2011 Ontario general election explained

Election Name:	2011 Ontario general election
Country:	Ontario
Type:	parliamentary
Party Colour:	no
Party Name:	no
Previous Election:	2007 Ontario general election
Previous Year:	2007
Outgoing Members:	39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Election Date:	October 6, 2011
Elected Members:	40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Next Election:	2014 Ontario general election
Next Year:	2014
Seats For Election:	107 seats in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Majority Seats:	54
Opinion Polls:	Opinion polls
Turnout:	48.2% (4.6pp)^[1]
Leader1:	Dalton McGuinty
Leader Since1:	December 1, 1996
Leaders Seat1:	Ottawa South
Last Election1:	71 seats, 42.25%
Seats Before1:	70
Seats1:	53
Seat Change1:	17
Popular Vote1:	1,625,102
Percentage1:	37.65%
Swing1:	4.60pp
Leader2:	Tim Hudak
Leader Since2:	June 27, 2009
Leaders Seat2:	Niagara West—Glanbrook
Last Election2:	26 seats, 31.62%
Seats Before2:	25
Seats2:	37
Seat Change2:	12
Popular Vote2:	1,530,076
Percentage2:	35.45%
Swing2:	3.83pp
Leader3:	Andrea Horwath
Leader Since3:	March 7, 2009
Leaders Seat3:	Hamilton Centre
Last Election3:	10 seats, 16.76%
Seats Before3:	10
Seats3:	17
Seat Change3:	7
Popular Vote3:	981,508
Percentage3:	22.74%
Swing3:	5.98pp
Map Size:	430px
Premier
Posttitle:	Premier after election
Before Election:	Dalton McGuinty
After Election:	Dalton McGuinty

The 2011 Ontario general election was held on October 6, 2011, to elect members of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The Ontario Liberal Party was elected to a minority government, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC Party) serving as the Official Opposition and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as the third party. In the final result, Premier McGuinty's party fell one seat short of winning a majority government.

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in December 2005, Ontario elections were now held on fixed dates, namely the first Thursday of October every four years.^[2] The writ of election was issued by Lieutenant Governor David Onley on September 7, 2011.

The election saw a then–record low voter turnout of 48.2%, only to be surpassed by the 2022 Ontario general election with 43.53%.

Timeline

2007

• October 10, 2007: Elections held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario.
• November 29, 2007: The 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario officially opens with the Speech from the Throne.

2008

• February 23, 2008: John Tory's continued leadership of the Progressive Conservative party is endorsed by 66.9% of delegates at a leadership review.
• June 14, 2008: Premier Dalton McGuinty receives the support of 95.4% of delegates from the Ontario Liberal Party's mandatory leadership review.
• June 14, 2008: NDP leader Howard Hampton announces he will be stepping down as party leader at the March 7, 2009 NDP leadership convention.

2009

• January 9, 2009: Progressive Conservative MPP Laurie Scott announces her resignation from the legislature to allow party leader John Tory, who has been without a seat since his defeat in Don Valley West in the 2007 election, to re-enter the legislature.
• March 5, 2009: In the Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock by-election following Scott's resignation, Tory is defeated by Liberal candidate Rick Johnson.
• March 6, 2009: John Tory resigns as Progressive Conservative leader pending the selection of an interim party leader.
• March 7, 2009: Andrea Horwath is elected leader of the Ontario NDP at the party's 2009 leadership convention.
• June 27, 2009: Tim Hudak is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative party at its 2009 leadership election and also becomes the new Leader of the Opposition.
• September 17, 2009: Eric Hoskins is elected as the MPP for the riding of St. Paul's following the resignation of Michael Bryant on June 7, 2009.
• November 4, 2009: Mike Schreiner is affirmed as the new leader of the Green Party of Ontario, receiving 97% approval from the party membership defeating the None of the Above ballot option, in the 2009 leadership election.

2010

• January 29, 2010: Bob Runciman resigns his seat to accept appointment to the Senate of Canada.
• February 1, 2010: Jim Watson resigns his seat to run for Mayor in the 2010 Ottawa municipal election
• February 4, 2010: Glen Murray is elected as the MPP for the riding of Toronto Centre following the resignation of George Smitherman on January 4, 2010.
• March 4, 2010: Bob Chiarelli is elected as the MPP for the riding of Ottawa West—Nepean and Steve Clark is elected as the MPP for the riding of Leeds—Grenville.
• December 16, 2010: Peter Fonseca resigned from cabinet to run for the federal Liberals in the riding of Mississauga East—Cooksville in the 2011 federal election.^[3]

2011

• June 3, 2011: Essex MPP Bruce Crozier dies of an aortic aneurysm.^[4]
• September 7, 2011: Official election call, Premier McGuinty formally asks the Lt. Governor to dissolve the legislature. The campaign will be 29 days long.
• September 21–30, 2011: Advance polling stations open for early voting from 10:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m.^[5]
• September 27, 2011: The televised Leaders debate aired on CBC, CHCH, CTV, Global, TVOntario and Sun News Network, with Liberal leader and Premier Dalton McGuinty, Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak and New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath.^[6]
• October 6, 2011: Ontario general election from 9:00 a.m. until 9:00 p.m. EDT (8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. CDT in north-western part of the province).

