See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia |
Country: | West Virginia |
Type: | Presidential |
Ongoing: | yes |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in West Virginia |
Next Year: | 2028 |
President | |
Before Election: | Joe Biden |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Home State2: | California |
Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Home State1: | Florida |
Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
The 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. West Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of West Virginia has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost one congressional seat.[1]
Despite being a Democratic stronghold for much of the 20th century, West Virginia — as a rural Southern state in the heart of Appalachia and largely within the Bible Belt — has trended dramatically towards the Republican Party in the 21st century. The last Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state was fellow Southerner Bill Clinton, who did so comfortably in both of his 1990s victories. A large factor in West Virginia's rightward trend is the Democratic Party's adoption of more liberal policies – especially environmentalist policies, anathema to the state's coal-dominated economy. Environmentalism was notably embraced by 2000 Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore, also a Southerner, who consequently lost the state by just under six points despite having been vice president under the popular Clinton.
Starting with the 2000 presidential election, West Virginia has seen a mass of counties flip to the GOP at this level, with Republicans consistently carrying the state's electoral votes by double digits since Southerner George W. Bush did so in 2004; and the last Democratic presidential nominee to win at least 40% of the West Virginian vote or carry any county in the state being Barack Obama in 2008. Furthermore, West Virginia was Republican Donald Trump's strongest state in 2016 and his second-strongest state (trading places with Wyoming) in 2020. Nowadays, West Virginia is a deeply red state with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 2021 apart from one U.S. Senate seat, which is expected to flip solidly Republican in a concurrent election.[2] Trump is expected to easily win the state again in 2024.
See main article: 2024 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary. The West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 25 delegates (20 pledged and 5 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates.[3]
Four candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:[4]
See main article: 2024 West Virginia Republican presidential primary. The West Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[5]
Five candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:[4]
See main article: 2024 Green Party presidential primaries. The Mountain primary (the state's Green Party affiliate) is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024.
Only one candidate was certified to appear on the primary ballot,[4] who will receive all 4 of the state's pledged delegates:[6]
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | Cook Political Report[7] | December 19, 2023 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[8] | April 26, 2023 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | June 29, 2023 | |
align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | December 14, 2023 | |
align=left | CNalysis[11] | December 30, 2023 | |
align=left | CNN[12] | January 14, 2024 | |
align=left | The Economist[13] | June 12, 2024 | |
538[14] | June 11, 2024 | ||
RCP[15] | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein