| Election Name: | 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election |
| Country: | North Rhine-Westphalia |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2022 North Rhine-Westphalia state election |
| Previous Year: | 2022 |
| Next Year: | Next |
| Seats For Election: | All 195 seats in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia |
| Majority Seats: | 98 |
| Election Date: | 2027 |
| Party1: | Christian Democratic Union of Germany |
| Last Election1: | 76 seats, 35.7% |
| Party2: | Social Democratic Party of Germany |
| Last Election2: | 56 seats, 26.7% |
| Party3: | Alliance 90/The Greens |
| Last Election3: | 39 seats, 18.2% |
| Party4: | Free Democratic Party (Germany) |
| Last Election4: | 12 seats, 5.9% |
| Party5: | Alternative for Germany |
| Last Election5: | 12 seats, 5.4% |
| Government | |
| Before Election: | Second Wüst cabinet |
| Before Party: | CDU-Green |
| Posttitle: | Government after election |
The 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election will be held in 2027 to elect the 19th Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia.[1]
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Samplesize | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 5–14 Mar 2024 | 1,502 | 37 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 21 | |||
| Infratest dimap | 30 Oct–2 Nov 2023 | 1,161 | 35 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 14 | – | – | 10 | 17 | |||
| Wahlkreisprognose | data-sort-value="2023-09-02" | 27 Aug–2 Sep 2023 | 1,100 | 33.5 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 18 | 2 | – | 6 | 14 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2023-06-15" | 12–15 Jun 2023 | 1,159 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 3 | – | 6 | 10 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2023-06-07" | 29 May–7 Jun 2023 | 1,506 | 37 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 3 | – | 7 | 16 | ||
| INSA | data-sort-value="2022-08-22" | 24 Apr–2 May 2023 | 1,000 | 36 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 3 | – | 6 | 14 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2023-03-28" | 27–28 Mar 2023 | 1,005 | 38 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | – | 8 | 18 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2023-01-31" | 23–31 Jan 2023 | 1,006 | 36 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 3 | – | 8 | 14 | ||
| Wahlkreisprognose | data-sort-value="2022-11-11" | 7–11 Nov 2022 | 1,400 | 31 | 24.5 | 19 | 5.5 | 12.5 | 1.5 | – | 6 | 7.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2022-10-20" | 17–20 Oct 2022 | 1,185 | 32 | 23 | 22 | 5 | 9 | – | – | 9 | 9 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2022-09-26" | 21–26 Sep 2022 | 1,511 | 36 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 3 | – | 6 | 15 | ||
| INSA | data-sort-value="2022-08-22" | 15–22 Aug 2022 | 1,000 | 36 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 14 | ||
| Wahlkreisprognose | data-sort-value="2022-06-30" | 27–30 Jun 2022 | 1,040 | 37 | 27.5 | 15.5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | – | 6 | 9.5 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2022-05-16" | 16 May 2022 | 1,008 | 36 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 2 | – | 6 | 11 | ||
| 2022 state election | data-sort-value="2021-03-14" | 15 May 2022 | – | 35.7 | 26.7 | 18.2 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 2.1 | – | 5.7 | 9.0 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | None/ Unsure | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CDU | SPD | SPD | SPD | AfD | |||||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2023 | 1,100 | 40 | 21 | – | – | 10 | 10 | 19 | 19 | |
| 40 | – | 18 | – | 13 | 13 | 16 | 22 | ||||
| 43 | 29 | – | – | – | – | 28 | 14 | ||||
| 46 | – | 26 | – | – | – | 28 | 20 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,400 | 35 | – | – | 20 | 18 | – | 27 | 15 | ||
| Forsa | 1,511 | 31 | – | – | 14 | 10 | – | 45 | 17 | ||