Party leadership

In March 2009, PC Party leader John Tory stepped down as leader, with Tim Hudak elected to be his successor. Also in March 2009, Andrea Horwath replaced Howard Hampton as leader of the NDP at the leadership election. Thus, both the Progressive Conservatives and the NDP went into the election with a new leader. Green Party of Ontario leader Frank de Jong stepped down in November 2009; their leadership convention confirmed Mike Schreiner as their new leader. Dalton McGuinty won 95 percent support for his leadership at an Ontario Liberal annual general meeting after the 2007 election, and ran again in 2011.

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee			New MPP
Barrie			Aileen Carroll^[7]	Karl Walsh			Rod Jackson
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound			Bill Murdoch^[8]	Bill Walker			Bill Walker
Burlington			Joyce Savoline^[9]	Jane McKenna			Jane McKenna
Cambridge			Gerry Martiniuk^[10]	Rob Leone			Rob Leone
Carleton—Mississippi Mills			Norm Sterling^[11]	Jack MacLaren			Jack MacLaren
Chatham-Kent—Essex			Pat Hoy^[12]	Paul Watson			Rick Nicholls
Davenport			Tony Ruprecht^[13]	Cristina Martins			Jonah Schein
Don Valley East			David Caplan^[14]	Michael Coteau			Michael Coteau
Elgin—Middlesex—London			Steve Peters^[15]	Lori Baldwin-Sands			Jeff Yurek
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell			Jean-Marc Lalonde^[16]	Grant Crack			Grant Crack
Kenora—Rainy River			Howard Hampton^[17]	Sarah Campbell			Sarah Campbell
Nipissing			Monique Smith^[18]	Catherine Whiting			Vic Fedeli
Pickering—Scarborough East			Wayne Arthurs^[19]	Tracy MacCharles			Tracy MacCharles
Scarborough—Agincourt			Gerry Phillips^[20]	Soo Wong			Soo Wong
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry			Jim Brownell^[21]	Mark A. Macdonald			Jim McDonell
Timiskaming—Cochrane			David Ramsay^[22]	Denis Bonin			John Vanthof
Welland			Peter Kormos^[23]	Cindy Forster			Cindy Forster
Windsor West			Sandra Pupatello^[24]	Teresa Piruzza			Teresa Piruzza

Results

|- style="background-color:#CCCCCC"!rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party!rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party leader!rowspan="2" |Candidates!colspan="4" |Seats!colspan="3" |Popular vote|- style="background-color:#CCCCCC"!2007!Dissol.!2011!Change!#!%!Change| style="text-align:left;" |Dalton McGuinty|107|71|70|53|18| 1,625,102| 37.65%| 4.7%| style="text-align:left;" |Tim Hudak|107|26|25|37|11| 1,530,076| 35.45%| 3.8%| style="text-align:left;" |Andrea Horwath|107|10|10|17|7| 981,508| 22.74%| 5.9%| style="text-align:left;" |Mike Schreiner|107| - | - | - | - | 126,021| 2.92%| 5.1%| style="text-align:left;" |Sam Apelbaum|51| - | - | - | - | 19,447| 0.45%| 0.3%| style="text-align:left;" |Phil Lees|31| - | - | - | - | 9,524| 0.22%| 0.6%| style="text-align:left;" |Paul McKeever|57| - | - | - | - | 9,253| 0.21%| 0.1%|style="text-align:left;" | |36| - | - | - | - | 9,021| 0.21%| - | style="text-align:left;" |Elizabeth Rowley|9| - | - | - | - | 1,162| 0.03%| 0.01%| style="text-align:left;" |Edward Deibel|3| - | - | - | - | 676| 0.02%| - | style="text-align:left;" |Danish Ahmed|4| - | - | - | - | 667| 0.02%| 0.01%| style="text-align:left;" |Bradley J. Harness|4| - | - | - | - | 647| 0.01%| 0.01%| style="text-align:left;" |Ranvir Dogra|4| - | - | - | - | 562| 0.01%| - | style="text-align:left;" |vacant|3| - | - | - | - | 559| 0.01%| - | style="text-align:left;" |Michael Laxer|5| - | - | - | - | 519| 0.01%| - | style="text-align:left;" |Kevin Clarke|4| - | - | - | - | 386| - | - | style="text-align:left;" |Paul Figueiras|3| - | - | - | - | 366| - | - | style="text-align:left;" |Trueman Tuck|3| - | - | - | - | 232| - | - | style="text-align:left;" |Michael Green|3| - | - | - | - | 188| - | - | style="text-align:left;" |Marilyn McCormick|2| - | - | - | - | 170| - | - | style="text-align:left;" |Bahman Yazdanfar|3| - | - | - | - | 156| - | - | style="text-align:left;" | John Turmel|2| - | - | - | - | 140| < .01%| - | style="text-align:left;" colspan="4"|Vacant|2| style="text-align:center;" colspan="5" | |-| style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Total|655|107|107|107| | 4,316,382|100%|-2.43%|-| colspan="11" style="text-align:left;font-size:90%;" | Source: Web site: 40TH GENERAL ELECTION - SUMMARY OF VALID BALLOTS CAST . . May 17, 2014 . May 1, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140501145454/http://www.elections.on.ca/NR/rdonlyres/7849B894-4C4F-490E-9E8C-271BCF0C0D4D/5604/SummaryofValidBallotsCast2011.pdf . dead . |}

Summary

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2007-2011

Party		2007	Gain from(loss to)			2011
			align="center" width="50"	Lib	align="center" width="50"		PC	align="center" width="50"	NDP
71		(11)	(7)	53
26	11			37
10	7			17
Total	107	18	(11)	(7)	107

Regional analysis

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2011)

Party		Toronto	905 Belt	Ham/Niagara	Central	East	Midwest	Southwest	North	Total
	Liberal	17	14	3	1	7	3	4	4	53
	Conservative		3	3	10	7	8	4	2	37
	New Democratic	5	1	4				2	5	17
Total	22	18	10	11	14	11	10	11	107

Synopsis of results

See also: Results by riding of the Ontario general election, 2011.

