2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Country:North Carolina
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Image1:File:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1]

Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 (the only one of the last four presidential elections where the winner won over 50% of the state's vote) and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles.

It was the closest Republican state victory in 2012 and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in the latter. However, at the gubernatorial level, incumbent Democrat Roy Cooper has won both terms, and an upcoming race for a new governor coinciding with the presidential election is expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as narrowly leaning towards the Republican candidate Donald Trump.[2] Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot.[3] Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election, but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president Kamala Harris.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary. In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures.[4] The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate,[5] and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline.[6]

The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges.[7] Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.

In North Carolina, the "No Preference" option will appear on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.[8]

The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary. The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.[9]

North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentage
None of the Above2,05840.5%
Chase Oliver67613.3%
Jacob Hornberger3577.0%
Joshua Smith3547.0%
Michael Rectenwald1953.8%
Charles Ballay1833.6%
Lars Mapstead1763.5%
Mike ter Maat1372.7%
Other94618.7%
Total:5,082100.0%
Source:[10]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[11] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[12] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] August 20, 2024
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14] May 30, 2024
align=left CNalysis[15] August 18, 2024
align=left CNN[16] August 20, 2024
align=left The Economist[17] July 19, 2024
538[18] July 18, 2024
RCP[19] August 15, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPoliticsJuly 24 – August 14, 2024August 17, 202447.6%46.4%6.0%Trump +1.2
270ToWinAugust 9–19, 2024August 19, 202447.4%46.0%6.6%Trump +1.4
Average47.5%46.2%6.3%Trump +1.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Other /
Undecided
Focaldata[20] data-sort-value="2024-08-16" August 6–16, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%50%50%–
New York Times/Siena College[21] August 9–14, 2024655 (RV)± 4.2%46%49%5%
655 (LV)± 4.2%47%49%4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[22] data-sort-value="2024-07-29" August 6–8, 20241,082 (LV)± 2.9%49%45%6%
Navigator Research (D)[23] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%46%6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[24] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 26 – August 8, 2024403 (LV)–47%48%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] data-sort-value="2024-07-28" July 24–28, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%48%46%6%
July 21, 2024Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[26] data-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%50%40%10%
Emerson College[27] data-sort-value="2024-02-21" February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%41%9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Chase
Oliver
Other /
Undecided
Focaldata[28] August 6–16, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%46%47%5%–1%0%1%
702 (RV)± 3.7%44%47%6%–1%0%2%
702 (A)± 3.7%43%47%7%–1%0%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[29] data-sort-value="2024-08-15" August 12–15, 2024601 (LV)–47%44%2%–0%1%6%
New York Times/Siena College[30] August 9–14, 2024655 (RV)± 4.2%42%45%5%0%2%1%4%
655 (LV)± 4.2%44%46%4%0%1%1%4%
YouGov (D)August 5–9, 2024802 (RV)± 3.9%46%46%2%0%0%0%5%
Navigator Research (D)[31] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%46%3%0%1%0%4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[32] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 26 – August 8, 2024403 (LV)–44%46%4%0%1%–5%
Cygnal (R)[33] data-sort-value="2024-08-05" August 4–5, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%44%4%–0%1%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[34] data-sort-value="2024-08-03" July 31–August 3, 2024714 (LV)–44%41%4%–0%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-07-28" July 24–28, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%45%44%5%–0%4%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[35] data-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 2024586 (LV)–46%43%4%–0%0%7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-21" July 17–20, 2024573 (RV)± 4.1%50%46%4%
Emerson College[37] data-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%41%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[38] data-sort-value="2024-07-06" July 1–5, 2024696 (RV)± 4.0%46%43%11%
Spry Strategies[39] data-sort-value="2024-06-06" June 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%44%8%
East Carolina University[40] data-sort-value="2024-06-06" May 31–June 3, 20241,332 (LV)± 3.1%48%43%9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[41] data-sort-value="2024-06-03" May 29–June 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%41%10%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[42] data-sort-value="2024-06-05" May 26–27, 20241,053 (LV)± 3.0%51%43%6%
Change Research (D)[43] data-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 13–18, 2024835 (LV)± 3.8%45%43%12%
Prime Group[44] data-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 9–16, 2024472 (RV)–51%49%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[45] data-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%49%42%9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[46] data-sort-value="2024-05-23" May 6–13, 2024601 (LV)± 4.0%48%41%11%
