2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma explained

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Country:Oklahoma
Type:presidential
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
College Voted:no
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Popular Vote1:1,036,213
Percentage1:66.16%
Electoral Vote1:7
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Popular Vote2:499,599
Percentage2:31.90%
Electoral Vote2:0
Last Update:Nov 12, 6:26 AM
Time Zone:CST
Turnout:64.42% 9.62 pp[1]

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

A deeply red state entirely in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has the longest Republican presidential voting streak of any Southern state, having not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964. Since then, the state has only been contested by single digits in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton (the latter from neighboring Arkansas) in 1976, 1992, and 1996. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the largest city and state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020.

Republican Donald Trump easily kept the state in the GOP column in the past two election cycles, with a 36.4% margin of victory in 2016 and 33.1% four years later. Oklahoma was expected to go for Trump a third time in 2024, and Trump ultimately carried the state by 34.26%, including winning every county.

Although Trump easily won Oklahoma, the state would have one of the smallest rightward shifts in the nation, shifting rightward by 1.18%. Much like in 2020, Trump nearly lost Oklahoma County, winning this county by less than 1.7%, though he did narrowly increase his margin in the county.

The Oklahoma State Election Board approved Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to officially appear on the ballot in the state on May 9.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary. The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary. The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.

Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024.

CandidateVotesPercentage
Chase Oliver56961.25%
Jacob Hornberger36038.75%
Total:929100%
Source:

General election

Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Oklahoma:

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportDecember 19, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsApril 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJune 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The HillDecember 14, 2023
align=left CNalysisDecember 30, 2023
align=left CNNJanuary 14, 2024
align=left The EconomistJune 12, 2024
538June 11, 2024
RCPJune 26, 2024
NBC NewsOctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Other /
Undecided
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-10-28" October 3–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%67%33%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2022-08-31" September 13 – October 19, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%66%34%
SoonerPolldata-sort-value="2022-08-31" August 24–31, 2024323 (LV)± 5.5%56%40%4%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-05-01" April 13–21, 2024391 (LV)53%40%7%
Cygnal (R)data-sort-value="2023-10-10" April 11–12, 2024615 (LV)± 3.9%61%30%9%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2023-10-10" October 1–3, 2023447 (RV)± 4.6%55%27%18%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2022-10-28" October 25–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%59%30%11%
SoonerPolldata-sort-value="2022-10-06" October 4–6, 2022301 (LV)± 5.7%53%41%6%
Echelon Insightsdata-sort-value="2022-09-07" August 31 – September 7, 2022522 (LV)± 6.3%63%30%7%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Results

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Adair5,86080.76%1,28917.76%1071.47%4,57163.00%7,256
Alfalfa1,89187.55%23610.93%331.53%1,65576.62%2,160
Atoka4,83285.34%77913.76%510.90%4,05371.58%5,662
Beaver1,93891.24%1587.44%281.32%1,78083.80%2,124
Beckham6,47484.32%1,09314.24%1111.45%5,38170.08%7,678
Blaine3,05480.67%67117.72%611.61%2,38362.95%3,786
Bryan13,99978.59%3,56920.04%2441.37%10,43058.55%17,812
Caddo6,88672.51%2,41425.42%1962.06%4,47247.09%9,496
Canadian50,55169.18%21,03828.79%1,4852.03%29,51340.39%73,074
Carter14,94576.69%4,27721.95%2661.36%10,66854.74%19,488
Cherokee11,63765.29%5,82632.69%3602.02%5,81132.60%17,823
Choctaw4,63382.16%94416.74%621.10%3,68965.42%5,639
Cimarron86091.98%667.06%90.96%79484.92%935
Cleveland67,22556.35%49,43241.44%2,6372.21%17,79314.91%119,294
Coal2,15584.91%34513.59%381.50%1,81071.32%2,538
Comanche20,82360.74%12,82337.40%6381.86%8,00023.34%34,284
Cotton2,06782.48%39215.64%471.88%1,67566.84%2,506
Craig4,74078.27%1,21220.01%1041.72%3,52858.26%6,056
Creek24,09876.96%6,64321.22%5711.82%17,45555.74%31,312
Custer7,69375.66%2,27922.41%1961.93%5,41453.25%10,168
Delaware14,40779.56%3,47519.19%2261.25%10,93260.37%18,108
Dewey1,98489.57%2099.44%220.99%1,77580.13%2,215
Ellis1,58587.47%19710.87%301.66%1,38876.60%1,812
Garfield16,59375.96%4,84922.20%4021.84%11,74453.76%21,844
Garvin9,06382.46%1,80216.40%1261.15%7,26166.06%10,991
Grady20,37880.60%4,53617.94%3691.46%15,84262.66%25,283
Grant1,79484.42%29513.88%361.69%1,49970.54%2,125
Greer1,51182.30%30416.56%211.14%1,20765.74%1,836
Harmon70980.39%16518.71%80.91%54461.68%882
Harper1,28488.49%14710.13%201.38%1,13778.36%1,451
Haskell4,15684.20%71814.55%621.26%43869.65%4,936
Hughes3,74480.36%83117.84%841.80%2,91362.52%4,659
Jackson6,29578.17%1,60219.89%1561.94%4,69358.28%8,053
Jefferson2,02085.05%31913.43%361.52%1,70171.62%2,375
Johnston3,46281.84%68416.17%841.99%2,77865.67%4,230
Kay12,48373.81%4,13624.45%2941.74%8,34749.36%16,913
Kingfisher5,74585.06%92313.67%861.27%4,82271.39%6,754
Kiowa2,56978.37%65820.07%511.56%1,91158.30%3,278
Latimer3,35682.28%68116.70%421.03%2,67565.58%4,079
LeFlore15,33381.76%3,18416.98%2371.26%12,14964.78%18,754
Lincoln12,49580.80%2,71217.54%2581.67%9,78363.26%15,465
Logan17,74873.49%5,90124.44%5002.07%11,84749.05%24,149
Love3,51082.39%68916.17%611.43%2,82166.22%4,260
McClain17,00579.47%4,03118.84%3611.69%12,97460.63%21,397
McCurtain9,48583.87%1,69615.00%1281.13%7,78968.87%11,309
McIntosh6,38775.68%1,93722.95%1151.36%4,45052.73%8,439
Major3,08788.76%3279.40%641.84%2,76079.36%3,478
Marshall5,34881.17%1,16917.74%721.09%4,17963.43%6,589
Mayes13,51477.78%3,52920.31%3311.91%9,98557.47%17,374
Murray4,61278.37%1,15619.64%1171.99%3,45658.73%5,885
Muskogee16,56067.96%7,40030.37%4071.67%9,16037.59%24,367
Noble3,85377.73%1,00920.36%951.92%2,84457.37%4,957
Nowata3,77482.75%72015.79%671.47%3,05466.96%4,561
Okfuskee3,08077.23%85421.41%541.35%2,22655.82%3,988
Oklahoma143,61849.71%138,76948.03%6,5362.26%4,8491.68%288,923
Okmulgee10,10070.39%3,97927.73%2701.88%6,12142.66%14,349
Osage14,40469.83%5,86728.44%3571.73%8,53741.39%20,628
Ottawa8,49075.95%2,51122.46%1771.58%5,97953.49%11,178
Pawnee5,40578.56%1,35519.69%1201.74%4,05058.87%6,880
Payne17,96261.35%10,56036.07%7572.59%7,40225.28%29,279
Pittsburg13,84178.77%3,47319.76%2581.47%10,36859.01%17,572
Pontotoc10,96772.27%3,89525.67%3122.06%7,07246.60%15,174
Pottawatomie20,91572.69%7,26625.25%5932.06%13,64947.44%28,774
Pushmataha4,02585.60%61613.10%611.30%3,40972.50%4,702
Roger Mills1,54889.32%1609.23%251.45%1,38880.09%1,733
Rogers35,94276.63%10,14621.63%8141.74%25,79655.00%46,902
Seminole5,95173.98%1,95124.25%1421.77%4,00049.73%8,044
Sequoyah12,49180.16%2,90718.65%1851.19%9,58461.51%15,583
Stephens15,09281.05%3,23617.38%2921.57%11,85663.67%18,620
Texas4,31982.96%79315.23%941.81%3,52667.73%5,206
Tillman2,00679.19%50019.74%271.07%1,50659.45%2,533
Tulsa145,24156.53%106,10541.30%5,5932.18%39,13615.23%256,939
Wagoner28,48773.99%9,33024.23%6841.78%19,15749.76%38,501
Washington16,83672.65%5,79325.00%5452.35%11,04347.65%23,174
Washita4,03086.63%55111.84%711.53%3,47974.79%4,652
Woods2,95581.23%61416.88%691.90%2,34164.35%3,638
Woodward6,23185.22%96713.22%1141.56%5,26472.00%7,312
Totals1,036,21366.16%499,59931.90%30,3611.94%536,61434.26%1,566,173

By congressional district

Trump received the majority of votes in all five congressional districts.[2]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
59.71%38.18%Kevin Hern
77.02%21.40%Josh Brecheen
71.51%26.66%Frank Lucas
65.51%32.58%Tom Cole
57.99%39.76%Stephanie Bice

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2020 November General Election Turnout Rates . United States Elections Project . 2020-11-11.
  2. Web site: 2024 Pres by CD .