Results by riding - 2011 Ontario general election^[25]

Riding	2007		Winning party						Turnout ^[26]	Votes^[27]
			Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %		Lib	PC	NDP	Green		Other	Total
Ajax—Pickering		Lib		Lib	19,606	47.34%	4,888	11.80%	44.84%	19,606	14,718	5,952	843	-	299	41,418
Algoma—Manitoulin		Lib		NDP	11,585	44.52%	4,188	16.09%	49.43%	7,397	6,141	11,585	684	-	217	26,024
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale		Lib		Lib	21,648	43.70%	4,516	9.12%	56.45%	21,648	17,132	8,521	1,477	-	765	49,543
Barrie		Lib		PC	17,527	40.66%	2,521	5.85%	46.00%	15,006	17,527	8,171	1,909	-	497	43,110
Beaches—East York		NDP		NDP	17,925	46.82%	4,112	10.74%	51.64%	13,813	5,333	17,925	1,025	-	189	38,285
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Lib		NDP	16,626	38.16%	2,277	5.23%	40.71%	14,349	9,896	16,626	1,091	491	1,119	43,572
Brampton—Springdale		Lib		Lib	15,663	44.43%	2,909	8.25%	40.54%	15,663	12,754	5,378	900	-	562	35,257
Brampton West		Lib		Lib	19,224	43.76%	4,790	10.90%	38.29%	19,224	14,434	8,331	1,432	-	509	43,930
Brant		Lib		Lib	16,867	37.08%	1,106	2.43%	48.23%	16,867	15,761	11,006	957	244	649	45,484
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		PC		PC	19,567	47.37%	8,678	21.01%	54.70%	10,889	19,567	6,133	2,654	1,478	585	41,306
Burlington		PC		PC	20,061	40.41%	2,152	4.33%	54.83%	17,909	20,061	9,370	1,129	-	1,175	49,644
Cambridge		PC		PC	15,947	37.69%	1,954	4.62%	46.04%	13,993	15,947	10,414	1,056	271	629	42,310
Carleton—Mississippi Mills		PC		PC	28,246	50.29%	9,102	16.21%	53.50%	19,144	28,246	6,371	1,857	-	549	56,167
Chatham-Kent—Essex		Lib		PC	15,121	41.78%	3,490	9.64%	49.41%	11,631	15,121	8,415	1,027	-	-	36,194
Davenport		Lib		NDP	14,367	45.93%	1,414	4.52%	45.59%	12,953	2,480	14,367	855	250	374	31,279
Don Valley East		Lib		Lib	16,350	51.08%	7,645	23.88%	46.08%	16,350	8,705	5,953	702	-	300	32,010
Don Valley West		Lib		Lib	24,444	58.32%	11,617	27.71%	50.93%	24,444	12,827	3,621	718	-	307	41,917
Dufferin—Caledon		PC		PC	17,833	46.95%	7,671	20.19%	47.74%	10,162	17,833	4,200	5,540	-	250	37,985
Durham		PC		PC	22,393	49.07%	8,999	19.72%	49.74%	13,394	22,393	8,027	1,221	-	596	45,631
Eglinton—Lawrence		Lib		Lib	20,752	54.15%	7,895	20.60%	51.81%	20,752	12,857	3,763	575	146	231	38,324
Elgin—Middlesex—London		Lib		PC	19,771	47.86%	8,696	21.05%	51.28%	11,075	19,771	9,201	981	-	283	41,311
Essex		Lib		NDP	17,417	37.99%	1,368	2.98%	51.38%	11,518	16,049	17,417	860	-	-	45,844
Etobicoke Centre		Lib		Lib	21,916	51.48%	7,960	18.70%	52.62%	21,916	13,956	5,099	837	-	761	42,569
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Lib		Lib	22,169	51.02%	9,464	21.78%	50.01%	22,169	12,705	6,713	1,164	226	471	43,448
Etobicoke North		Lib		Lib	12,081	48.46%	6,009	24.10%	40.15%	12,081	6,072	5,426	541	-	811	24,931
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Lib		Lib	17,345	43.18%	1,372	3.42%	47.81%	17,345	15,973	5,721	770	-	363	40,172
Guelph		Lib		Lib	19,815	42.43%	7,861	16.83%	50.27%	19,815	11,954	11,150	3,234	100	444	46,697
Haldimand—Norfolk		PC		PC	25,203	60.81%	17,155	41.39%	53.31%	7,087	25,203	8,048	868	-	242	41,448
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		PC		PC	22,352	45.43%	5,830	11.85%	54.98%	16,522	22,352	8,517	1,562	-	245	49,198
Halton		PC		PC	26,228	44.47%	3,148	5.34%	45.99%	23,080	26,228	7,757	1,286	166	464	58,981
Hamilton Centre		NDP		NDP	20,586	61.33%	14,725	43.87%	42.43%	5,861	4,421	20,586	1,249	268	1,182	33,567
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		NDP		NDP	20,442	51.72%	10,045	25.41%	46.26%	10,397	7,395	20,442	692	-	601	39,527
Hamilton Mountain		Lib		NDP	20,492	45.16%	5,798	12.78%	50.45%	14,694	8,641	20,492	748	-	798	45,373
Huron—Bruce		Lib		PC	19,138	42.76%	4,479	10.01%	59.23%	14,659	19,138	9,329	772	200	656	44,754
