See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma |
| Country: | Oklahoma |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Oklahoma |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | Florida |
| Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
| Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | California |
| Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A deeply red state entirely in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has the longest Republican presidential voting streak of any Southern state, having not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964. Since then, the state has only been contested by single digits in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton (the latter from neighboring Arkansas) in 1976, 1992, and 1996. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the largest city and state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020.
Republican Donald Trump easily kept the state in the GOP column in the past two election cycles, with a 36.4% margin of victory in 2016 and 33.1% four years later. Oklahoma is expected to go for Trump a third time in 2024.[2]
The Oklahoma State Election Board approved Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to officially appear on the ballot in the state on May 9.[3]
See main article: 2024 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary. The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
See main article: 2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary. The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.[4]
Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024.[5] [6]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Oliver | 569 | 61.25% | ||||
| Jacob Hornberger | 360 | 38.75% | ||||
| Total: | 929 | 100% | ||||
| Source:[7] | ||||||
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[8] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[9] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[12] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[13] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[14] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[15] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[16] | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[17] | data-sort-value="2023-10-10" | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 61% | 30% | 9% | ||
| Emerson College[18] | data-sort-value="2023-10-10" | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Emerson College[19] | data-sort-value="2022-10-28" | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% | ||
| SoonerPoll[20] | data-sort-value="2022-10-06" | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% | ||
| Echelon Insights[21] | data-sort-value="2022-09-07" | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden