2025 Kosovan parliamentary election explained

Country:Kosovo
Election Date:9 February 2025
Seats For Election:All 120 seats in the Assembly
Majority Seats:61
Previous Election:2021
Ongoing:yes
Party1:Vetëvendosje
Leader1:Albin Kurti
Current Seats1:53
Party2:Democratic Party of Kosovo
Leader2:Bedri Hamza
Current Seats2:18
Party3:LDKPSHDK
Leader3:Lumir Abdixhiku
Current Seats3:17
Party4:AAKNISMA–CL
Leader4:Ramush Haradinaj
Current Seats4:8
Party5:AKRPD
Leader5:Behgjet Pacolli
Current Seats5:3
Party6:Independents
Leader6:
Current Seats6:2
Heading7:Minority lists
Party7:Serb List (Kosovo)
Leader7:Zlatan Elek
Current Seats7:10
Party8:Turkish Democratic Party of Kosovo
Leader8:Fikrim Damka
Current Seats8:2
Party9:Vakat Coalition
Leader9:Bahrim Šabani
Current Seats9:1
Party10:New Democratic Initiative of Kosovo
Leader10:Elbert Krasniqi
Current Seats10:1
Party11:RI
Colour11:
  1. FF3A15
Leader11:Gazmend Salijević
Current Seats11:1
Party12:New Democratic Party (Kosovo)
Leader12:Emilija Redžepi
Current Seats12:1
Party13:SDU
Colour13:
  1. CF312E
Leader13:Duda Balje
Current Seats13:1
Party14:Unique Gorani Party
Leader14:Adem Hodža
Current Seats14:1
Party15:Ashkali Party for Integration
Leader15:Bekim Arifi
Current Seats15:1
Party16:LPRK
Colour16:
  1. cc5500
Leader16:Erxhan Galushi
Current Seats16:1

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Kosovo on 9 February 2025.[1]

Background

In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties to form a Government.[3]

Electoral system

The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[4] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[5] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.

Campaign

Parties and Coalitions

Government Parties

On August governing parties of Vetëvendosje, Guxo! and Alternativa announced that they would once again run inside the same electoral list, with incumbent Prime Minister Albin Kurti presumably leading the list.[6] Although initial reports suggested that Guxo! and Alternativa preferred a formal coalition.[7]

Opposition Parties

On 27th March 2024 the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) announced that Bedri Hamza, mayor of South Mitrovica and Former Minister of Finance, would be its candidate for Prime Minister.[8] The move to nominate Hamza has been speculated as an attempt to focus the campaign on the Economy, which has seen stagnation under the new government.[9] On November 3rd during the convention of PDK, Hamza announced their slogan would be "Kosova mundet më mirë"(Kosovo can do better). Hamza also announced his plans and projects for governing Kosovo, with the economy being the main point of his program.[10]

On December 2023 the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) published it's program from the upcoming election dubbed "Rruga e re" ("The New Road", "The New Path" or "The New Way").[11] On July 2024 LDK and PSHDK, a Christian minority party in Kosovo, announced that they would run together in the same electoral list.[12] Lumir Abdixhiku is it's candidate for Prime Minister, serving as leader of LDK since 2021.

On January 2024 opposition parties Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK), Social Democratic Initiative (NISMA) and Conservative List of Kosovo (LKK) announced they would run together in a coalition lead by leader of AAK and former Prime Minister, Ramush Haradinaj.[13] According to the Social Democratic Party of Kosovo (PSD) it too was offered to join this coalition but rejected it due to ideological differences.[14] The coalition was made official on August 2024[15] and soon after, the coalition published their program which focuses more on foreign relations and Kosovo's aspiration to join NATO and EU.[16]

The New Kosovo Alliance (AKR) and the Justice Party (PD) along with assembly members of ruling LVV[17] announced the creation of the "Family List" Coalition.[18] The coalition was formed as opposition to the government attempt to increase LGBTQ rights in Kosovo, specifically the proposed Civil Code which would've legalized same-sex civil unions.[19]

Campaign Issues

Dialogue with Serbia

Following the formation of the government Prime Minister Kurti declared that dialogue with Serbia would be his 6th or 7th priority, choosing to focus more on domestic issues.[20] On 20th September 2021 Kosovo announced a ban on Serbian license plate being used by Serbian citizens in Kosovo.[21] The Government justified this action as reciprocal measures, seeing as Serbia doesn't recognize Kosovan license plate.[22] This however sparked protest in Serb-majority north Kosovo as well as condemnation from Serbia who threatened to use military action. On 30th September 2021 EU had announced they had brokered a temporary deal between Serbia and Kosovo, halting the issue for 6 months.[23]