Kenora—Rainy River		NDP		NDP	10,949	49.62%	2,642	11.97%	45.75%	2,202	8,307	10,949	391	-	216	22,065
Kingston and the Islands		Lib		Lib	21,028	48.84%	10,787	25.06%	45.03%	21,028	9,610	10,241	1,594	-	578	43,051
Kitchener Centre		Lib		Lib	15,392	39.23%	323	0.82%	49.16%	15,392	15,069	7,385	938	137	317	39,238
Kitchener—Conestoga		Lib		PC	18,017	44.18%	3,541	8.68%	46.62%	14,476	18,017	7,165	1,121	-	-	40,779
Kitchener—Waterloo		PC		PC	21,665	43.77%	3,828	7.73%	50.54%	17,837	21,665	8,250	1,308	316	123	49,499
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		Lib		PC	19,379	45.74%	6,956	16.42%	54.08%	12,423	19,379	8,882	987	-	701	42,372
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington		PC		PC	22,457	50.12%	9,967	22.25%	50.43%	12,490	22,457	8,104	1,754	-	-	44,805
Leeds—Grenville		PC		PC	24,314	63.60%	17,651	46.17%	50.64%	6,663	24,314	5,822	1,319	-	111	38,229
London—Fanshawe		Lib		NDP	13,953	40.77%	4,275	12.49%	45.82%	9,678	9,075	13,953	852	192	475	34,225
London North Centre		Lib		Lib	19,167	43.91%	6,539	14.98%	47.87%	19,167	12,628	9,914	1,451	-	492	43,652
London West		Lib		Lib	22,610	45.65%	8,007	16.17%	53.01%	22,610	14,603	10,757	1,194	-	361	49,525
Markham—Unionville		Lib		Lib	19,579	52.58%	7,859	21.11%	40.68%	19,579	11,720	4,575	1,104	-	259	37,237
Mississauga—Brampton South		Lib		Lib	15,579	46.04%	5,292	15.64%	36.43%	15,579	10,287	5,420	1,247	616	691	33,840
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Lib		Lib	15,535	45.74%	4,238	12.48%	40.50%	15,535	11,297	5,704	934	199	294	33,963
Mississauga—Erindale		Lib		Lib	20,552	45.03%	4,258	9.33%	43.91%	20,552	16,294	7,768	853	-	176	45,643
Mississauga South		Lib		Lib	20,375	50.71%	5,876	14.62%	51.25%	20,375	14,499	4,044	860	-	401	40,179
Mississauga—Streetsville		Lib		Lib	18,591	51.54%	7,936	22.00%	41.46%	18,591	10,655	5,494	1,329	-	0	36,069
Nepean—Carleton		PC		PC	29,985	54.48%	15,141	27.51%	49.91%	14,844	29,985	8,127	1,641	-	440	55,037
Newmarket—Aurora		PC		PC	21,425	47.24%	5,271	11.62%	49.33%	16,154	21,425	6,514	1,256	-	-	45,349
Niagara Falls		Lib		Lib	16,794	35.89%	498	1.06%	49.44%	16,794	16,296	12,304	759	231	408	46,792
Niagara West—Glanbrook		PC		PC	24,919	50.95%	12,211	24.97%	54.88%	12,708	24,919	9,070	1,372	-	837	48,906
Nickel Belt		NDP		NDP	16,876	54.86%	9,425	30.64%	49.55%	7,451	5,625	16,876	810	-	-	30,762
Nipissing		Lib		PC	15,381	50.11%	6,606	21.52%	51.86%	8,775	15,381	5,567	971	-	-	30,694
Northumberland—Quinte West		Lib		PC	19,279	39.80%	707	1.46%	51.88%	18,572	19,279	8,589	1,483	159	357	48,439
Oak Ridges—Markham		Lib		Lib	28,878	44.78%	4,928	7.64%	42.70%	28,878	23,950	8,548	1,569	484	1,057	64,486
Oakville		Lib		Lib	21,711	48.09%	4,580	10.14%	52.70%	21,711	17,131	4,625	878	498	303	45,146
Oshawa		PC		PC	16,719	42.25%	2,403	6.07%	44.26%	6,921	16,719	14,316	1,035	-	582	39,573
Ottawa Centre		Lib		Lib	23,646	46.81%	8,931	17.68%	53.73%	23,646	9,257	14,715	2,184	309	400	50,511
Ottawa—Orléans		Lib		Lib	21,857	46.44%	2,854	6.06%	52.65%	21,857	19,003	4,979	886	-	337	47,062
Ottawa South		Lib		Lib	21,842	48.86%	6,897	15.43%	51.19%	21,842	14,945	5,988	1,442	-	490	44,707
Ottawa—Vanier		Lib		Lib	19,619	51.51%	10,690	28.07%	46.81%	19,619	8,929	7,466	1,719	-	352	38,085
Ottawa West—Nepean		Lib		Lib	18,492	41.62%	1,009	2.27%	54.02%	18,492	17,483	6,576	1,485	-	396	44,432
Oxford		PC		PC	20,658	54.87%	11,248	29.88%	49.18%	9,410	20,658	5,885	1,336	-	359	37,648
Parkdale—High Park		NDP		NDP	18,365	46.20%	3,488	8.77%	51.79%	14,877	4,668	18,365	1,325	289	228	39,752
Parry Sound—Muskoka		PC		PC	19,417	54.09%	12,880	35.88%	51.79%	6,537	19,417	6,527	3,251	-	167	35,899
Perth—Wellington		Lib		PC	14,845	40.09%	210	0.57%	51.89%	14,635	14,845	5,836	918	-	791	37,025
Peterborough		Lib		Lib	19,430	39.93%	4,107	8.44%	53.18%	19,430	15,323	12,460	1,235	-	210	48,658
Pickering—Scarborough East		Lib		Lib	18,201	46.66%	5,168	13.25%	49.69%	18,201	13,033	6,424	1,096	-	252	39,006
Prince Edward—Hastings		Lib		PC	18,816	42.28%	3,130	7.03%	51.74%	15,686	18,816	7,379	2,049	-	573	44,503
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		PC		PC	27,594	70.78%	21,363	54.80%	52.69%	6,231	27,594	4,277	574	-	309	38,985
Richmond Hill		Lib		Lib	18,042	46.92%	4,279	11.13%	42.49%	18,042	13,763	4,987	1,268	-	394	38,454
St. Catharines		Lib		Lib	17,166	40.21%	1,705	3.99%	51.00%	17,166	15,461	8,624	1,066	-	378	42,695
St. Paul's		Lib		Lib	25,048	58.39%	16,076	37.48%	50.41%	25,048	8,972	7,124	1,180	-	573	42,897
Sarnia—Lambton		PC		PC	19,570	48.32%	9,263	22.87%	51.75%	8,819	19,570	10,307	567	1,077	160	40,500
Sault Ste. Marie		Lib		Lib	16,109	54.95%	7,072	24.12%	49.35%	16,109	3,477	9,037	519	-	172	29,314
Scarborough—Agincourt		Lib		Lib	14,907	46.85%	4,685	14.73%	43.57%	14,907	10,222	5,017	722	-	948	31,816
Scarborough Centre		Lib		Lib	16,142	51.43%	8,631	27.50%	44.49%	16,142	7,511	6,876	558	-	301	31,388
Scarborough—Guildwood		Lib		Lib	15,607	48.93%	6,470	20.29%	47.65%	15,607	9,137	6,194	413	-	543	31,894
Scarborough—Rouge River		Lib		Lib	15,237	41.87%	2,149	5.91%	42.89%	15,237	6,837	13,088	455	-	773	36,390
Scarborough Southwest		Lib		Lib	14,585	44.09%	4,181	12.64%	47.78%	14,585	7,061	10,404	777	-	250	33,077
Simcoe—Grey		PC		PC	25,339	54.33%	14,935	32.02%	48.12%	10,404	25,339	6,839	4,057	-	-	46,639
Simcoe North		PC		PC	25,081	55.16%	14,890	32.75%	50.98%	10,191	25,081	7,710	2,488	-	-	45,470
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		Lib		PC	21,463	55.25%	13,050	33.60%	51.40%	8,413	21,463	8,021	551	-	396	38,844
Sudbury		Lib		Lib	13,735	42.37%	531	1.64%	49.94%	13,735	4,400	13,204	870	44	164	32,417
Thornhill		PC		PC	20,971	46.71%	2,598	5.79%	45.35%	18,373	20,971	4,024	756	-	772	44,896
Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Lib		Lib	10,319	38.97%	438	1.65%	46.61%	10,319	5,815	9,881	379	86	-	26,480
Thunder Bay—Superior North		Lib		Lib	11,765	45.00%	2,654	10.15%	48.20%	11,765	4,578	9,111	555	-	133	26,142
Timiskaming—Cochrane		Lib		NDP	12,633	50.12%	6,101	24.21%	50.01%	6,532	5,337	12,633	312	-	391	25,205
Timmins—James Bay		NDP		NDP	11,479	49.47%	2,964	12.77%	46.84%	2,870	8,515	11,479	233	-	108	23,205
Toronto Centre		Lib		Lib	25,236	54.94%	13,665	29.75%	48.42%	25,236	7,186	11,571	1,123	-	820	45,936
Toronto—Danforth		NDP		NDP	20,062	54.01%	8,693	23.40%	49.30%	11,369	3,488	20,062	1,354	-	875	37,148
Trinity—Spadina		NDP		NDP	19,870	42.36%	1,139	2.43%	43.00%	18,731	5,420	19,870	2,415	-	470	46,906
Vaughan		Lib		Lib	26,174	53.02%	10,754	21.78%	41.08%	26,174	15,420	5,594	694	169	1,316	49,367
Welland		NDP		NDP	19,527	44.66%	5,479	12.53%	51.64%	8,638	14,048	19,527	1,005	-	505	43,723
Wellington—Halton Hills		PC		PC	23,495	55.62%	12,161	28.79%	51.11%	11,334	23,495	6,106	1,309	-	-	42,244
Whitby—Oshawa		PC		PC	24,499	48.17%	7,511	14.77%	49.69%	16,988	24,499	7,865	1,139	-	371	50,862
Willowdale		Lib		Lib	21,984	50.84%	7,456	17.24%	45.40%	21,984	14,528	5,556	874	-	297	43,239
Windsor—Tecumseh		Lib		Lib	15,946	42.83%	3,718	9.99%	44.69%	15,946	7,751	12,228	830	-	476	37,231
Windsor West		Lib		Lib	14,127	41.31%	3,583	10.48%	41.57%	14,127	8,476	10,544	1,051	-	-	34,198
York Centre		Lib		Lib	14,694	45.36%	3,188	9.84%	45.74%	14,694	11,506	4,579	535	127	954	32,395
York—Simcoe		PC		PC	20,425	52.78%	10,929	28.24%	42.91%	9,496	20,425	6,607	1,479	-	690	38,697
York South—Weston		Lib		Lib	13,805	44.55%	734	2.37%	44.86%	13,805	3,441	13,071	474	45	151	30,987
York West		Lib		Lib	11,455	50.49%	3,554	15.66%	39.24%	11,455	2,735	7,901	287	203	107	22,688

= open seat

= turnout is above provincial average

= incumbent re-elected

= incumbency arose from byelection gain

Maps

Principal races

Party candidates in 2nd place

Party in 1st place		Party in 2nd place			Total
		align="center"	Lib	align="center"		PC	align="center"	NDP
-	40	13	53
34	-	3	37
13	4	-	17
Total		47	44	16	107

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results

Parties		Seats
		74
		26
		7
Total		107

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party

Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	Total
	53	47	7			107
	37	44	26			107
	17	16	73	1		107
			1	101	5	107
				3	36	39
				1	10	11
				1	1	2
					21	21
					18	18
					2	2
					1	1
					1	1
					1	1

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Riding	Party	Candidates	Votes	Placed
		Shane Jolley	1,478	5th
		Karl Boelling	1,057	4th
		Andy Bruziewicz	1,077	4th

Seats changing hands

There were 18 seats that changed allegiance from the 2007 election.

Liberal to PC

• Barrie
• Chatham-Kent—Essex
• Elgin—Middlesex—London
• Huron—Bruce
• Kitchener—Conestoga
• Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
• Nipissing
• Northumberland—Quinte West
• Perth—Wellington
• Prince Edward—Hastings
• Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry

Liberal to NDP

• Algoma—Manitoulin
• Bramalea—Gore—Malton
• Davenport
• Essex
• Hamilton Mountain
• London—Fanshawe
• Timiskaming—Cochrane

Source !!colspan="6"

Party
align="center"	Lib	align="center"	PC	align="center"	NDP	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	47	21	8	76
	Open seats held	6	4	2	12
	Byelection loss reversed		1		1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated		6	4	10
	Open seats gained		5	3	8
Total		53	37	17	107

Opinion polls

width=15%	Polling Firm	width=20%	Date of Polling	width=7% class=unsortable	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	class=unsortable	Type of poll	class=unsortable	Margin of error
Angus Reid		PDF	37	33	26	3	Online	3.6%
EKOS		PDF	37.7	31.5	23.3	5.9	Interactive voice response	2.0%
Forum Research		HTML	37	36	23	3	Interactive voice response	3.1%
Angus Reid		PDF	33	36	26	5	Online	2.1%
Abacus Data		HTML	37	34	24	4	Online	3.1%
EKOS		PDF	39.0	29.7	23.1	6.6	Interactive voice response	2.2%
Nanos Research		PDF	40.1	33.0	23.2	2.8	Telephone	4.2%
EKOS		PDF	39.1	29.1	24.5	6.0	Interactive voice response	2.9%
Nanos Research		PDF	37.7	33.2	25.8	2.1	Telephone	3.4%
Ipsos Reid		PDF	41	31	25	3	Telephone	3.1%
Nanos Research		PDF	35.9	36.4	25.7	1.2	Telephone	3.5%
EKOS		PDF	37.8	30.6	22.7	7.3	Interactive voice response	2.8%
Nanos Research		PDF	36.5	34	26.8	1.9	Telephone	3.5%
Nanos Research		PDF	38.0	35.3	24.6	1.8	Telephone	3.5%
Angus Reid		PDF	33	34	26	6	Online	3.1%
Leger Marketing		PDF	32	34	29	5	Online	3.1%
Nanos Research		PDF	37.7	34.4	25.5	2.0	Telephone	4.3%
Environics		HTML	35	36	25	3	Online
Abacus Data		PDF	33	37	23	6	Online	2.9%
EKOS		PDF	34.9	31.4	24.7	7.6	Interactive voice response	2.3%
Forum Research		HTML	35	35	23	5	Interactive voice response	0.5%
Angus Reid		HTML	32	36	26	6	Online	3.1%
Leger Marketing		PDF	33	36	26	5	Online	3.1%
Abacus Data		HTML	32	41	20	6	Online	3.2%
Nanos Research		PDF	38.1	34.7	24.3	2.7	Telephone	4.9%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	38	37	24	1	Telephone	3.5%
Harris-Decima		HTML	40	29	24	6	Telephone	3.8%
Nanos Research		PDF	31.9	35.4	22.8	4.1	Telephone	3.1%
Forum Research		HTML	30	35	26	7	Interactive voice response	2.0%
Angus Reid		PDF	31	38	24	6	Online	3.1%
Nanos Research		PDF	37.6	42.1	16.2	3.4	Telephone	3.4%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	36	38	23	3	Telephone	4.9%
Forum Research		HTML	28	38	24	7	Interactive voice response	2.1%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	31	42	22	5	Telephone	3.5%
		HTML	26	41	22	8	Interactive voice response	1.7%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	34	40	20	6	Telephone	3.5%
Nanos Research		PDF	34	41	19	5	Telephone	4.7%
Nanos Research		PDF	35	44	16	4	Telephone	4.9%
Nanos Research		PDF	39	43	13	5	Telephone	4.7%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	35	38	17	9	Telephone
Ipsos Reid		HTML	32	41	20	7
Angus Reid		PDF	29	41	22	8	Online	3.5%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	35	36	18	11
Ipsos Reid		HTML	37	32	20	11
Nanos Research		PDF	41.4	37.9	12.8	7.9	Telephone	4.9%
Ipsos Reid		HTML	38	34	15	10
Angus Reid		PDF	27	41	20	11
		PDF	36.6	35	17.2	9.8	Telephone	4.8%
Environics		HTML	32	37	19	11
Environics		HTML	44	32	15	8
Environics		HTML	44	29	17	11
Environics		HTML	45	32	12	11
Environics		HTML	35	30	21	13
Environics		HTML	41	31	16	12
Environics		HTML	38	30	19	12
Environics		HTML	45	34	18	2
Environics		HTML	44	31	22	3
Election 2007		PDF	42.3	31.6	16.8	8.0

