2019 Manitoba general election explained

Election Name:	2019 Manitoba general election
Country:	Manitoba
Type:	parliamentary
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2016 Manitoba general election
Previous Year:	2016
Election Date:	September 10, 2019
Next Election:	2023 Manitoba general election
Next Year:	2023
Seats For Election:	57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion Polls:	Opinion polls
Turnout:	55.04%
Leader Since1:	July 30, 2012
Leaders Seat1:	Fort Whyte
Seats Before1:	38
Seats1:	36
Seat Change1:	2
Popular Vote1:	222,569
Percentage1:	46.81%
Swing1:	6.27%
Leader Since2:	September 16, 2017
Leaders Seat2:	Fort Rouge
Last Election2:	14 seats, 25.73%
Seats Before2:	12
Seats2:	18
Seat Change2:	6
Popular Vote2:	150,016
Percentage2:	31.55%
Swing2:	5.77%
Leader4:	Dougald Lamont
Leaders Seat4:	St. Boniface
Last Election4:	3 seats, 14.46%
Seats Before4:	4
Seats4:	3
Seat Change4:	1
Popular Vote4:	69,497
Percentage4:	14.62%
Swing4:	0.22%
Leader5:	James Beddome
Leader Since5:	November 15, 2014
Leaders Seat5:	ran in Fort Rouge (lost)
Last Election5:	0 seats, 5.07%
Seats Before5:	0
Seats5:	0
Popular Vote5:	30,295
Percentage5:	6.37%
Swing5:	1.30%
Premier
Before Election:	Brian Pallister
Before Party:	Progressive Conservative
Posttitle:	Premier after election
After Election:	Brian Pallister
After Party:	Progressive Conservative

The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.^[1]

The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

Background

Date

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.^[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.^[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.^[4]

Electoral boundaries

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.^{[5] [6]}

Timeline

2016

• May 3: Government is sworn in
• May 7: Greg Selinger resigns as leader and Flor Marcelino becomes interim Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
• September 24: Rana Bokhari resigns as Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
• October 21: Judy Klassen becomes interim Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.

2017

• January 9: Kevin Chief resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas, causing a by-election.
• January 31: NDP MLA Mohinder Saran suspended from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
• June 13: Bernadette Smith elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas holding the seat for the NDP with a reduced majority.
• June 13: Judy Klassen resigns as interim leader to run for Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. Paul Brault becomes acting Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
• June 30: Progressive Conservative MLA Steven Fletcher expelled from the caucus after breaking with the party on multiple issues.
• September 16: Wab Kinew elected Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
• October 21: Dougald Lamont elected Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.

2018

• March 7: Greg Selinger resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, causing a by-election.
• March 21: NDP MLA for Wolseley, Rob Altemeyer, announces that he will not seek re-election.^[7]
• July 17: Liberal leader Dougald Lamont elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, gaining the seat from the NDP and winning official party status for the Liberals.
• August 13: Steven Fletcher joins the Manitoba Party.^[8]
• September 11: Steven Fletcher becomes Leader of the Manitoba Party.
• October 22: Progressive Conservative MLA Cliff Graydon expelled from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
• December 14: Final Report of the Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission released.^[9]
• December 14: NDP MLA for Fort Garry-Riverview, James Allum, announces that he will not seek re-election.^[10]

2019

• April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election.^[11]
• August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10.^[12]
• September 10: The election is held.

Movement in seats held

41st Manitoba Legislature - Movement in seats held up to the election (2016-2019)

Party		2016	Gain/(loss) due to					2019
			Resignation as MLA	Expulsion/ Suspension	Switching allegiance	Byelection gain	Byelection hold
40		(2)				38
14	(2)	(1)			1	12
3				1		4
-			1			1
-		3	(1)			2
Total		57	(2)	-	-	1	1	57

Changes in seats held (2016–2019)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Point Douglas	January 9, 2017	Kevin Chief		Resignation	June 13, 2017	Bernadette Smith
The Maples	January 31, 2017	Mohinder Saran		Suspended from caucus
	June 30, 2017	Steven Fletcher		Expelled from caucus
	September 11, 2018			Becomes leader of new party
St. Boniface	March 7, 2018	Greg Selinger		Resignation	July 17, 2018	Dougald Lamont
Emerson	October 22, 2018	Cliff Graydon		Expelled from caucus

Historical results from 1990 onwards

Campaign

Riding contests, by number of candidates (2019)

Candidates	align="center"	PC	align="center"	NDP	align="center"	Lib	align="center"	Grn	style="color: white" align="center"	MFW	style="color: white" align="center"	M1ST	align="center"	Comm	align="center"	Ind	Total
3	13	13	13						39
4	29	29	29	28	1				116
5	10	10	10	10	2	4	2	2	50
6	5	5	5	5	4	2	3	1	30
Total	57	57	57	43	7	6	5	3	235