On July 2022 Kosovan government announced that Serbian citizens who enter Kosovo will receive entry and exit documents sparking barricades by local Serbs in Kosovo. This would also lead to Serbian politicians and policemen to leave Kosovan Institutions.[24] [25]

International Standing

LGBTQ rights

The issue of regulating marriage and civil partnerships for same-sex couples has sparked a clash of viewpoints in the Kosovo Assembly. In March 2022, the Civil Code Draft did not pass its first reading due to strong opposition, particularly regarding the potential legalization of civil partnerships between same-sex individuals. The proposed law would allow for the creation of a separate legal framework to register "civil partnerships" for same-sex couples, but it faced significant opposition from lawmakers and religious leaders, who view it as a redefinition of marriage and family. LGBT community supporters have called for equal recognition of marriage rights, emphasizing that Kosovo's Constitution guarantees the right to marry for all citizens.[26] In April 2024, Kosovo's Prime Minister Albin Kurti announced plans to pass a new Civil Code in May, which included provisions for civil partnerships between same-sex couples. This would have made Kosovo the second country in the Western Balkans, after Montenegro, to legally recognize such unions. However, the vote did not take place in May, and the process has been delayed indefinitely. The proposal faced opposition from some members of Kurti's party and religious leaders in Kosovo, who argued it would redefine marriage and family. The draft defines marriage as a legally recognized union between a man and a woman but allows for civil partnerships between same-sex couples. Despite the delay, Kurti remains confident that the legislation will eventually pass.[27]

Opinion polls

National polls

PollsterDateLVVLDKPDKAAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition)Family List CoalitionSLOtherAbstentionLead
LVVAGuxoAAKNISMACLKAKRPD
UBO3–15 June 202449.60.715.517.08.63.07.42.632.6
Albanian Post 1-10 June 202441.119.219.65.85.19.221.5
ISRN6 May 2024381.518.217.212.41.73.72.219.8
UBO5 April 202449.50.61617.16.95.64.332.4
PIPOS22 February 202440.90.10.421.520.49.00.44.619.4
UBO16–23 December 202348.50.10.817.918.26.81.53.23.030.3
UBO23 December 202242.60.21.319.8197.320.24.33.422.8
PIPOSDecember 202235.5122.221.562.40.40.213.3
UBOSeptember 202237.30.31.522.321.77.71.20.35.12.115
PIPOSAugust 202233.20.20.921.618.310.11.50.211.6
PIPOS7 July 202238.11.225.121.311.92.113
UBO18 June 202239.61.320.321.96.71.94.23.517.7
UBOMay 202238.317.719.76.518.6
UBO7–15 March 202241.91.119.421.67.210.44.22.820.3
PIPOS12 February 202234.724.121.37.70.40.510.6
2021 election14 February 202150.312.7317.017.22.525.0933.29

Seat projections

The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.

DateLVVLDKPDKAAKSLOther Lead
June 20245517199101036
4922236101026
May 202445212014101024
April 20245618197101037
February 202445232210101022
December 20235320207101033
January 20234822228101026
December 20224226257101016
September 20224225249101017
August 202240262212101014
July 202240262212101014
June 20224423258101019
May 20224721248101023
March 20224622248101022
February 20224027249101013

Leadership approval

PollsterDateKurtiAbdixhikuKrasniqiHamzaHaradinajLimajOsmaniPacolliLead
Albanian PostJune 202456.440.528.943.725.467.8
45.618.620.56.225.1
PIPOSFebruary 2024 3.072.132.051.891.653.060.01
PIPOSDecember 202226.720177.22.911.80.40.46.7
PIPOSAugust 20222.982.922.602.382.133.372.332.310.39
PIPOSFebruary 202228.918.613.36.21.57.30.510.3

Albin Kurti

The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.

PollsterDateApproveDisapproveLead
UNDP25 July 202458.341.716.6
UNDP28 February 202448.951.1style="background:red; color:white;" -2.6
UNDP25 April 202351.548.53.0

Glauk Konjufca

The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.