Media endorsements

Liberals

• Barrie Advance ^[28]
• The Globe and Mail ^[29]
• Hamilton Spectator ^[30]
• Ottawa Citizen ^[31]
• Sudbury Star ^[32]
• Toronto Star ^[33]
• Waterloo Region Record ^[34]
• Windsor Star ^[35]

Progressive Conservatives

• Brampton Guardian ^[36]
• Metroland Durham Region Media Group ^[37]
• National Post ^[38]

Did not endorse

• Toronto Sun,^[39] Ottawa Sun ^[40]

External links

• Elections Ontario
• Elections Ontario, 2011 General Election
• Election Almanac - Ontario Provincial Election 2011
• Detailed interactive map of poll-level results

Notes and References

1. Web site: Statistical Summary. [Elections Ontario]. March 24, 2018. March 25, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180325105726/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Statistical%20Summary%20-%202014%20General%20Election%20and%202012-2014%20By-elections.pdf. live.
2. Web site: Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005. May 19, 2008. December 15, 2005. Service Ontario e-laws. June 13, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110613213845/http://www.e-laws.gov.on.ca/html/source/statutes/english/2005/elaws_src_s05035_e.htm. live.
3. Web site: Robert Benzie and Susan Delacourt. "Ontario cabinet minister to seek federal seat." Toronto Star. . . September 7, 2017 . October 23, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121023025630/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/907928--ontario-cabinet-minister-to-seek-federal-seat . live .
4. News: Benzie. Robert. Retiring Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier dead. June 6, 2011. The Toronto Star. June 4, 2011. Toronto. June 7, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110607220054/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1002784--retiring-liberal-mpp-bruce-crozier-dead. live.
5. Web site: Elections Ontario - When to Vote . Wemakevotingeasy.ca . 2011-09-30 . 2011-10-07 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111006194019/http://www.wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/when-to-vote.aspx . October 6, 2011 . dead .
6. News: Ontario leaders' debate set for Sept. 27. CBC.ca. 2011-09-02. September 2, 2011. September 3, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110903094634/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ontariovotes2011/story/2011/09/02/ontario-leader-debate.html. live.
7. News: Aileen Carroll won't seek a second term. June 6, 2011. The Barrie Examiner. January 21, 2011. Examiner staff. Barrie, ON. July 22, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110722140357/http://www.thebarrieexaminer.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=2940632. live.
8. News: Benzie. Robert. Conservative MPP Bill Murdoch to ride off into the sunset. June 6, 2011. The Toronto Star. July 5, 2010. Toronto. October 24, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20121024090525/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/831854--conservative-mpp-bill-murdoch-to-ride-off-into-the-sunset. live.
9. News: MPP Savoline will not seek re-election. June 6, 2011. The Hamilton Spectator. February 21, 2011. The Canadian Press. Hamilton. July 17, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110717031702/http://www.thespec.com/news/local/article/490318--mpp-savoline-will-not-seek-re-election. live.
10. News: Nugget. Carol-Ann. MPP Gerry Martiniuk to retire from provincial politics in 2011. June 6, 2011. Cambridge Now. October 14, 2010. Cambridge, ON. March 4, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160304062133/http://www.cambridgenow.ca/npps/print.cfm?nppage=2005. live.
11. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario/veteran-ontario-mpp-norm-sterling-loses-bitter-pc-nomination-battle/article1966519/ "Veteran Ontario MPP Norm Sterling loses bitter PC nomination battle "
12. News: Hoy won't seek re-election. June 6, 2011. London Free Press. November 25, 2010. QMI Agency. London, ON. March 19, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120319150835/http://www.lfpress.com/news/london/2010/11/24/16295951.html. live.
13. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1020101--liberal-backbencher-tony-ruprecht-won-t-seek-re-election Liberal backbencher Tony Ruprecht won’t seek re-election
14. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1023835--liberal-mpp-caplan-not-running-again Liberal MPP Caplan not running again
15. News: Chant. Miranda. Elgin-Middlesex-London MPP Calls it Quits. June 6, 2011. News/Talk 1290 CJBK. November 9, 2011. London, ON. July 8, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110708161646/http://www.cjbk.com/LocalNews/Story.aspx?ID=1309033. live.
16. News: Sherwin. Fred. Veteran MPP calls it a day after 41 years in politics. June 6, 2011. Orléans Online. April 13, 2011. Ottawa. https://web.archive.org/web/20110927175537/http://www.orleansonline.ca/pages/N2011041301.htm. September 27, 2011. dead.
17. News: Robert. Benzie. Former NDP leader Howard Hampton quits. July 30, 2011. The Toronto Star. Toronto. July 30, 2011. October 24, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20121024164234/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1032630--former-ndp-leader-howard-hampton-quits. live.
18. News: Cramer. Brandi. Smith steps aside: MPP recalls her accomplishments and regrets. June 6, 2011. North Bay Nugget. November 19, 2011. North Bay, ON. https://web.archive.org/web/20110720203842/http://www.nugget.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=2853972. July 20, 2011. dead.
