disease to secure the endorsement. After a firestorm of criticism from the NRA and editorial pages, the Republican spokesmen apologized to Heston, but not to Siegelman.[5]

Riley received the endorsements of The Birmingham News,[6] the Mobile Press-Register, the Business Council of Alabama, and the Auburn University Trustee Improvement PAC, an alumni group which opposed Siegelman's choices for trustees at the school (Siegleman re-appointed controversial trustee Bobby Lowder, notorious for constant interference in the university's affairs).[7] In addition to the NRA, Siegelman was endorsed by The Montgomery Advertiser, The Anniston Star, The Tuscaloosa News, and various labor groups, including the Alabama State Employees Association.[8] Siegelman was also endorsed by Alabama Education Association executive secretary Paul Hubbert, although the Association itself remained officially neutral.[9]

The campaign set new spending records for an Alabama gubernatorial race. Even before the final weeks of the campaign, the candidates had raised over $17,000,000. Riley, who raised and spent over twice the sum Siegelman raised, was primarily backed by business groups and insurance companies. Siegelman received substantial contributions from labor groups and affiliates of the Alabama Education Association. Both candidates were the beneficiaries of national party funding, and contributions from political action committees made donations to both candidates difficult to trace.[10]

Polls taken in the final days of the campaign reflected the eventual close outcome.[11]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[12] October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] November 4, 2002

Results

Initial returns showed Riley narrowly losing to Siegelman. Siegelman gave a victory speech on election night, and the Associated Press initially declared him the winner.[14]

However, officials in Baldwin County conducted a recount and retabulation of that county's votes after midnight, and after Democratic Party observers had gone home for the night.[15] Approximately 6,000 votes initially credited to Siegelman were either removed from the total or reassigned to Riley in the recount, turning the statewide result in Riley's favor.[16] Local Republican officials claimed the earlier returns were the result of a "computer glitch."[17]

Democratic requests to repeat the recount with Democratic observers present were rejected by Alabama courts and then-Attorney General Bill Pryor. Siegelman and his supporters complained that these judges (and Pryor) were either elected as Republicans or appointed by Republican presidents.[18] After over a week of fights in courtrooms and in the media, Siegelman, on November 18, 2002, made a televised address, saying that, "I've decided that a prolonged election controversy would hurt Alabama, would hurt the very people that we worked so hard to help", and abandoned his efforts to secure a recount of the Baldwin County vote, allowing Riley to take office.[19]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Despite winning 4 out of 7 congressional districts, Riley lost his old district by around 7% after it was redistricted to become more Democratic.[20]

DistrictBob RileyRepublicanDon SiegelmanDemocraticRepresentative
56.17%41.91%Sonny Callahan (107th Congress)
Jo Bonner (108th Congress)
54.11%44.19%Terry Everett
45.82%52.55%Bob Riley (107th Congress)
Mike Rogers (108th Congress)
49.76%48.00%Robert Aderholt
47.35%50.06%Robert E. Cramer
62.49%35.53%Spencer Bachus
26.24%72.71%Earl Hilliard (107th Congress)
Artur Davis (108th Congress)

Aftermath

Riley's victory was controversial and caused many commentators to recall the Florida election recount of 2000.[21] [22]

In response to the allegation of a "computer glitch", Siegelman later stated: "[N]ow one would expect that if there was some kind of computer glitch or some kind of computer programming error, that it might have affected more than one race, but it further raised suspicions about vote stealing when the votes came back and they were certified, and the only person who lost votes was Don Siegelman, the Democrat, and the only person who gained votes was Bob Riley, the Republican."[23]

A number of analyses of the competing claims were undertaken at the time, with conflicting results. In one such study, Auburn University political scientist James H. Gundlach concluded that a detailed analysis of the returns, compared with 1998 results and returns from undisputed counties, "strongly suggests a systematic manipulation of the voting results."[24] The Gundlach study also suggested a mechanism by which this could have been effected, and proposed a conclusion that Siegelman won. An earlier analysis reported by the Associated Press, using a less sophisticated comparison of gubernatorial and legislative returns, was claimed to indicate that the revised returns were more accurate, and that Riley probably won.[25] The Gundlach paper offers a refutation of the conclusions of the Associated Press study.

