Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon |
Country: | Oregon |
Type: | Presidential |
College Voted: | no |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Oregon |
Next Year: | 2028 |
President | |
Before Election: | Joe Biden |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Donald Trump |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
Home State1: | California |
Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Home State2: | Florida |
Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
Popular Vote1: | 1,238,780 |
Popular Vote2: | 918,252 |
Percentage1: | 55.3% |
Percentage2: | 41.0% |
Electoral Vote1: | 8 |
Electoral Vote2: | 0 |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
Harris carried Oregon by 14.3%. Oregon did not shift significantly rightward in this election, as Biden had won Oregon by 16.1% in 2020, shifting rightward by 1.77 points. This was in contrast to Harris significantly underperforming Biden in many other blue states, including her home state of California. Trump flipped back Marion County, after losing it in 2020 but winning it in 2016.
Democrats have won Oregon in every presidential election starting in 1988, and have consistently done so by double digits starting in 2008. A blue state, although not as strongly as neighboring California and Washington, Oregon is part of the Democratic-leaning West Coast, and was predicted to go comfortably for Democrat Kamala Harris (from neighboring California) in 2024.
See main article: 2024 Oregon Republican presidential primary.
The Oregon Republican primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky caucuses.
See main article: 2024 Oregon Democratic presidential primary.
The Oregon Democratic primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky primary.
Minor parties in Oregon nominate by nominating delegates to their national conventions, or for the We the People and Independent parties, holding a nominating convention. They are allowed to self-finance a primary, but no party chose to do so. The following candidates' nominations were accepted by the Oregon Secretary of State:
Party | Candidate | |
---|---|---|
Chase Oliver | ||
Randall Terry |
The Republican Party issued a legal challenge to Libertarian party ballot access that was rejected by the Secretary of State.
Oregon is considered solidly Democratic, and Donald Trump did not pay the $3,500 required for a candidate statement in the ballot handbook, although candidate statements were provided by the Democratic, We the People, Libertarian, and Pacific Green candidates. Notably, Oregon's third-largest party, the Independent Party of Oregon, did not nominate a candidate, although it had cross-nominated Joe Biden in 2020.
In the early hours of October 28, an incendiary device was placed in a ballot drop box in Portland. A total of 3 ballots were damaged, while the rest were unharmed due to the ballot box's fire suppression system.
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | Cook Political Report | December 19, 2023 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | April 26, 2023 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | June 29, 2023 | |
align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | August 26, 2024 | |
align=left | CNalysis | December 30, 2023 | |
align=left | The Economist | September 12, 2024 | |
538 | October 23, 2024 | ||
NBC News | October 6, 2024 | ||
YouGov | October 16, 2024 | ||
Split Ticket | November 1, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value="2024-10-17" | October 16–17, 2024 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% | |
Hoffman Research | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bullfinch Group | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% | ||
John Zogby Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-05-01" | April 13–21, 2024 | 419 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% | |
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-11-01" | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 35% | 14% | |
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-10-01" | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Harris won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[1]
District | Harris | Trump | Representative | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67% | 29% | Suzanne Bonamici | ||||
34% | 61% | Cliff Bentz | ||||
71% | 25% | Earl Blumenauer (118th Congress) | ||||
Maxine Dexter (119th Congress) | ||||||
54% | 42% | Val Hoyle | ||||
52% | 44% | Lori Chavez-DeRemer (118th Congress) | ||||
Janelle Bynum (119th Congress) | ||||||
54% | 42% | Andrea Salinas |
Partisan clients