See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont |
| Country: | Vermont |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Vermont |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Vermont |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Map Size: | 180px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
| Home State1: | California |
| Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | Florida |
| Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Vermont voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Vermont has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
As a sparsely populated rural state in northern New England, Vermont was historically a moderate/liberal "Yankee Republican" stronghold, having backed the GOP in all but one presidential election between the party's formation and George H.W. Bush's narrow victory in 1988: Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. However, an influx of more liberal voters has turned Vermont into a Democratic stronghold at the presidential level since the early 1990s, as the state has been won by the Democratic candidate in every presidential race starting in 1992, all of these victories being by double digits apart from Al Gore's 9.93% win in 2000.
Vermont was Biden's strongest state in 2020, with a margin of 35.4%. Today a strongly blue state and one of the most progressive states in the U.S., Vermont is favored to remain comfortably in the Democratic presidential column in 2024.[2]
See main article: 2024 Vermont Republican presidential primary. The Vermont Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Nikki Haley won the primary, becoming the first woman to win a state primary in a Republican presidential primary.[3]
See main article: 2024 Vermont Democratic presidential primary. The Vermont Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Joe Biden won the primary.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[4] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[5] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[8] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[9] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[10] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[11] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[12] | June 26, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research[15] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 117 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 58% | 28% | 14% | |
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 111 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 28% | 13% | |