High Point University[47] data-sort-value="2024-05-23" May 5–9, 2024804 (RV)± 3.2%44%42%14%
Emerson College[48] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
1,000 (RV)± 3.0%52%48%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[49] data-sort-value="2024-04-24" April 8–15, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
Mason-Dixon[50] data-sort-value="2024-04-19" April 9–13, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Quinnipiac University[51] data-sort-value="2024-04-10" April 4–8, 20241,401 (RV)± 2.6%48%46%6%
High Point University[52] data-sort-value="2024-04-11" March 22–30, 2024829(RV)± 3.4%45%42%14%
Wall Street Journal[53] data-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Marist College[54] data-sort-value="2024-03-20" March 11–14, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.6%51%48%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[55] data-sort-value="2024-03-26" March 8–12, 2024699 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
SurveyUSA[56] data-sort-value="2024-03-11" March 3–9, 2024598 (LV)± 4.9%50%45%5%
Cygnal (R)[57] data-sort-value="2024-03-12" March 6–7, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[58] data-sort-value="2024-02-29" February 12–20, 2024704 (RV)± 5.0%50%41%9%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-02-21" February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%44%9%
Fox News[59] data-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%50%45%5%
Meredith College[60] data-sort-value="2024-02-05" January 26–31, 2024760 (RV)± 3.5%44%39%17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[61] data-sort-value="2024-01-31" January 16–21, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[62] data-sort-value="2023-12-14" November 27 – December 6, 2023704 (RV)± 4.0%49%40%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[63] data-sort-value="2023-11-09" October 30 – November 7, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%48%39%13%
Meredith College[64] data-sort-value="2023-11-05" November 1–5, 2023755 (RV)± 3.5%39%40%22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] data-sort-value="2023-10-19" October 5–10, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%47%43%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[66] data-sort-value="2023-10-15" October 7–9, 2023736 (LV)–43%38%20%
Change Research (D)[67] data-sort-value="2023-09-11" September 1–5, 2023914 (LV)± 3.6%46%42%12%
Prime Group[68] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–54%46%–
500 (RV)–45%37%18%
Opinion Diagnostics[69] data-sort-value="2023-06-08" June 5–7, 2023902 (LV)± 3.3%43%40%18%
Cygnal (R)[70] data-sort-value="2023-03-27" March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%43%45%12%
Differentiators (R)[71] data-sort-value="2023-01-12" January 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%45%48%7%
Emerson College[72] data-sort-value="2022-10-29" October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%40%9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[73] data-sort-value="2022-10-08" October 7–8, 2022606 (RV)–44%44%12%
SurveyUSA[74] data-sort-value="2022-10-02" September 28 – October 2, 2022918 (RV)± 3.9%43%45%12%
Emerson College[75] data-sort-value="2022-09-16" September 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
East Carolina University[76] data-sort-value="2022-09-10" September 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%46%45%9%
Blueprint Polling (D)[77] data-sort-value="2022-08-06" August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%45%39%17%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[78] data-sort-value="2022-07-24" July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%48%41%11%
East Carolina University[79] data-sort-value="2022-05-20" May 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%46%37%16%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-21" July 17–20, 2024573 (RV)± 4.1%48%42%2%–2%6%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%38%6%1%1%7%
YouGov[80] data-sort-value="2024-07-15" July 4–12, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.7%44%40%4%0%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-07-06" July 1–5, 2024696 (RV)± 4.0%42%40%7%1%1%9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)data-sort-value="2024-06-03" May 29 – June 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%32%9%3%2%10%
Prime Groupdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 9–16, 2024472 (RV)–45%42%11%2%1%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%46%38%7%1%1%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)data-sort-value="2024-05-23" May 6–13, 2024601 (LV)± 4.0%44%36%8%3%1%8%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-04-30" April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%6%1%1%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-04-24" April 8–15, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%48%38%5%1%0%8%
Quinnipiac Universitydata-sort-value="2024-04-10" April 4–8, 20241,401 (RV)± 2.6%41%38%12%3%3%3%
Wall Street Journaldata-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%34%10%2%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-03-26" March 8–12, 2024699 (RV)± 4.0%45%39%7%1%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-02-29" February 12–20, 2024704 (RV)± 5.0%45%35%9%1%1%9%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-02-21" February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%5%1%1%10%
East Carolina University[81] data-sort-value="2024-02-16" February 9–12, 20241,207 (LV)± 3.3%47%44%2%1%1%5%
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%8%1%2%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[82] data-sort-value="2024-01-31" January 16–21, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%45%32%9%1%1%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[83] data-sort-value="2023-12-14" November 27 – December 6, 2023704 (RV)± 4.0%45%34%8%1%1%11%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-06-06" June 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%37%8%10%
