2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia
Country:District of Columbia
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. District of Columbia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The District of Columbia has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the district neither gained nor lost a seat. Per the Constitution, the District of Columbia can not be apportioned more members of the Electoral College than the number apportioned to the state apportioned the fewest.[1]

As an extremely blue urban district with an African American plurality and higher educational attainment than every state, Democrats have faced almost no challenge to earning the District of Columbia's electoral votes in presidential elections since it was first granted its electoral college representation. Starting with Lyndon B. Johnson's victory in 1964, every Democratic nominee for president has won the District by massive margins, including the 49-state landslide defeats of George McGovern and Walter Mondale in 1972 and 1984. Thus, the district is predicted to again be a very easy Democratic win in 2024.[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for re-election to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[3] [4] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[5] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[6]

On August 9, 2024, the Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. presidential campaign announced that they submitted 19,000 signatures to put RFK Jr. on the ballot in the District of Columbia.[7] This total is more than the votes George W. Bush received in 2000, John McCain received in 2008, and Donald Trump received in 2016 and 2020.

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 District of Columbia Republican presidential primary.

The District of Columbia Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

The District of Columbia was one of only two jurisdictions not to be won by Trump in the 2024 Republican primaries, the other being Vermont.

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary. The 2024 District of Columbia was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in South Dakota, New Mexico, New Jersey, Montana.

Statehood Green primary

See main article: 2024 Green Party presidential primaries. The D.C. Statehood Green Party primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana. No candidate appeared on the ballot.

D.C. Statehood Green primary, June 4, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Scattered write-ins31758.81%0
Under votes22241.19%0
Total:539100.00%5
Source:[8]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[9] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[10] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[13] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[14] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[15] June 12, 2024
538[16] June 11, 2024
RCP[17] June 26, 2024

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . February 7, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map . 2024-03-18 . 270toWin.com.
  3. News: Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision. Kinery . Emma. April 25, 2023. CNBC.
  4. News: Levine . Sam . Gambino . Lauren . 2024-07-22 . Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit . 2024-07-22 . The Guardian . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  5. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . The Washington Post . July 22, 2024.
  6. News: Gold . Michael . Nehamas . Nicholas . March 13, 2024 . Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations . July 22, 2024 . The New York Times . 0362-4331 . March 13, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240313034919/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html . live.
  7. Web site: August 9, 2024 . Kennedy Officially on Ballot in Texas, Submits Ballot Access Signatures in D.C. . 2024-08-09 . Kennedy24 . en.
  8. Web site: Primary Election 2024 - Certified Results . June 5, 2024 . District of Columbia: Board of Elections.
  9. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  14. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  15. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  16. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  17. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.