19. http://www.newsdurhamregion.com/news/article/167487 "Longtime Pickering politician calls it quits"
20. News: Veteran MPP Gerry Phillips the latest Ontario Liberal not seeking re-election. June 6, 2011. iPolitics.ca. March 25, 2011. The Canadian Press. July 20, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110720201350/http://ipolitics.ca/2011/03/25/veteran-mpp-gerry-phillips-the-latest-ontario-liberal-not-seeking-re-election/. live.
21. News: Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier retires. June 6, 2011. CTV Ottawa. November 29, 2010. CTV staff. Ottawa. October 22, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20121022025421/http://ottawa.ctvnews.ca/mpp-brownell-to-retire-from-provincial-politics-1.574362. live.
22. News: Blizzard. Christine. MPP David Ramsay won't run again. June 6, 2011. The Toronto Sun. January 13, 2011. Toronto. September 16, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110916200804/http://www.torontosun.com/news/canada/2011/01/13/16875616.html. live.
23. News: Talaga. Tanya. NDP's Peter Kormos to retire. June 3, 2011. The Toronto Star. Toronto. June 3, 2011. October 24, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20121024081919/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1002223--ndp-mpp-peter-kormos-to-retire?bn=1. live.
24. News: Benzie. Robert. Liberals lose a star: Sandra Pupatello won't seek re-election. June 10, 2011. Toronto Star. June 10, 2011. Rob Ferguson. Toronto. October 24, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20121024095844/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1006173--liberals-lose-a-star-sandra-pupatello-won-t-seek-re-election?bn=1%2F. live.
25. Web site: 2011 Ontario General Election. . elections.on.ca. Elections Ontario. June 20, 2023. Error in EO report re Willowdale corrected: Web site: Alexander Brown for Willowdale. . November 7, 2011. willowdalendp.ca. June 21, 2023. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20111107144426/http://www.willowdalendp.ca/. November 7, 2011.
26. including spoilt ballots
27. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
28. Web site: Simcoe County Breaking News - Simcoe County's Online Newspaper. Simcoe.com. April 15, 2019. March 15, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120315134418/http://www.simcoe.com/simcoe/article/638576. live.
29. News: Canada . Dalton McGuinty's Liberals the best choice for Ontario's challenges . The Globe and Mail . 2011-10-07 . Toronto . October 23, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111023113829/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/editorials/dalton-mcguintys-liberals-the-best-choice-for-ontarios-challenges/article2188213/ . live .
30. Web site: Liberals, despite faults, are the best option . TheSpec . 2011-10-07 . October 6, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111006045730/http://www.thespec.com/opinion/editorial/article/604066--liberals-despite-faults-are-the-best-option . live .
31. Web site: Ottawa Citizen October 4, 2011 . Hold your nose and vote Liberal . Ottawacitizen.com . 2011-10-07 . December 16, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111216181446/http://www.ottawacitizen.com/Hold+your+nose+vote+Liberal/5497096/story.html#ixzz1ZoP3zqEg . live .
32. Web site: Liberals best fit for Sudbury - Point of View - The Sudbury Star - Ontario, CA . The Sudbury Star . 2011-10-03 . 2011-10-07 .
33. News: Liberals best choice for Ontario's future . thestar.com . September 30, 2011 . 2011-10-07 . Toronto . https://web.archive.org/web/20120105064331/http://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/article/1062834--liberals-best-choice-for-ontario-s-future . January 5, 2012 . dead .
34. Web site: Editorial: Liberals offer voters best hope . TheRecord . 2011-09-30 . 2011-10-07 . November 6, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111106020947/http://www.therecord.com/opinion/editorial/article/602930--editorial-liberals-offer-voters-best-hope . live .
35. Web site: The Windsor Star October 1, 2011 . Ontario votes . Windsorstar.com . 2011-10-01 . 2011-10-07 . December 9, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111209060617/http://www.windsorstar.com/opinion/Ontario+votes/5487062/story.html . live .
36. Web site: EDITORIAL: Vote for change . BramptonGuardian Article . 2011-09-29 . 2011-10-07 . April 6, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120406184653/http://www.bramptonguardian.com/opinion/editorial/article/1136672--editorial-vote-for-change . live .
37. Web site: Progressive Conservatives the party to lead Ontario . DurhamRegion Article . 2011-09-29 . 2011-10-07 . October 10, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111010153609/http://durhamregion.com/opinion/editorial/article/1118378--progressive-conservatives-the-party-to-lead-ontario . live .
38. Web site: On Thursday, Ontarians should vote Conservative . Nationalpost.com . 2011-10-03 . 2011-10-07 .
39. Web site: Ontario deserves better | Editorial | Opinion . Toronto Sun . 2011-10-07 . October 7, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111007004009/http://www.torontosun.com/2011/09/30/ontario-deserves-better . live .
40. Web site: Editorial: None of the above | Editorial | Opinion . Ottawa Sun . 2011-10-01 . 2011-10-07 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111102215949/http://www.ottawasun.com/2011/10/01/editorial--none-of-the-above . November 2, 2011 . dead .