See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota |
| Country: | South Dakota |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in South Dakota |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Map Size: | 300px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | California |
| Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
| Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | Florida |
| Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
The 2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
South Dakota is sparsely populated state in the Great Plains, and is a Republican stronghold at both the state and presidential levels. It hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory; not even in 1972, when favorite son George McGovern lost his state by a wide margin of 8.6%. South Dakota is widely expected to back Donald Trump again in 2024.
See main article: 2024 South Dakota Democratic presidential primary. The South Dakota Democratic was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Jersey, and New Mexico.
The South Dakota Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, and New Mexico. Under state law, no primary will be held if a candidate runs for a nomination unopposed.[2] As Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to file for the presidential primary, no popular vote was held.[3]
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[4] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[5] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[8] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[9] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[10] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[11] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[12] | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[13] | data-sort-value="2024-02-02" | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% | ||
| Emerson College[14] | data-sort-value="2022-10-21" | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% | ||
| Emerson College[15] | data-sort-value="2022-10-21" | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Partisan clients