2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina explained

Election Name:2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Country:North Carolina
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2032 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Next Year:2032
Election Date:November 3, 2026
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
U.S. senator
Before Election:Thom Tillis
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina. Incumbent two-term Republican Senator Thom Tillis, was re-elected in 2020 with 48.7% of the vote against former State Senator Cal Cunningham. On June 10, 2023, the North Carolina Republican Party had censured Tillis over his bipartisan support on gun control and same-sex marriage.[1] Outgoing governor Roy Cooper, who is term-limited as governor in 2024, is considered a potential Democratic candidate. On July 30, 2024, NBC reported that Cooper is planning to run for the Senate seat.

Background

A typical swing state, North Carolina is considered to be a purple to slightly red southern state at the federal level. It was also a top battleground state in the 2020 and 2024 presidential elections. The state backed the Republican candidate in both elections by 1.3% and 3.2%, respectively.

Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Republicans control both chambers of the North Carolina Legislature and hold a supermajority in North Carolina's U.S. House delegation, as well as both of the state's senate seats. However, Democrats have seen success in statewide races, including in 2024, where they won half of the state's executive offices.

Republican primary

Senator Thom Tillis is considered vulnerable to a primary challenger from his right. On June 10, 2023, the North Carolina Republican Party voted to censure Tillis for his support for the Respect for Marriage Act and immigration reform attempts.[2] [3]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Polling

with Thom Tillis and Generic Republican

with Lara Trump and Thom Tillis

Democratic primary

Democrats have not won a United States Senate seat in North Carolina seat since 2008.

Candidates

Announcement pending

Potential

General election

Polling

with Lara Trump and Roy Cooper

Notes and References

  1. News: North Carolina Republicans censure Sen. Thom Tillis after stance on LGBTQ issues . Praveena. Sonasundaram. June 12, 2023. The Washington Post. subscription.
  2. News: . June 11, 2023 . Republican Sen. Thom Tillis is censured by North Carolina GOP delegates at convention. Berryman, Kim . Pellish, Aaron .
  3. News: Trump nominations put NC's Thom Tillis, the nation's 'most vulnerable' Republican senator, in the spotlight . 17 November 2024 . . Specht, Paul . Doran, Will . . 17 November 2024 . en.
  4. News: Cohen . Zach C. . Senate Republicans Face a More Competitive Senate Map in 2026 . November 13, 2024 . . November 13, 2024 . Tillis told reporters in September he plans to run for re-election.
  5. News: . December 2, 2024 . Gancarski, A.G. . Lara Trump dominates in Senate poll … but it's not in Florida. December 2, 2024 .
  6. News: Murphy . Brian . Mark Robinson says another run for political office is 'not on my radar at all' . November 20, 2024 . . November 20, 2024 . en.
  7. Web site: Hypothetical Robinson-Tillis 2026 Matchup: A Dogfight Waiting To Happen . Campaign Viability Research . Campaign Viability Research.
  8. Web site: NORTH CAROLINA POLL: LARA TRUMP, THOM TILLIS, OR ROY COOPER FOR US SENATE IN 2026? . Victory Insights . 2 December 2024 . 2 December 2024.
  9. Web site: North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper backs out of consideration to be Kamala Harris' running mate. July 29, 2024. Alcindor. Yamiche. Kapur. Sahil. Richard. Zoë. NBC News. July 29, 2024. One source directly involved in her search for a running mate said Cooper took himself out of the mix because he wants to run for the U.S. Senate in 2026.