2024 United States presidential election in Utah explained

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Utah
Country:Utah
Type:Presidential
College Voted:no
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Utah
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Utah
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Electoral Vote1:6
Popular Vote1:883,818
Percentage1:59.39%
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:562,566
Percentage2:37.81%

The 2024 United States presidential election in Utah took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden initially ran for reelection to a second term, but dropped out of the race prior to the Democratic National Convention. Former President Donald Trump ran for reelection to a second non-consecutive term after losing to Biden in 2020. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered the required signatures to qualify for the ballot in early-January but would later withdraw.

A Mountain West state, Utah has not been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide and is a strongly red state, a trait vastly owed to the state's conservative Mormon base. As expected, Donald Trump won the state handily—but tied Washington state for the smallest swing to the right in the nation. Trump improved his margin by only 1%, compared to the national swing of 6%.[1] Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Grand County since William McKinley in 1900.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Utah Democratic presidential primary. The Utah Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden easily won the state, facing minor opposition from activist Marianne Williamson and Congressman Dean Phillips.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Utah Republican presidential caucuses. The Utah Republican caucuses were held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump defeated former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley in one of his weakest performances of the greater Republican primaries. The state GOP returned to organizing a caucus after its use of the primary system in 2020, which significantly lowered turnout.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportDecember 19, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsApril 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJune 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The HillDecember 14, 2023
align=left CNalysisDecember 30, 2023
align=left CNNJanuary 14, 2024
align=left The EconomistJune 12, 2024
538June 11, 2024
RCPJune 26, 2024
NBC NewsOctober 6, 2024

Candidate ballot access

See also: Ballot access in the 2024 United States presidential election. As of August 2024, the following candidates have been designated as "Election Candidates":

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. lawsuit

On December 5, 2023, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. filed a lawsuit against lieutenant governor Deidre Henderson and state elections director Ryan Cowley, arguing that the state's requirement for unaffiliated candidates to attain 1,000 verified signatures before the January 8 deadline is unconstitutional and that it forces Kennedy's campaign to hire professional petition circulators. In the 2020 election, the filing deadline was August 17, and was moved up in a bill passed by the Utah State Legislature in February 2022. Campaign lawyer Paul Rossi argued that the deadline was made "to block any third-party candidates from appearing on Utah's ballot," showing "an absolute contempt for the Constitution." A court filing was made by state attorney general Sean Reyes on December 7, stating that Henderson and Cowley have agreed to not enforce the deadline until March 5, 2024, per request of senior judge David Nuffer. Kennedy later qualified to appear on the Utah ballot on December 28, 2023, marking the first state to award him official ballot access. Kennedy would later withdraw from the ballot in Utah after the suspension of his campaign and endorse Donald Trump for President.

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Other /
Undecided
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-09-28" October 7–30, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%60%40%
Noble Predictive InsightsOctober 2–7, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%52%39%9%
539 (LV)± 4.2%54%38%8%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-09-28" September 27–28, 2024612 (LV)± 4.0%54%39%7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Chase
Oliver
Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insightsdata-sort-value="2024-10-28" October 25–28, 2024695 (LV)± 3.7%54%34%0%0%1%11%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of PoliticsOctober 15–19, 2024813 (RV)± 3.4%61%30%2%1%6%
63%31%4%2%
Noble Predictive InsightsOctober 2–7, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%51%37%2%1%1%8%
539 (LV)± 4.2%54%36%2%0%2%6%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politicsdata-sort-value="2024-06-12" June 4–7, 2024857 (RV)± 3.4%57%25%18%
John Zogby Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-05-01" April 13–21, 2024414 (LV)46%43%11%
Noble Predictive Insightsdata-sort-value="2024-01-21" April 8–16, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%54%26%20%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityFebruary 29 – March 3, 2024174 (RV)46%37%17%
166 (LV)46%38%16%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politicsdata-sort-value="2024-01-21" January 16–21, 2024801 (RV)± 3.0%43%33%24%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2022-10-28" October 25–28, 2022825 (LV)± 3.0%47%34%19%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Results

By county

County[2] Donald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Beaver2,78186.29%39412.22%481.49%2,38774.07%3,223
Box Elder22,85377.91%5,27417.98%1,2054.11%17,57959.93%29,332
Cache39,45764.27%18,71830.49%3,2135.24%20,73933.78%61,388
Carbon6,71970.53%2,52526.50%2832.97%4,19444.03%9,527
Daggett44380.40%10118.33%71.27%34262.07%551
Davis101,29359.37%59,89535.11%9,4285.52%41,39824.26%170,616
Duchesne7,81586.57%1,00911.18%2032.25%6,80675.39%9,027
Emery4,34186.18%60311.97%931.85%3,73874.21%5,037
Garfield2,21178.18%54119.13%762.69%1,67059.05%2,828
Grand2,32743.70%2,82853.11%1703.19%-501-9.41%5,325
Iron21,57176.59%5,68320.18%9123.23%15,88856.41%28,166
Juab5,67186.21%73411.16%1732.63%4,93775.05%6,578
Kane3,27772.56%1,13725.18%1022.26%2,14047.38%4,516
Millard5,55886.16%71311.05%1802.79%4,84575.11%6,451
Morgan5,30076.26%1,25618.07%3945.67%4,04458.19%6,950
Piute85488.13%949.70%212.17%76078.43%969
Rich1,21183.29%21414.72%291.99%99768.57%1,454
Salt Lake221,55542.86%273,65852.94%21,6784.20%-52,103-10.08%516,891
San Juan3,61356.54%2,58140.39%1963.07%1,03216.15%6,390
Sanpete10,65381.19%1,90614.53%5624.28%8,74766.66%13,121
Sevier9,52686.67%1,23611.25%2292.08%8,29075.42%10,991
Summit10,78341.12%14,61255.72%8293.16%-3,829-14.60%26,224
Tooele23,48468.33%9,56027.82%1,3223.85%13,92440.51%34,366
Uintah13,59985.37%1,95212.25%3782.38%11,64773.12%15,929
Utah203,47666.65%84,93727.82%16,8585.53%118,53938.83%305,271
Wasatch11,49561.42%6,45934.51%7624.07%5,03626.91%18,716
Washington73,16574.39%22,32722.70%2,8602.91%50,83851.69%98,352
Wayne1,23874.58%38122.95%412.47%85751.63%1,660
Weber67,54959.49%41,23836.32%4,7624.19%26,31123.17%113,549
Totals883,81858.40%562,56637.17%67,0144.43%321,25221.23%1,513,398

By congressional district

Trump won all four congressional districts.[3]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
58.54%38.50%Blake Moore
58.88%38.56%Celeste Maloy
58.26%38.95%John Curtis (118th Congress)
Mike Kennedy (119th Congress)
61.91%35.23%Burgess Owens

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2024-11-08 . A 'blue trickle' against the red wave? Utah may skew slightly to the left . 2024-11-20 . FOX 13 News Utah (KSTU) . en.
  2. Web site: COUNTY RESULTS .
  3. Web site: 2024 Pres by CD .