| Election Name: | Next Bavarian state election |
| Country: | Bavaria |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2023 Bavarian state election |
| Previous Year: | 2023 |
| Next Year: | Next |
| Seats For Election: | All 203 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria (including 23 overhang and leveling seats) |
| Majority Seats: | 102 |
| Party1: | Christian Social Union in Bavaria |
| Last Election1: | 85 seats, 37.0% |
| Party2: | Free Voters of Bavaria |
| Last Election2: | 37 seats, 15.8% |
| Party3: | Alternative for Germany |
| Last Election3: | 32 seats, 14.6% |
| Party4: | Alliance 90/The Greens |
| Last Election4: | 32 seats, 14.4% |
| Party5: | Social Democratic Party of Germany |
| Last Election5: | 17 seats, 8.4% |
| Government | |
| Before Election: | Third Söder cabinet |
| Before Party: | CSU—FW |
| Posttitle: | Government after election |
Elections to the Landtag of Bavaria will be held in 2028.
| Polling firm[1] | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CSU | FW | AfD | Grüne | SPD | FDP | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 5,008 | 44 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 32 | |||
| Civey | 5,001 | 42 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 7 | – | – | – | 14 | 28 | |||
| INSA | 1,000 | 43 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 8 | – | – | 5 | 5 | 25 | |||
| GMS | 1,048 | 42 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 30 | |||
| Civey | 5,002 | 42 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 8 | 27 | |||
| Civey | 5,002 | 42 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 28 | |||
| Forsa | 1,036 | 43 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 2 | – | 4 | 7 | 30 | |||
| Civey | 5,004 | 42 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 28 | |||
| Civey | 5,004 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 7 | 27 | |||
| Civey | 5,005 | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 7 | 27 | |||
| GMS | 1,023 | 41 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 | |||
| Civey | 5,002 | 42 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 7 | – | – | – | 11 | 28 | |||
| Civey | 5,001 | 42 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 7 | 28 | |||
| Civey | 5,001 | 40 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | – | – | – | 11 | 26 | |||
| GMS | 1,018 | 42 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 27 | |||
| Infratest dimap | 1,161 | 40 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 3 | – | – | 9 | 25 | |||
| Civey | 5,000 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | – | – | – | 10 | 27 | |||
| GMS | 1,002 | 41 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | – | 6 | 25 | |||
| Civey | 4,999 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | – | – | – | 10 | 27 | |||
| Civey | 5,001 | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | – | 6 | 26 | |||
| 2023 state election | – | 37.0 | 15.8 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | – | 5.3 | 21.2 |