2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Country:South Dakota
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Next Year:2028
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

South Dakota is sparsely populated state in the Great Plains, and is a Republican stronghold at both the state and presidential levels. It hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory; not even in 1972, when favorite son George McGovern lost his state by a wide margin of 8.6%. South Dakota is widely expected to back Donald Trump again in 2024.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 South Dakota Democratic presidential primary. The South Dakota Democratic was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Jersey, and New Mexico.

Republican primary

The South Dakota Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, and New Mexico. Under state law, no primary will be held if a candidate runs for a nomination unopposed.[2] As Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to file for the presidential primary, no popular vote was held.[3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[4] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[5] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[8] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[9] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[10] June 12, 2024
538[11] June 11, 2024
RCP[12] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[13] data-sort-value="2024-02-02" January 23–28, 20241,777 (RV)± 2.2%55%26%18%
Emerson College[14] data-sort-value="2022-10-21" October 1–4, 2023432 (RV)± 4.7%50%28%22%
Emerson College[15] data-sort-value="2022-10-21" October 19–21, 20221,500 (LV)± 2.4%53%33%14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 2024 Primary Election Candidate List . SD SOS . 22 May 2024.
  3. Web site: Biden, Trump snap up more primary victories as key congressional races decided. Coote. Darryl. United Press International. June 5, 2024. June 5, 2024.
  4. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  5. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  10. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  11. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  13. Web site: Colorado, Missouri, Ohio, and South Dakota 2024 Polls: Biden Underperforming Among Women and Young Voters. Camille. Mumford. February 2, 2024. Emerson Polling.
  14. Web site: South Dakota: Quarter of Residents think Gov. Noem Should be Trump's Running Mate. Camille. Mumford. October 15, 2023. Emerson Polling.
  15. Web site: Emerson College.
  16. Web site: Poll: Trump has sizable lead in South Dakota but shy of 2016 and 2020 numbers. May 23, 2024. South Dakota News Watch.