| Election Name: | 44th Quebec general election |
| Country: | Quebec |
| Type: | legislative |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Party Colour: | no |
| Party Name: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2022 Quebec general election |
| Previous Year: | 2022 |
| Outgoing Members: | 43rd Quebec Legislature |
| Election Date: | On or before |
| Seats For Election: | 125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec |
| Majority Seats: | 63 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Image1 Size: | x160px |
| Leader1: | François Legault |
| Leader Since1: | November 4, 2011 |
| Leaders Seat1: | L'Assomption |
| Last Election1: | 90 seats, 40.98% |
| Seats Before1: | 88 |
| Leader2: | Marc Tanguay (interim) |
| Leader Since2: | November 10, 2022 |
| Leaders Seat2: | LaFontaine |
| Last Election2: | 21 seats, 14.37% |
| Seats Before2: | 19 |
| Seats Needed2: | 44 |
| Image3 Size: | x160px |
| Leader3: | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois |
| Leader Since3: | May 21, 2017 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Gouin |
| Last Election3: | 11 seats, 15.43% |
| Seats Before3: | 12 |
| Seats Needed3: | 51 |
| Image4 Size: | x160px |
| Leader4: | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon |
| Leader Since4: | October 9, 2020 |
| Leaders Seat4: | Camille-Laurin |
| Last Election4: | 3 seats, 14.61% |
| Seats Before4: | 4 |
| Seats Needed4: | 59 |
| Image5 Size: | x160px |
| Leader5: | Éric Duhaime |
| Leader Since5: | April 17, 2021 |
| Leaders Seat5: | None |
| Last Election5: | 0 seats, 12.91% |
| Seats Before5: | 0 |
| Seats Needed5: | 63 |
| Premier | |
| Before Election: | François Legault |
| Posttitle: | Premier-designate |
The 44th Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 5, 2026, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[1] setting the date for October 5, 2026. However, the act does not fetter the discretion of the Lieutenant Governor of Quebec to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.
In the 2022 general election, the Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority, winning 90 seats. The Liberals, despite finishing fourth in the popular vote behind Québec solidaire and the Parti Québécois, remained the official opposition winning 21 seats.[2] The Parti Québecois lost most of its remaining seats but managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to a seat.[3] The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats.[4]
The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the National Assembly after the 2022 provincial election.
| Polling aggregator | Date updated | Source | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | Other | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada | June 18, 2024 | https://338canada.com/quebec | 23.8 | 13.8 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 11.2 | 2.2 | 8.2 | ||
| Polling Canada | June 13, 2024 | https://canadianpolling.ca/QC-2022 | 23.3 | 15.1 | 32.6 | 16.1 | 10.6 | 2.3 | 9.3 | ||
| 2022 election | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | 25.6 |
| Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Sample size | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | Other | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pallas Data | June 22, 2024 | 1,445 | ±2.6% | 21.7 | 13.2 | 35.0 | 16.7 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 13.3 | |
| Pallas Data | June 8, 2024 | 1,339 | ±2.7% | 21.5 | 15.9 | 33.1 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 11.6 | |
| Leger | June 3, 2024 | 1,015 | ±3.08% | 25 | 14 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 7 | |
| Leger | May 13, 2024 | 1,031 | ±3.05% | 22 | 12 | 32 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 10 | |
| Leger | April 21, 2024 | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 24 | 14 | 34 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 10 | |
| Pallas Data | April 21, 2024 | 1,256 | ±2.8% | 19.5 | 12.9 | 32.9 | 22.8 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 10.1 | |
| Leger | March 18, 2024 | 1,033 | ±3.05% | 22 | 18 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 12 | |
| Pallas Data | February 24, 2024 | 1,122 | ±2.9% | 23.1 | 16.5 | 31.4 | 14.5 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 8.3 | |
| Leger | February 5, 2024 | 1,032 | ±3.05% | 25 | 16 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 7 | |
| Pallas Data | January 24, 2024 | 1,175 | ±2.9% | 21.1 | 17.0 | 31.7 | 15.4 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 10.6 | |
| Leger | December 4, 2023 | 1,040 | ±3.04% | 25 | 17 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 6 | |
| Pallas Data | November 18, 2023 | 1,178 | ±2.86% | 24.1 | 16.1 | 30.4 | 15.5 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 6.3 | |
| Leger | October 30, 2023 | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 30 | 15 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | |
| PQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon on October 2, 2023. | |||||||||||
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | 1,095 | ±3.0% | 34.5 | 15.4 | 19.0 | 14.7 | 14.6 | 1.9 | 15.5 | |
| Leger | September 25, 2023 | 1,028 | ±3.06% | 34 | 17 | 22 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 12 | |
| Leger | August 21, 2023 | 1,036 | ±3.0% | 37 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 15 | |
| Leger | June 12, 2023 | 1,042 | ±3.0% | 37 | 16 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 14 | |
| Angus Reid | June 3, 2023 | 506 | 33 | 17 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 11 | ||
| Leger | May 1, 2023 | 1,201 | ±3.0% | 36 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 14 | |
| QS wins the by-election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne on March 13, 2023. | |||||||||||
| Leger | February 26, 2023 | 1,044 | ±3.0% | 40 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 22 | |
| Leger | December 10, 2022 | 1,002 | ±3.1% | 41 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 23 | |
| Leger | November 6, 2022 | 1,028 | ±3.1% | 36 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 | |
| 2022 election | 4,169,137 | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | 25.6 | |||