Results

|- !rowspan="2" colspan="2"|Party!rowspan="2"|Leader!rowspan="2"|

Candidates!colspan="4"|Seats!colspan="3"|Popular vote|-!2016!Dissolution!2019!+/-!Votes!%!+/-|align=left||57 ||40 |||38||36 ||-4 ||222,569||46.81 || -6.27|align=left|Wab Kinew|57 ||14 ||12 ||18 ||+4 ||150,016||31.55|| +5.77|align=left|Dougald Lamont|57 ||3 ||4 || 3|| – ||69,497||14.62||+0.22|align=left||43 || - || - || - || - ||30,295||6.37||+1.30|align=left|Manitoba Forward|align=left|Wayne Sturby|7 || - || - || - || - ||1,339||0.28 |||align=left|Manitoba First|align=left|Douglas Petrick|6 || - ||1 || - || – ||647||0.14||-0.98|align=left|Darrell Rankin|5 || - || - || - || - ||214||0.05||-0.02|-| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Independents|3 || - ||2 ||  - || –||854||0.18||-0.29|-| colspan="4" style="text-align:left;"|Vacant| |0|||||  - || || |||-| colspan="5" ||-| style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Valid votes| || || ||||||478,926|| 99.27 || |-| style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Blank and invalid votes| || || ||||||3,495|| 0.73 || |-| style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Total|235 ||57 ||57 ||57||||482,421|| 100|| |-| style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Registered voters/turnout| || || ||||||870,137||55.44 |||}

Synopsis of results

2019 Manitoba general election - synopsis of riding results^[13]
Riding^[14]	2016 ^[15]		Winning party						Turnout ^[16]	Votes^[17]
			Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %		PC	NDP	Lib	Grn		Other	Total
Agassiz			PC			PC	5,700	75.53%	4,736	62.75%	56.05%	5,700	964	463	420	-	-	7,547
Assiniboia			PC			PC	4,108	44.25%	816	8.79%	54.70%	4,108	3,292	1,247	636	-	-	9,283
Borderland			PC			PC	4,886	66.09%	3,660	49.50%	61.86%	4,886	291	1,226	250	740	-	7,393
Brandon East			PC			PC	3,294	51.00%	947	14.66%	45.68%	3,294	2,347	818	-	-	-	6,459
Brandon West			PC			PC	4,311	58.39%	2,554	34.59%	51.27%	4,311	1,757	567	748	-	-	7,383
Burrows			Lib			NDP	2,555	39.70%	874	13.58%	46.08%	1,681	2,555	1,178	-	-	1,022	6,436
Concordia			NDP			NDP	4,305	59.69%	2,010	27.87%	48.46%	2,295	4,305	612	-	-	-	7,212
Dauphin			PC			PC	4,805	50.52%	773	8.13%	58.62%	4,805	4,032	675	-	-	-	9,512
Dawson Trail			PC			PC	4,555	55.41%	2,675	32.54%	57.84%	4,555	1,785	1,880	-	-	-	8,220
Elmwood			NDP			NDP	3,886	48.68%	1,346	16.86%	50.23%	2,540	3,886	746	765	-	45	7,982
Flin Flon			NDP			NDP	3,173	63.19%	1,816	36.17%	33.91%	1,357	3,173	299	192	-	-	5,021
Fort Garry			PC			NDP	4,003	42.35%	996	10.54%	61.69%	3,007	4,003	1,719	723	-	-	9,452
Fort Richmond			PC			PC	3,242	42.15%	879	11.43%	57.38%	3,242	1,708	2,363	379	-	-	7,692
Fort Rouge			NDP			NDP	5,055	51.24%	3,198	32.41%	58.76%	1,857	5,055	1,290	1,580	-	84	9,866
Fort Whyte			PC			PC	5,619	57.19%	3,862	39.30%	60.35%	5,619	1,757	1,731	665	-	54	9,826
Interlake-Gimli			PC			PC	6,165	58.62%	2,687	25.55%	65.56%	6,165	3,478	400	473	-	-	10,516
Keewatinook			Liberal			NDP	1,932	67.08%	1,397	48.51%	21.84%	413	1,932	535	-	-	-	2,880
Kildonan-River East			PC			PC	5,523	51.10%	1,844	17.06%	61.82%	5,523	3,679	1,607	-	-	-	10,809
Kirkfield Park			PC			PC	5,445	50.36%	2,668	24.67%	61.25%	5,445	2,777	1,695	896	-	-	10,813
La Verendrye			PC			PC	5,310	72.79%	4,264	58.45%	55.41%	5,310	1,046	939	-	-	-	7,295
Lac du Bonnet			PC			PC	6,177	65.91%	4,363	46.55%	61.24%	6,177	1,814	1,381	-	-	-	9,372
Lagimodière			PC			PC	5,187	51.78%	2,395	23.91%	62.27%	5,187	2,792	1,481	557	-	-	10,018
Lakeside			PC			PC	6,409	68.24%	4,320	46.00%	59.22%	6,409	2,089	894	-	-	-	9,392
McPhillips			PC			PC	3,359	38.19%	88	1.00%	56.64%	3,359	3,271	1,506	414	-	245	8,795
Midland			PC			PC	6,706	75.01%	5,334	59.66%	59.27%	6,706	1,372	862	-	-	-	8,940
Morden-Winkler			PC			PC	6,109	80.86%	5,305	70.22%	51.19%	6,109	365	277	804	-	-	7,555
Notre Dame			NDP			NDP	3,420	65.01%	2,626	49.91%	40.86%	794	3,420	719	267	-	61	5,261
Point Douglas			NDP			NDP	3,136	62.35%	2,373	47.18%	36.00%	763	3,136	594	414	-	123	5,030
Portage la Prairie			PC			PC	4,502	65.67%	2,994	43.68%	48.64%	4,502	1,508	845	-	-	-	6,855
Radisson			PC			PC	4,527	46.97%	989	10.26%	56.47%	4,527	3,538	1,002	572	-	-	9,639
Red River North			PC			PC	5,569	57.97%	3,180	33.10%	63.96%	5,569	2,389	735	740	-	173	9,606
Riding Mountain			PC			PC	6,126	65.91%	4,156	44.72%	55.72%	6,126	1,970	472	726	-	-	9,294
Riel			PC			PC	4,734	44.75%	990	9.36%	63.24%	4,734	3,744	1,471	630	-	-	10,579
River Heights			Lib			Lib	5,884	53.79%	3,182	29.09%	65.48%	2,702	1,595	5,884	757	-	-	10,938
Roblin			PC			PC	6,203	55.19%	4,180	37.19%	61.83%	6,203	2,023	1,775	1,238	-	-	11,239
Rossmere			PC			PC	4,369	46.91%	751	8.06%	59.62%	4,369	3,618	711	615	-	-	9,313
Seine River			PC			PC	4,372	45.04%	1,847	19.03%	62.12%	4,372	2,525	2,151	659	-	-	9,707
Selkirk			PC			PC	4,872	51.84%	1,543	16.42%	59.25%	4,872	3,329	482	716	-	-	9,399
Southdale			PC			PC	4,493	42.40%	483	4.56%	61.66%	4,493	4,010	1,427	595	-	71	10,596
Springfield-Ritchot			PC			PC	5,670	59.48%	3,688	38.69%	60.56%	5,670	1,982	814	1,066	-	-	9,532
Spruce Woods			PC			PC	5,665	68.06%	4,344	52.19%	56.75%	5,665	1,321	517	820	-	-	8,323
St. Boniface			NDP			Lib	4,152	41.68%	1,177	11.82%	59.78%	1,907	2,975	4,152	845	-	81	9,960
St. James			PC			NDP	4,002	47.25%	1,221	14.42%	55.78%	2,781	4,002	880	806	-	-	8,469
St. Johns			NDP			NDP	3,548	51.88%	1,874	27.40%	47.34%	1,674	3,548	1,111	506	-	-	6,839
St. Vital			PC			NDP	4,092	44.47%	881	9.58%	60.78%	3,211	4,092	1,274	502	62	60	9,201
Steinbach			PC			PC	6,241	81.64%	5,625	73.58%	52.49%	6,241	616	370	418	-	-	7,645
Swan River			PC			PC	5,546	68.87%	3,462	42.99%	54.87%	5,546	2,084	423	-	-	-	8,053
The Maples			NDP			NDP	2,792	39.51%	689	9.75%	53.08%	1,883	2,792	2,103	289	-	-	7,067
The Pas-Kameesak			NDP			NDP	3,180	57.90%	1,844	33.58%	43.04%	1,336	3,180	186	790	-	-	5,492
Thompson			PC			NDP	2,686	54.55%	929	18.87%	37.27%	1,757	2,686	183	298	-	-	4,924
Transcona			PC			NDP	4,030	46.42%	112	1.29%	52.45%	3,918	4,030	734	-	-	-	8,682
Turtle Mountain			PC			PC	6,210	67.48%	4,838	52.57%	57.28%	6,210	1,003	618	1,372	-	-	9,203
Tuxedo			PC			PC	4,645	47.85%	2,358	24.29%	57.90%	4,645	1,921	2,287	793	-	61	9,707
Tyndall Park			NDP			Lib	4,301	54.67%	1,898	24.13%	56.39%	984	2,403	4,301	157	-	22	7,867
Union Station			NDP			NDP	2,913	52.62%	1,876	33.89%	44.06%	950	2,913	1,037	538	-	98	5,536
Waverley			PC			PC	3,267	50.05%	1,400	21.45%	51.95%	3,267	1,867	1,070	324	-	-	6,528
Wolseley			NDP			NDP	4,271	46.03%	931	10.03%	56.96%	838	4,271	778	3,340	52	-	9,279

= open seat

= turnout is above provincial average

= incumbency arose from byelection gain

= incumbent re-elected in same riding

= incumbent changed allegiance

= previously incumbent in another riding

= other incumbent renominated

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place^[18]

