See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina |
| Country: | South Carolina |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in South Carolina |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | Florida |
| Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
| Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | California |
| Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Although not as right-leaning as the other Deep South states, apart from its newly competitive neighbor Georgia, South Carolina has a conservative voting pattern. It is located entirely in the larger Bible Belt and is considered a strongly red state at the federal and state level, with the only Democratic presidential candidate to win the state since JFK in 1960 being Georgian Jimmy Carter in 1976. Therefore, the state is expected to vote Republican in 2024, as it has in each presidential election starting in 1980.[2]
See main article: 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary. On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, 2024.[3] Due to protests to the change, the New Hampshire primary was scheduled for January 23, maintaining its traditional "first-in-the-nation" status. However, the primary was deemed non-binding, so the South Carolina primary was the first contest in which candidates could earn delegates.[4] President Biden won the primary in a landslide, winning all 55 of the state's unbound delegates.[5] The Democratic primary recorded low voter turnout among registered voters, with only 4% participating.[6]
The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 3, 2024.
See main article: 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary. The South Carolina Republican primary was held on February 24, 2024, the fifth contest in the nationwide Republican primaries. Nikki Haley, who served as the governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, lost her home state to former president Donald Trump by 20 points. Trump won six congressional districts, earning a total of 47 delegates. Haley won the, earning three delegates.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[7] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[8] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[11] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[12] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[13] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[14] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[15] | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[16] | data-sort-value="2024-02-20" | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | 12% | ||
| The Citadel[17] | data-sort-value="2024-02-15" | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 35% | 11% | ||
| Winthrop University[18] | data-sort-value="2024-02-14" | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 35% | 15% | ||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[19] | February 1–8, 2024 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | 14% | |||
| 643 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% | |||||
| Echelon Insights[20] | data-sort-value="2022-09-07" | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% | ||
| Blueprint Polling (D)[21] | data-sort-value="2022-08-25" | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nikki Haley | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel | data-sort-value="2024-02-15" | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 28% | 22% | |
| Winthrop University | data-sort-value="2024-02-14" | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% | |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden