See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin |
Country: | Wisconsin |
Type: | Presidential |
Ongoing: | yes |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Wisconsin |
Next Year: | 2028 |
Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
Home State1: | California |
Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Home State2: | Florida |
Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
Map Size: | 300px |
President | |
Before Election: | Joe Biden |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A former Blue Wall state in the Upper Midwest partly located in the Rust Belt, Wisconsin is a clearly purple state today. In 2016, Donald Trump very narrowly won Wisconsin by 0.77% in his surprise sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt, becoming the first Republican since Reagan in his 1984 landslide to win the state's electoral votes; but in 2020, Democrat Joe Biden flipped Wisconsin back into the blue column by an even more narrow 0.63%. Given the state's competitive electoral history coupled with its nearly even partisan lean, Wisconsin is considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with most major news organizations marking the state as a tossup.[2]
The last presidential Republican to win Wisconsin by double digits was fellow Midwesterner Dwight D. Eisenhower; the last one to win the state twice was Ronald Reagan; and the only presidential candidates to carry the state by double digits after 1956 were Democrats Bill Clinton and Barack Obama (the latter representing neighboring Illinois) in 1996 and 2008, respectively.
The Wisconsin Green Party has attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020.[3]
See main article: 2024 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary.
The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.
See main article: 2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary.
The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.
The Republican Party held their their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket.[4] [5] This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention as in 2020 it was scheduled to occur there but was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Democratic Party's National Convention has one time in Milwaukee which was in 1996.[6]
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[7] | December 19, 2023 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[8] | April 26, 2023 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | June 29, 2023 | |
align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | December 14, 2023 | |
align=left | CNalysis[11] | December 30, 2023 | |
align=left | CNN[12] | January 14, 2024 | |
align=left | The Economist[13] | August 14, 2024 | |
538[14] | June 11, 2024 | ||
RCP[15] | August 15, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Undecided | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics | July 22 – August 14, 2024 | August 15, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 3.8% | Harris +1.0 | |||
270ToWin | July 30 – August 15, 2024 | August 17, 2024 | 48.8% | 45.8% | 5.4% | Harris +3.0 | |||
Average | 48.7% | 46.7% | 4.6% | Harris +2.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Focaldata[16] | data-sort-value="2024-08-16" | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 48% | – | |
TIPP Insights | August 12–14, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
976 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 47% | 6% | ||||
The Bullfinch Group | data-sort-value="2024-08-11" | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% | |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | data-sort-value="2024-08-08" | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
Navigator Research (D)[17] | data-sort-value="2024-08-08" | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[18] | data-sort-value="2024-08-08" | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 5% | |
New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% | ||
661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 3% | ||||
RMG Research | data-sort-value="2024-08-05" | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | |
Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% | ||
877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 50% | 1% | ||||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 49% | 1% | ||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-29" | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% | |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-07-28" | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% | |
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% | |
Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% | ||
845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 49% | – | ||||
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
North Star Opinion Research | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% | |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-05-22" | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% | |
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-02-26" | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% | |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% | ||
603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Robert Kennedy Jr | Cornel West | Jill Stein | Chase Oliver | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Focaldata[19] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | ||
700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | ||||
700 (A) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 43% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[20] | data-sort-value="2024-08-15" | August 12–15, 2024 | 469 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% | |
The Bullfinch Group | data-sort-value="2024-08-11" | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% | |
New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||||
Navigator Research (D)[21] | data-sort-value="2024-08-08" | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[22] | data-sort-value="2024-08-08" | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% | |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-08-03" | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% | |
Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-07-28" | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% | |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% | |
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 47% | 11% | |||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% | |||||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-07-18" | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-07-17" | July 11–12, 2024 | 653 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
Rasmussen Reports (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-19" | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% | ||
North Star Opinion Research | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-07-06" | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | data-sort-value="2024-05-07" | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-07-08" | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
Remington Research Group (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-03" | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | 12% | |||
871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 50% | – | |||||
784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 9% | |||||
784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – | |||||
Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% | |||
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | |||||
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22% | |||
290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 41% | 19% | |||||
KAConsulting (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-08" | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||
Prime Group | data-sort-value="2024-05-22" | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-05-22" | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% | ||
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | data-sort-value="2024-05-24" | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% | |||
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||
Quinnipiac University | data-sort-value="2024-05-08" | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% | |||
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – | |||||
CBS News/YouGov | data-sort-value="2024-04-18" | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% | ||
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-04-18" | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-04-24" | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% | ||
Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 51% | – | |||
736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 51% | – | |||||
North Star Opinion Research | data-sort-value="2024-04-17" | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||
Wall Street Journal | data-sort-value="2024-04-02" | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% | ||
Echelon Insights | data-sort-value="2024-04-15" | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
Emerson College/The Hill | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% | |||
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – | |||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-03-26" | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-02-29" | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-02-26" | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% | ||
Kaplan Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-02-26" | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% | ||
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% | |||
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% | |||||
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-02-01" | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-01-31" | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2023-12-14" | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% | ||
J.L. Partners | data-sort-value="2023-11-09" | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2023-11-09" | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% | ||
Emerson College | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% | |||
819 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10% | |||||
New York Times/Siena College | data-sort-value="2023-11-5" | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% | ||
Marquette University Law School | data-sort-value="2023-11-5" | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2023-10-19" | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2023-10-12" | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2023-06-13" | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% | ||
Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – | |||
500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23% | |||||
Marquette University Law School | data-sort-value="2023-06-13" | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 43% | 4% | ||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | data-sort-value="2022-10-29" | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-10-29" | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-09-18" | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% | ||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | data-sort-value="2021-11-16" | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% | ||
Marquette University Law School | data-sort-value="2021-10-31" | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert Kennedy Jr | Cornel West | Jill Stein | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-18" | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-07-18" | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6% | ||
Rasmussen Reports (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-19" | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5% | ||
YouGov | data-sort-value="2024-07-15" | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-07-06" | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | data-sort-value="2024-05-07" | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 9% | – | 3% | 6% | ||
Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |||
784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2% | |||||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% | ||
J.L. Partners | data-sort-value="2024-05-22" | June 5–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% | ||
KAConsulting (R) | data-sort-value="2024-07-08" | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 42% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6% | ||
Prime Group | data-sort-value="2024-05-22" | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-05-22" | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% | ||
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | data-sort-value="2024-05-23" | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14% | |||
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13% | |||||
Quinnipiac University | data-sort-value="2024-05-08" | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-04-30" | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% | ||
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-04-18" | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-04-24" | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||
Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |||
736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |||||
North Star Opinion Research | data-sort-value="2024-04-17" | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% | ||
Wall Street Journal | data-sort-value="2024-04-02" | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% | ||
Emerson College/The Hill | data-sort-value="2024-02-29" | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-03-26" | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-02-29" | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-02-26" | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% | ||
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||||
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-02-01" | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2024-01-31" | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | data-sort-value="2023-12-14" | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% | ||
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | data-sort-value="2023-11-09" | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert Kennedy Jr | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs | data-sort-value="2024-07-19" | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% | ||
North Star Opinion Research | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 11% | 15% | ||
P2 Insights | data-sort-value="2024-06-26" | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 9% | ||
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% | |||
290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% | |||||
New York Times/Siena College | data-sort-value="2023-10-15" | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% | ||
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-02-26" | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Nikki Haley | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 57% | 2% | |||
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 57% | 1% | |||||
New York Times/Siena College | data-sort-value="2023-11-05" | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 53% | 8% | ||
Marquette University Law School | data-sort-value="2023-11-5" | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 53% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Ron DeSantis | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | data-sort-value="2023-11-05" | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% | |
Marquette University Law School | data-sort-value="2023-11-5" | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 50% | 1% | |
Marquette University Law School | data-sort-value="2023-06-13" | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 47% | 4% | |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | data-sort-value="2023-04-20" | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
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