PollsterDateApproveDisapproveLead
UNDP25 July 202464.435.628.8
UNDP28 February 202452.247.84.7
UNDP25 April 202358.341.716.6

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2024-08-16 . Presidentja Osmani nxjerr dekretin: Zgjedhjet e rregullta parlamentare mbahen më 9 shkurt 2025 . 2024-08-16 . Telegrafi . sq.
  2. http://ndi.org/publications/kosovo-post-election-analysis-february-2021-parliamentary-elections ndi.org
  3. http://prishtinainsight.com/kurti-elected-prime-minister-for-the-second-time/ prishtinainsight.com
  4. http://www.electionguide.org/elections/id/2797/Kosovo Kosovo
  5. Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
  6. Web site: 2024-08-30 . Nuk bënë koalicion, por Guxo dhe Alternativa do të garojnë bashkë me LVV-në . 2024-11-23 . Telegrafi . sq.
  7. Web site: 2024-08-27 . Guxo dhe Alternativa kërkojnë koalicion parazgjedhor, LVV ende pa përgjigje . 2024-11-23 . Telegrafi . sq.
  8. News: 2024-03-27 . Bedri Hamza, kandidat i PDK-së për postin e kryeministrit . 2024-11-23 . Radio Evropa e Lirë . sq.
  9. Web site: 2024-03-31 . Kandidatura e Bedri Hamzës për kryeministër, analisti Arifi: PDK e zgjodhi me qëllim të fokusimit në temat ekonomike . 2024-11-23 . Telegrafi . sq.
  10. Web site: Konventa e PDK-së – Krejt çka premtoi Bedri Hamza Albanian Post . 2024-11-23 . albanianpost.com.
  11. Web site: Abdixhiku shpalos sot 100 projektet e "Rrugës së Re" . 2024-11-23 . Nacionale . en-US.
  12. Web site: LDK dhe PSHDK arrijnë marrëveshje, do të garojnë me një listë zgjedhore . 2024-11-23 . KosovaPress.com.
  13. Web site: 2024-02-16 . Nënshkruhet marrëveshja e koalicionit AAK-Nisma dhe Lista Konservatore, Haradinaj: Bashkë të dalim nga gjendja e rënduar e cila po ndikon te të gjithë . 2024-11-23 . Telegrafi . sq.
  14. Web site: Dakaj . Shkodrane . 2024-01-18 . PSD: Refuzuam ftesën e AAK-së për t'iu bashkuar koalicionit . 2024-11-23 . Raporto Korrupsionin! KALLXO.com . en.
  15. Web site: 2024-08-30 . Bëhen të ditura gjashtë koalicione parazgjedhore . 2024-11-23 . Telegrafi . sq.
  16. Web site: Jashari . Gojart . 2024-11-05 . Programi i koalicionit AAK-Nisma: Anëtarësim direkt në NATO, paga mesatare jo nën 1000 euro . 2024-11-23 . Paparaci . en-US.
  17. Web site: G.U . 2024-08-30 . Konfirmohet koalicioni mes PD-së dhe AKR-së . 2024-11-23 . Klan Kosova . sq.
  18. Web site: G.U . 2024-08-30 . Konfirmohet koalicioni mes PD-së dhe AKR-së . 2024-11-23 . Klan Kosova . sq.
  19. Web site: 2022-03-16 . Kosovë: Dështon miratimi në parim i Projektkodit Civil . 2024-11-23 . Voice of America . sq.
  20. Web site: Kurti: Dialogu me Serbinë del e 7-ta për nga përparësitë, por jam gati për kompromise . 2024-11-25 . fax.al.
  21. News: Henley . Jon . 2022-11-22 . Fears Kosovo-Serbia number plate row could spark violence . 2024-11-25 . The Guardian . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  22. Web site: Tensions at Kosovo-Serbia border over license plate rules – DW – 09/21/2021 . 2024-11-25 . dw.com . en.
  23. Web site: 2021-10-02 . NATO troops patrol Kosovo-Serbia border after truck blockade . 2024-11-25 . AP News . en.
  24. News: 2022-07-31 . Kosovo Puts Off Action on Restive Serbs as Tensions Escalate . 2024-11-25 . Bloomberg.com . en.
  25. News: Lirë . Radio Evropa E. . 2022-11-05 . Serbët vendosin të largohen nga institucionet e Kosovës . 2024-11-25 . Radio Evropa e Lirë . sq.
  26. Web site: 2024-03-16 . Komuniteti LGBTI me sy kah Kuvendi . 2022-03-16 . Radio Evropa e Lire . sq.
  27. Web site: 2024-04-26 . “Martesat mes gjinisë së njëjtë” Albin Kurti zotohet: Shumë shpejt do t’i siguroj personalisht votat për Kodin Civil . 2024-04-26 . Demokracia . sq.