Party in 1st place		Party in 2nd place				Total
		PC	NDP	Liberal	Grn
	30	4	2	36
14		3	1	18
1	2			8
Total		15	32	7	3	57

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results

Parties		Seats
		44
		5
		2
		5
		1
Total		57

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party

Parties		1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	Total
36	15	6			57
18	32	6	1		57
3	7	32	15		57
	3	12	27	1	43
				5	5
Manitoba Forward				1	3	4
		1		2	3

Seats changing hands

Elections to the 42nd Legislative Assembly of Manitoba – seats won/lost by party, 2016–2019

Party		2016	Gain from (loss to)						2019
			PC		NDP		Lib
41				(5)				36
13	5				2	(2)	18
3			2	(2)			3
Total		57	5	-	2	(7)	2	(2)	57

Nine seats changed allegiance in 2019:

PC to NDP

• Fort Garry
• St. James
• St. Vital
• Thompson
• Transcona

Liberal to NDP

• Burrows
• Keewatinook

NDP to Liberal

• St. Boniface
• Tyndall Park

Source !!colspan="4"

Party
align="center"	PC	align="center"	NDP	align="center"	Lib	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	29	7	1	37
	Seats retained by incumbents from other ridings	5			5
	Open seats held	1	4		5
	Ouster of incumbent changing affiliation	1			1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated		3		3
	Open seats gained		4		4
	Seat gained by incumbent from another riding			1	1
	Byelection gain held			1	1
Total		36	18	3	57

Incumbents not running for reelection

Riding	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee			New MLA
Assiniboia			Steven Fletcher^[19] (elected as PC)	none			Scott Johnston
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry)			James Allum^[20]	Mark Wasyliw^[21]			Mark Wasyliw
Kildonan (redistributed to Kildonan-River East)			Nic Curry	Cathy Cox			Cathy Cox
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station)			Flor Marcelino^[22]	Uzoma Asagwara			Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley			Rob Altemeyer^[23]	Lisa Naylor^[24]			Lisa Naylor
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame)			Andrew Swan^[25]	Malaya Marcelino			Malaya Marcelino
Keewatinook			Judy Klassen^[26]	Jason Harper			Ian Bushie

Candidates by riding

• Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Flin Flon||Theresa Wride
1,294 - 30.7%|||Tom Lindsey
2,435 - 57.8%||James Lindsay
270 - 6.6%||Saara Murnick
203 - 4.8%|||Tom Lindsey|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Keewatinook||Arnold Flett
355 - 13.6%|||Ian Bushie
1,723 - 66.1%||Jason Harper
530 - 20.3%|||||Judy Klassen|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Swan River|||Rick Wowchuk
5,529 - 69.0%||Shelley Wiggins
2,064 - 25.8%||David Teffaine
417 - 5.2%|||||Rick Wowchuk|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|The Pas-Kameesak||Ron Evans
1,324 - 24.8%|||Amanda Lathlin
3,054 - 57.2%||Ken Brandt
178 - 3.3%||Ralph McLean
780 - 14.6%|||Amanda Lathlin

The Pas|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Thompson||Kelly Bindle
1,750 - 35.9%|||Danielle Adams
2,651 - 54.4%||Darla Contois
177 - 3.6%||Meagan Jemmett
294 - 6.0%|||Kelly Bindle|}

Westman/Parkland

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Agassiz|||Eileen Clarke
5,688 - 75.6%||Kelly Legaspi
954 - 12.7%||Hector Swanson
462 - 6.1%||Liz Clayton
417 - 5.5%|||Eileen Clarke|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Turtle Mountain|||Doyle Piwniuk
6,202 - 67.5%||Angie Herrera-Hildebrand
1,003 - 10.9%||Richard Davies
623 - 6.8%||David M. Neufeld
1,356 - 14.8%|||Doyle Piwniuk

Arthur-Virden|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Brandon East|||Len Isleifson
3,272 - 51.3%||Lonnie Patterson
2,311 - 36.2%||Kim Longstreet
799 - 12.5%|||||Len Isleifson|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Brandon West|||Reg Helwer
4,307 - 58.5%||Nick Brown
1,747 - 23.7%||Sunday Frangi
564 - 7.7%||Robert Brown
744 - 10.1%|||Reg Helwer|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Dauphin|||Brad Michaleski
4,799 - 50.5%||Darcy Scheller
4,022 - 42.4%||Cathy Scofield-Singh
674 - 7.1%|||||Brad Michaleski|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Riding Mountain|||Greg Nesbitt
6,117 - 66.1%||Wayne Chacun
1,961 - 21.2%||Jordan Fleury
454 - 4.9%||Mary Lowe
723 - 7.8%|||Greg Nesbitt|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Spruce Woods|||Cliff Cullen
5,657 - 68.1%||Justin Shannon
1,316 - 15.8%||Jennifer Harcus
515 - 6.2%||Gordon Beddome
816 - 9.8%|||Cliff Cullen|}

Central Manitoba

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Borderland|||Josh Guenter
4,885 - 66.1%||Liz Cronk
287 - 3.9%||Loren Braul
1,226 - 16.6%||Ken Henry
250 - 3.4%||Cliff Graydon
739 - 10.0%^[27] |||Cliff Graydon

Emerson|-| style="background:whitesmoke;" rowspan="3"|Interlake-Gimli| rowspan="3" ||rowspan=3|Derek Johnson
6,199 - 58.8%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Sarah Pinsent
3,472 - 32.9%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Mary Lou Bourgeois
400 - 3.8%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Dwight Harfield
473 - 4.5%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3||||Jeff Wharton‡
Gimli|-| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District|-|||Derek Johnson
Interlake|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lakeside|||Ralph Eichler
6,394 - 68.7%||Dan Rugg
2,054 - 22.1%||Ilsa Regelsky
854 - 9.2%|||||||Ralph Eichler|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Midland|||Blaine Pedersen
6,700 - 75.0%||Cindy Friesen
1,370 - 15.3%||Julia Sisler
860 - 9.6%|||||||Blaine Pedersen|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Morden-Winkler|||Cameron Friesen
6,096 - 81.2%||Robin Dalloo
365 - 4.9%||David Mintz
277 - 3.7%||Mike Urichuk
769 - 10.2%|||||Cameron Friesen|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Springfield-Ritchot|||Ron Schuler
5,661 - 59.5%||Obasesam Okoi
1,976 - 20.8%||Sara Mirwaldt
813 - 8.5%||Garrett Hawgood
1,065 - 11.2%|||||Shannon Martin
Morris|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Portage la Prairie|||Ian Wishart
4,489 - 65.5%||Andrew Podolecki
1,521 - 22.2%||Charles Huband
843 - 12.3%|||||||Ian Wishart|}

Eastman

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Dawson Trail|||Bob Lagassé
4,548 - 55.4%||Echo Asher
1,783 - 21.7%||Robert Rivard
1,874 - 22.8%|||||||Bob Lagassé|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lac du Bonnet|||Wayne Ewasko
6,170 - 66.1%||Sidney Klassen
1,793 - 19.2%||Terry Hayward
1,373 - 14.7%|||||||Wayne Ewasko|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|La Verendrye|||Dennis Smook
5,305 - 72.8%||Erin McGee
1,052 - 14.4%||Lorena Mitchell
929 - 12.8%|||||||Dennis Smook|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Steinbach|||Kelvin Goertzen
6,237 - 81.7%||Rob Jessup
614 - 8.0%||LeAmber Kensley
369 - 4.8%||Janine Gibson
417 - 5.5%|||||Kelvin Goertzen|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Red River North|||Jeff Wharton
5,566 - 58.0%||Chris Pullen
2,387 - 24.9%||Noel Ngo
732 - 7.6%||Graham Hnatiuk
739 - 7.7%||Jocelyn Burzuik
173 - 1.8%|||Ron Schuler

St. Paul|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Selkirk|||Alan Lagimodiere
4,736 - 51.4%||Mitch Obach
3,319 - 35.8%||Philip Olcen
480 - 5.2%||Tony Hill
713 - 7.7%|||||Alan Lagimodiere|}

Northwest Winnipeg

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burrows||Jasmine Brar
1,680 - 26.2%|||Diljeet Brar
2,536 - 39.6%||Sarbjit Singh Gill
1,170 - 18.3%||||Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.)
1,020 - 15.9%|||Cindy Lamoureux‡|-| style="background:whitesmoke;" rowspan="3"| Kildonan-River East| rowspan="3" ||rowspan=3|Cathy Cox
5,514 - 51.1%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Elliot Macdonald
3,673 - 34.0%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Kathryn Braun
1,602 - 14.8%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3||rowspan=3||rowspan=3||||Nic Curry

Kildonan|-| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District|-|||Cathy Cox
River East|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|McPhillips|||Shannon Martin
3,307 - 38.3%||Greg McFarlane
3,202 - 37.1%||John Cacayuran
1,476 - 17.1%||Jason Smith
406 - 4.7%|
|Dave Wheeler (MF)
237 - 2.7%||New Riding|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Point Douglas||Michelle Redmond
757 - 15.7%|||Bernadette Smith
3,002 - 62.1%||Richard Sanderson
565 - 11.7%||Jenn Kess
398 - 8.2%||Fagie Fainman (CPC-M)
44 - 1.4%
Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.)
66 - 0.9%|||Bernadette Smith|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Johns||Ray Larkin
1,665 - 24.2%|||Nahanni Fontaine
3,526 - 51.2%||Eddie Calisto-Tavares
1,092 - 15.9%||Joshua McNeil
601 - 8.7%|||||Nahanni Fontaine|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|The Maples||Aman Sandhu
1,824 - 25.9%|||Mintu Sandhu
2,744 - 39.0%||Amandeep Brar
2,070 - 29.4%||Kiran Gill
405 - 5.8%|||||Mohinder Saran|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Tyndall Park||Daljit Kainth
991 - 12.5%||Ted Marcelino
2,447 - 30.9%|||Cindy Lamoureux
4,293 - 54.3%||Fleur Mann
154 - 1.9%|
|Frank Komarniski (CPC-M)
22 - 0.3%|||Ted Marcelino

|}

Northeast Winnipeg

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Concordia||Andrew Frank
2,290 - 31.9%|||Matt Wiebe
4,284 - 59.7%
||Maria Albo
605 - 8.4%|||||||Matt Wiebe|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Elmwood||Mayra Dubon
2,533 - 31.9%|||Jim Maloway
3,862 - 48.6%
||Regan Wolfrom
739 - 9.3%||Nicolas Geddert
763 - 9.6%||German Lombana (CPC-M)
45 - 0.6%|||Jim Maloway|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Radisson|||James Teitsma
4,523 - 47.0%||Raj Sandhu
3,534 - 36.7%||Tanya Hansen Pratt
997 - 10.4%||Carlianne Runions
576 - 6.0%|||||James Teitsma|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Rossmere|||Andrew Micklefield
4,362 - 47.0%||Andy Regier
3,608 - 38.8%||Isaiah Oyeleru
707 - 7.6%||Amanda Bazan
613 - 6.6%|||||Andrew Micklefield|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Boniface||Megan Hoskins
1,889 - 19.2%||Laurissa Sims
2,939 - 29.9%|||Dougald Lamont
4,077 - 41.5%||Jaclyn Jeanson
840 - 8.6%||Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.)
76 - 0.8%|||Dougald Lamont|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Transcona||Blair Yakimoski
3,914 - 45.1%|||Nello Altomare
4,029 - 46.4%||Dylan Bekkering
716 - 8.4%|||||||Blair Yakimoski|}

West Winnipeg

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Assiniboia|||Scott Johnston
4,102 - 44.2%||Joe McKellep
3,303 - 35.6%||Jeff Anderson
1,224 - 13.4%||John Delaat
631 - 6.8%|||||Steven Fletcher|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Roblin|||Myrna Driedger
6,075 - 55.7%||Sophie Brandt-Murenzi
1,886 - 17.3%||Michael Bazak
1,728 - 15.9%||Kevin Nichols
1,209 - 11.1%|||||Myrna Driedger

Charleswood|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kirkfield Park|||Scott Fielding
5,435 - 50.3%||Kurt Morton
2,767 - 25.6%||Ernie Nathaniel
1,695 - 15.7%||Dennis Bayomi
901 - 8.3%|||||Scott Fielding|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. James||Michelle Richard
2,767 - 32.4%|||Adrien Sala
4,009 - 46.9%||Bernd Hohne
965 - 11.3%||Jeff Buhse
805 - 9.4%|||||Scott Johnston‡|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Tuxedo|||Heather Stefanson
4,587 - 47.7%||Carla Compton
1,919 - 20.0%||Marc Brandson
2,225 - 23.1%||Kristin Lauhn-Jensen
822 - 8.6%||Abby Al-Sahi
60 - 0.6%|||Heather Stefanson|}

Central Winnipeg

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fort Garry||Nancy Cooke
2,998 - 31.8%|||Mark Wasyliw
3,994 - 42.4%||Craig Larkins
1,716 - 18.2%||Casey Fennessy
722 - 7.7%|||||James Allum

Fort Garry-Riverview|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fort Rouge||Edna Nabess
1,854 - 18.9%|||Wab Kinew
5,031 - 51.2%||Cyndy Friesen
1,285 - 13.1%||James Beddome
1,579 - 16.1%||Michael McCracken (MF)
54 - 0.5%
Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.)
29 - 0.3%|||Wab Kinew|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Notre Dame||Marsha Street
789 - 15.2%|||Malaya Marcelino
3,361 - 64.9%||Donovan Martin
702 - 13.6%||Martha Jo Willard
263 - 5.1%||Andrew Taylor (CPC-M)
32 - 0.6%
Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.)
28 - 0.5%|||Andrew Swan
Minto|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|River Heights||Susan Boulter
2,276 - 24.4%||Jonathan Niemczak
1,346 - 14.4%|||Jon Gerrard
5,038 - 54.0%||Nathan Zahn
661 - 7.1%|||||Jon Gerrard|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Union Station||Tara Fawcett
908 - 18.0%|||Uzoma Asagwara
2,635 - 52.2%||Harold Davis
949 - 18.8%||Andrea Shalay
473 - 9.4%||Elsa Cubas (CPC-M)
48 - 1.0%
James Yau (MB Fwd.)
32 - 0.6%|||Flor Marcelino
Logan|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Wolseley||Elizabeth Hildebrand
831 - 8.9%|||Lisa Naylor
4,253 - 45.6%||Shandi Strong
770 - 8.3%||David Nickarz
3,336 - 35.8%||Eddie Hendrickson
129 - 1.4%|||Rob Altemeyer|}