Change Research (D)[84] data-sort-value="2024-04-11" May 13–18, 2024835 (LV)± 3.8%41%38%11%10%
Cygnal (R)[85] data-sort-value="2024-04-11" May 4–5, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%38%9%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[86] data-sort-value="2024-05-13" May 2–4, 2024700 (LV)–44%37%7%12%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[87] data-sort-value="2024-05-29" April 25–28, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%40%35%11%14%
Meredith College[88] data-sort-value="2024-04-11" April 11–17, 2024711 (LV)± 3.5%41%39%9%11%
Cygnal (R)[89] data-sort-value="2024-04-11" April 7–8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%39%7%11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[90] data-sort-value="2024-03-25" March 14–17, 2024642 (LV)–43%39%8%10%
Marist Collegedata-sort-value="2024-03-20" March 11–14, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.6%46%43%11%–
North Star Opinion Research[91] data-sort-value="2024-02-06" January 30 – February 4, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%39%32%16%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[92] data-sort-value="2024-01-08" December 28–30, 20231,220 (LV)–37%33%11%19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[93] data-sort-value="2023-12-05" November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–44%35%8%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2023-10-15" October 7–9, 2023736 (LV)–41%38%9%14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Joe
Biden
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Other /
Undecided
East Carolina Universitydata-sort-value="2024-02-16" February 9–12, 20241,207 (LV)± 3.3%32%40%10%2%0%16%
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%31%33%19%2%2%13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Opinion Diagnosticsdata-sort-value="2023-05-7" June 5–7, 2023902 (LV)± 3.3%46%40%13%
Cygnal (R)data-sort-value="2023-03-27" March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%44%41%15%
Differentiators (R)data-sort-value="2023-01-12" January 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%49%44%7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map . 2024-03-19 . 270toWin.com.
  3. Web site: Kraemer . Brianna . 2024-04-03 . RFK Jr. is officially joining the NC ballot . 2024-05-01 . Carolina Journal . en-US.
  4. Web site: 2024 Fact Sheet - Running for President . December 26, 2023 . North Carolina State Board of Elections.
  5. Web site: 2023-12-07 . Biden primary foe Phillips will challenge states where he missed ballot Semafor . 2023-12-26 . www.semafor.com . en.
  6. Web site: 2023-12-26 . North Carolina's 2024 presidential primary candidates approved . 2023-12-26 . Carolina Journal - . en-US.
  7. Web site: 2023-12-22 . Dean Phillips, a Democrat running for president, says North Carolina is wrong to keep him off ballot . 2023-12-26 . WUNC . en.
  8. Web site: Our Campaigns - NC US President - D Primary Race - May 08, 2012 .
  9. News: News Staff . FOX Carolina . Here are the 10 Libertarian candidates in the 2024 NC Presidential Primary . FOX News.
  10. Web site: 03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS – STATEWIDE. North Carolina State Board of Elections. June 22, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  14. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . Decision Desk HQ/The Hill . 31 May 2024.
  15. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . August 6, 2024.
  16. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  17. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . July 19, 2024 . en.
  18. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . July 16, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  19. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  20. Web site: Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll. Chalfant . Morgan . Sarlin . Benjy. August 19, 2024. Semafor.
  21. News: Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina. The New York Times . August 17, 2024. NYTimes.com.
  22. Web site: North Carolina Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024.
  23. Web site: Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground. Russell . Rachael . August 20, 2024. Navigator Research.
  24. Web site: The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President. Amy. Walter. August 14, 2024. Cook Political Report.
  25. News: Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat. Bloomberg . July 30, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  26. https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/05/Bloomberg-Election-Tracking-Wave-8-Toplines-Crosstabs.pdf Bloomberg/Morning Consult
  27. Web site: North Carolina 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44%. Camille. Mumford. February 21, 2024. Emerson Polling.
  28. Web site: Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll. Chalfant . Morgan . Sarlin . Benjy. August 19, 2024. Semafor.
  29. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024). August 19, 2024.
  30. News: Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina. The New York Times . August 17, 2024. NYTimes.com.
  31. Web site: Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground. Russell . Rachael . August 20, 2024. Navigator Research.
  32. Web site: The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President. Amy. Walter. August 14, 2024. Cook Political Report.
  33. Web site: August 2024 – With Harris as Presidential Nominee, Race Tightens in North Carolina. August 9, 2024. The Carolina Journal.
  34. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024). August 6, 2024.
  35. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024). July 25, 2024.
  36. Web site: Public Policy Polling (D).
  37. Web site: July 2024 Swing State Polls. Camille. Mumford. July 18, 2024. Emerson Polling.
  38. News: Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss. Bloomberg . July 6, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  39. Web site: Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC.