Largely as a result of this controversy,[26] the Alabama Legislature later amended the election code to provide for automatic, supervised recounts in close races.[27]

References

Note on references: Many of the sources cited above (as added in May 2008) are not available from free online sources. The Birmingham News, the Mobile Press-Register, The Montgomery Advertiser, and The Anniston Star have online archives on a fee basis. The Birmingham and Mobile newspaper archives may be accessed via www.al.com, while archives of The Anniston Star can be accessed at www.annistonstar.com. Archived articles of The Montgomery Advertiser may be purchased at www.montgomeryadvertiser.com Archived articles from all of these newspapers are also available to subscribers, or on a per-document fee basis, on Westlaw and Lexis-Nexis.

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Alabama Democratic Party 2002 Primary Tabulation of Results. Alabama Secretary of State. September 19, 2016.
  2. "Siegelman vs. Riley: Governor, Congressman Win Party Contests Handily", The Birmingham News, June 5, 2002, p. 1A.
  3. "Riley Doesn't Report VIP Donor List", The Birmingham News, September 25, 2002, p. 1A.
  4. Editorial: "Once Again, Voters Lose Money Game", The Birmingham News, September 29, 2002, p. 8A.
  5. Editorial: "Siegelman, Too", The Montgomery Advertiser, September 26, 2002, p. A6.
  6. Editorial: "Our Endorsements", The Birmingham News, November 3, 2002, p. B2.
  7. "Auburn Group Endorses Riley", The Anniston Star, October 22, 2002, p. A1.
  8. "Siegelman Touts Emphasis on Education, New Industry", The Birmingham News, November 5, 2002, p. 1A (listing endorsements for both candidates).
  9. "Siegelman Endorsed by Hubbert", The Birmingham News, October 19, 2002, p. 12A.
  10. "Siegelman, Riley Raise Record $17 Million", The Birmingham News, September 24, 2002, p. 1A.
  11. "Poll Shows Governor's Race Even", The Montgomery Advertiser, October 24, 2002, p. B3.
  12. Web site: Governor Updated October 31, 2002 The Cook Political Report. https://web.archive.org/web/20021208065752/http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225. December 8, 2002. The Cook Political Report. en. October 31, 2002. September 18, 2018. dead. mdy-all.
  13. Web site: Governors Races. https://web.archive.org/web/20021212142349/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/governor_all.htm. December 12, 2002. www.centerforpolitics.org. en-US. November 4, 2002. September 18, 2018. dead. mdy-all.
  14. "Two Men Act like Winners", The Birmingham News, November 7, 2002, p. 1A.
  15. "Baldwin in Eye of Ballot Storm", The Birmingham News, November 7, 2002, p. 1A.
  16. "Riley Claims Win", The Montgomery Advertiser, November 7, 2002, p. A1.
  17. "Post-Election Alabama Is Seeing Double", The Washington Post, November 8, 2002, p. A10.
  18. "Attorney General Stops Recount Move", The Birmingham News, November 9, 2002, p. 1A.
  19. "Siegelman Concedes: Recount Efforts Abandoned", The Birmingham News, November 19, 2002, p. 1A.
  20. MoreThanPol . 1378019595194302464 .
    1. ElectionTwitter Alabama's 2002 gubernatorial election saw incumbent Don Siegelman (D) losing to then-congressman Bob Riley (R) by the tightest of margins. Initial returns showed Siegelman leading narrowly, but a "computer glitch" from Baldwin County changed everything.
    . April 3, 2021 . April 30, 2021.
  21. Web site: Editorial Cartoon: Mobile Press-Register, November 7, 2002 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20070930013232/http://www.al.com/opinion/mobileregister/cartoons/110702_crowe.jpg . September 30, 2007 . May 25, 2006 . mdy-all.
  22. Web site: Editorial Cartoon: The Birmingham News, November 7, 2002 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20070930031529/http://www.al.com/opinion/birminghamnews/cartoons/110702_stantis.jpg . September 30, 2007 . May 25, 2006 . mdy-all.
  23. Web site: "Siegelman speaks!" at democracyfornewhampshire.com . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20081121102104/http://www.democracyfornewhampshire.com/node/view/5209 . 2008-11-21 . 2008-05-27.
  24. James H. Gundlach, A Statistical Analysis of Possible Electronic Ballot Stuffing: The Case of the Baldwin County, Alabama Governor's Race in 2002 (Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Alabama Political Science Association, Troy, Alabama, April 11, 2003) Click here to view.
  25. https://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/2002-11-07-siegelman_x.htm USA Today, November 7, 2002
  26. "Vote Dispute Prompts Reform Calls", The Montgomery Advertiser, November 21, 2002, p. A1.
  27. Web site: Alabama Code § 17-16-20 . 2008-05-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110724105935/http://alisdb.legislature.state.al.us/acas/CodeOfAlabama/1975/17-16-20.htm . 2011-07-24 . dead .