South Winnipeg

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fort Richmond|||Sarah Guillemard
3,241 - 42.2%||George Wong
1,701 - 22.1%||Tanjit Nagra
2,361 - 30.7%||Cameron Proulx
379 - 4.9%|||||Sarah Guillemard|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fort Whyte|||Brian Pallister
5,609 - 57.2%||Beatrice Bruske
1,755 - 17.9%||Darrel Morin
1,729 - 17.6%||Sara Campbell
665 - 6.8%||Jason Holenski (MF)
54 - 0.6%|||Brian Pallister|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lagimodière|||Andrew Smith
5,182 - 51.8%||Billie Cross
2,789 - 27.9%||Jake Sacher
1,481 - 14.8%||Bob Krul
557 - 5.6%||||New Riding|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Riel|||Rochelle Squires
4,472 - 44.9%||Mike Moyes
3,554 - 35.7%||Neil Johnston
1,352 - 13.6%||Roger Schellenberg
591 - 5.9%|||||Rochelle Squires|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Seine River|||Janice Morley-Lecomte
4,363 - 45.1%||Durdana Islam
2,513 - 26.0%||James Bloomfield
2,147 - 22.2%||Bryanne Lamoureux
658 - 6.8%|||||Janice Morley-Lecomte|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Southdale|||Audrey Gordon
4,486 - 42.7%||Karen Myshkowsky
3,955 - 37.6%||Spencer Duncanson
1,422 - 13.5%||Katherine Quinton
584 - 5.6%||Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.)
70 - 0.7%|||Andrew Smith‡ |-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Vital||Colleen Mayer
3,211 - 35.0%|||Jamie Moses
4,081 - 44.4%||Jeffrey Anderson
1,271 - 13.8%||Elizabeth Dickson
499 - 5.4%||David Sutherland (MF)
60 - 0.7%
Baljeet Sharma
62 - 0.7%|||Colleen Mayer|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Waverley|||Jon Reyes
3,265 - 50.0%||Dashi Zargani
1,865 - 28.6%||Fiona Haftani
1,070 - 16.4%||James Ducas
325 - 5.0%|||||Jon Reyes

St. Norbert

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	Other
Forum Research	September 9, 2019	^[28]		43	29	17	10	1
Research Co.	September 9, 2019	^[29]		44	31	16	7	1
Mainstreet Research	September 4, 2019	^[30]		43.3	34.2	15.1	6.2	1.2
Research Co.	August 29, 2019	^[31]		46	30	14	8	1
Probe Research Inc	August 24, 2019	^[32]		40	29	18	10	3
Mainstreet Research	August 19, 2019	^[33]		42.5	34.7	11.9	9.6	1.4
Converso	August 7, 2019	^[34]		35.0	21.0	12.0	8.0	1.0
Probe Research Inc	June 17, 2019	^[35]		42	26	16	14	3
Probe Research Inc		^[36]		42	30	18	7
Mainstreet Research		^[37]		44.8	32.1	13.1	6.7	3.3
Mainstreet Research		^[38]		44.6	28.0	16.8	4.6	6.0
Probe Research Inc		^[39]		44	27	21	5	3
Mainstreet Research		^[40]		42.3	28.7	18.1	6.0	4.9
Probe Research Inc		^[41]		44	25	20	8
Mainstreet Research		^[42]		44.9	29.3	13.6	8.7	3.4
Probe Research Inc		^[43]		42	30	16	11
Mainstreet Research		^[44]		45.6	30.2	13.0	7.8
Probe Research Inc		^[45]		44	28	19	8
Mainstreet Research		^[46]		39.6	36.7	13.3	10.4
Probe Research Inc		^[47]		40	26	25	8
Probe Research Inc		^[48]		36	30	24	8
Probe Research Inc		^[49]		42	30	20	7
Mainstreet Research		^[50]		47	23	19	11
Probe Research Inc		^[51]		43	27	20	8
Probe Research Inc		^[52]		49	24	19	8
Probe Research Inc		^[53]		48	20	26	5
Probe Research Inc		^[54]		46	27	18	8
2016 election			53.0	25.7	14.5	5.1	1.7
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link					Other
			PC	NDP	Liberal	Green

References

Opinion poll sources

Further reading

• Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer . Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 . 2019 . Elections Manitoba . Winnipeg .

