2024 United States presidential election in Oregon explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Oregon
Country:Oregon
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Oregon
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Oregon
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oregon voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1]

Democrats have won Oregon in every presidential election starting in 1988, and have consistently done so by double digits starting in 2008. A strongly blue state today, Oregon is part of the Democratic-leaning West Coast, and is predicted to go comfortably for Democrat Kamala Harris (from neighboring California) in 2024.[2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Oregon Republican presidential primary. The Oregon Republican primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky caucuses.

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Oregon Democratic presidential primary.

The Oregon Democratic primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky primary.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[3] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[4] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] June 8, 2024
align=left CNalysis[7] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[8] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[9] June 12, 2024
538[10] June 11, 2024
RCP[11] June 26, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[13] data-sort-value="2022-11-01" October 31 – November 1, 2022975 (LV)± 3.1%51%35%14%
Emerson College[14] data-sort-value="2022-10-01" September 30 – October 1, 2022796 (LV)± 3.4%50%41%9%

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map . December 18, 2023 . 270toWin.com.
  3. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  4. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  5. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  9. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  10. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  12. Web site: New Poll Shows Harris With 5–Point Lead Over Trump in Oregon. July 30, 2024. Willamette Week.
  13. Web site: Oregon 2022: Independent Candidates' Support Melts As Democrat Tina Kotek Leads Republican Christine Drazan by Four for Governor. Camille. Mumford. November 4, 2022. Emerson Polling.
  14. Web site: Oregon 2022: Republican Christine Drazan with Two-Point Lead Over Democrat Tina Kotek for Governorship; Sen. Wyden Holds 19-Point Lead in Re-election Bid. Camille. Mumford. October 4, 2022. Emerson Polling.