External links

• Elections Manitoba

Notes and References

1. http://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Voting/index.html Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election
2. Elections Act. CCSM. E30. 49.1. 2. http://web2.gov.mb.ca/laws/statutes/ccsm/e030e.php#49 .
3. CCSM c. E30, s. 49.1(3)
4. News: Robertson . Dylan . No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll . September 11, 2019 . Winnipeg Free Press . June 25, 2019.
5. Web site: 2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions . Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission . June 28, 2019.
6. Web site: Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations . Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission . June 28, 2019.
7. News: . March 21, 2018 . Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election. CBC News.
8. Web site: MLA Biographies - Living . . . 12 October 2023.
9. Web site: Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018 . Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission . December 14, 2018.
10. Web site: Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election . The Province . December 14, 2018 . June 28, 2019.
11. News: Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election. CBC.ca. September 11, 2019. April 3, 2019.
12. News: Hatherly. Dana. August 12, 2019. Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10. CBC News.
13. Web site: Results Summary - 42nd General Election. . electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba. February 1, 2023.
14. sorted as per results summary
15. News: Marcoux. Jacques . August 27, 2019. New Manitoba election boundaries give upper hand to Progressive Conservatives, CBC News analysis finds. CBC News.
16. including rejected and declined ballots
17. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote in 2019 are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
18. Web site: Results Summary - 42nd General Election. . electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba. February 1, 2023.
19. News: Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada. CBC News. May 22, 2019. June 11, 2019.
20. Web site: Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election. The Canadian Press via The Province. May 31, 2019. December 14, 2018.
21. News: Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination. The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. May 31, 2019. March 19, 2019.
22. News: Froese. Ian. Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election. CBC Manitoba. June 7, 2019. June 3, 2019.
23. News: Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election. CBC Manitoba. May 31, 2019. March 21, 2018.
24. News: News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination. Winnipeg Free Press. May 31, 2019. March 21, 2018.
25. News: Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election. CBC Manitoba. July 16, 2019. May 17, 2019.
26. News: MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives. April 11, 2019. Schroeder. Lara. CBC News. September 2, 2019.
27. News: Lambert. Steve. Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation. CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. July 23, 2019. July 22, 2019.
28. Web site: Manitoba Election.
29. Web site: Progressive Conservatives Remain Ahead of NDP in Manitoba. September 10, 2019.
30. https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/manitoba-pc-government-most-likely-outcome/ Manitoba PC Government most likely outcome
31. Web site: Progressive Conservatives Have Sizeable Advantage in Manitoba. August 30, 2019.
32. Web site: Manitoba Progressive Conservatives holding on to lead: poll - CBC News . CBC . 31 August 2019 . 20 April 2023.
33. Web site: Manitoba PCS Have the Lead, but Kinew is the Most Popular Leader .
34. Web site: Pollster attributes inaccurate election survey to weight of northern Manitoba numbers - Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca.
35. News: Jun 2019: No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: Poll. Winnipeg Free Press. June 25, 2019. Robertson. Dylan.
36. http://www.probe-research.com/documents/190402%20March%202019%20MB%20Omni%20Prov%20Party%20Standings.pdf
37. Web site: NDP Make Gains in Manitoba but PCS Still Lead .
38. Web site: Pallister PCS Extend Lead over NDP .
39. Web site: Archived copy . December 28, 2018 . December 28, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181228130915/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/Dec%202018%20MB%20Omni%20Prov%20Party%20Standings.pdf . dead .
40. Web site: Pallister PCS Maintain Healthy Lead over NDP as Liberals Gain Five .
41. Web site: Archived copy . October 30, 2018 . November 4, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181104170026/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/181002a%20Sept%202018%20MB%20Omni%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings%20FINAL.pdf . dead .
42. Web site: Pallister PCS Still Ahead in Manitoba .
43. Web site: Archived copy . November 4, 2018 . November 4, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181104211036/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/180621a%20June%202018%20MB%20Omni%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdf . dead .
44. Web site: Pallister PCS Widen Lead over NDP .
45. Web site: Archived copy . April 23, 2018 . April 23, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180423232458/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/1804120%20Provincial%20Party%20StandingsFINAL.pdf . dead .
46. Web site: New poll suggests Wab Kinew's NDP barely trails Brian Pallister's PCS - Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca.
47. Web site: Archived copy . December 28, 2017 . December 29, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20171229052204/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/171221%20Provincial%20Party%20StandingsFINAL.pdf . dead .
48. News: Oct 2017: Support for Pallister gov't drops after 18 months of cuts, controversy. Winnipeg Free Press. October 20, 2017. Lett. Dan.
49. News: Jul 2017: Tories' honeymoon already over. Winnipeg Free Press. July 3, 2017. Lett. Dan.
50. Web site: 47% Support Pallister PCS, but Low Grades for Healthcare; Carbon Tax .
51. News: Apr 2017: Pallister government's popularity holding firm: Poll. Winnipeg Free Press. April 9, 2017. Martin. Nick.
52. Web site: Archived copy . January 1, 2017 . January 1, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170101164219/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/161214a%20WFP%20Party%20Standings%20press%20release.pdf . dead .
53. Web site: Archived copy . January 1, 2017 . January 1, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170101164353/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/160929%20WFP%20Party%20Standings%20press%20release.pdf . dead .
54. Web site: Archived copy . January 1, 2017 . January 1, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170101162840/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/160627%20WFP%20Party%20Standings%20press%20release.pdf . dead .