  40. Web site: ECU Center for Survey Research - Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina; Gubernatorial election remains close with Stein up 1 on Robinson; Trump guilty verdict has little impact on NC voter intentions for November. surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com.
  41. Web site: North Star Opinion Research (R).
  42. Web site: North Carolina Voters Want Stronger Immigration Enforcement. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  43. Web site: x.com.
  44. Web site: Prime Group.
  45. News: Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election. Bloomberg . May 22, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  46. Web site: A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue. May 24, 2024. Cook Political Report.
  47. Web site: High Point University.
  48. Web site: Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls. Camille. Mumford. April 30, 2024. Emerson Polling.
  49. News: Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows. Bloomberg . April 24, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  50. Web site: Trump leads Biden in North Carolina: Poll. Julia. Mueller. April 19, 2024.
  51. Web site: North Carolina 2024: Trump On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University North Carolina Poll Finds; Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 52% - 44% | Quinnipiac University Poll. April 10, 2024. poll.qu.edu.
  52. Web site: HPU Poll: N.C. Registered Voters Say Inflation and National Security Are Top Issues for D.C. | High Point University. www.highpoint.edu.
  53. Web site: Wall Street Journal.
  54. Web site: Marist College.
  55. News: Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows. Bloomberg . March 26, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  56. Web site: Trump leads in NC as Biden struggles with younger voters, WRAL News poll shows. March 11, 2024. WRAL.com.
  57. Web site: Cygnal (R).
  58. News: Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows. Bloomberg . February 29, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  59. Web site: Fox News Poll: Trump ahead of Biden in North Carolina with 50% support. Victoria. Balara. February 14, 2024. Fox News.
  60. Web site: Meredith Poll Explores Primary Preferences, Opinions on Policy Issues, and Importance of Democracy. Melyssa. Allen. February 5, 2024.
  61. News: Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty. Bloomberg . January 31, 2024. www.bloomberg.com.
  62. News: Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z. Bloomberg . December 14, 2023. www.bloomberg.com.
  63. News: Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home. Bloomberg . November 9, 2023. www.bloomberg.com.
  64. Web site: Meredith College.
  65. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll#xj4y7vzkg Bloomberg/Morning Consult
  66. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (7-9 October 2023). October 15, 2023.
  67. Web site: NC Voters Want a Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment – Carolina Forward.
  68. Web site: Prime Group.
  69. Web site: NC Elections and Policy Poll. www.opiniondiagnostics.com.
  70. Web site: Cygnal (R).
  71. Web site: Dropbox. www.dropbox.com.
  72. Web site: North Carolina 2022: Budd Holds Five-Point Lead Over Beasley for US Senate. Camille. Mumford. November 2, 2022. Emerson Polling.
  73. Web site: A Preview of What's to Come in 2024 – Carolina Forward.
  74. Web site: Who would win NC in 2024? Biden and Trump neck-and-neck in hypothetical rematch, WRAL poll shows. October 3, 2022. WRAL.com.
  75. Web site: The race tightens: Beasley closes in on Budd in latest North Carolina Senate poll. September 20, 2022.
  76. Web site: ECU Center for Survey Research - ECU Poll Shows Budd With Narrow Lead Over Beasley. surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com.
  77. Web site: Democratic Insiders: Slight Uptick in Confidence About November Elections. Amy. LeMenager. August 9, 2022.
  78. https://boltonsuperpac.com/pdfs/crostabs_07282022.pdf PEM Management Corporation (R)
  79. Web site: ECU Center for Survey Research - ECU Poll: Ted Budd leads Cheri Beasley by eight points among registered voters in North Carolina; Republicans lead generic congressional vote by three in NC; Biden's approval rating at just thirty-five percent in the Tar Heel state. surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com.
  80. Web site: YouGov.
  81. Web site: ECU Center for Survey Research - Mark Robinson and Josh Stein Clear Favorites to win Nominations in Primary Elections for Governor; Likely General Election Matchup Tied. surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com.
  82. https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/01/2401055_Bloomberg_2024-Election-Tracking-Wave-4_Crosstabs_All-States-compressed-1.pdf Bloomberg/Morning Consult
  83. Web site: Bloomberg/Morning Consult.
  84. Web site: Carolina Forward | May 2024 | Topline results. Google Docs.
  85. Web site: May 2024 – Robinson, Stein neck and neck for governor's mansion - Carolina Journal.
  86. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (2-4 May 2024). May 13, 2024.
  87. Web site: New CLC Poll Predicts a Bumpy Election Ride. C. L. C.. Staff. May 29, 2024. Carolina Leader.
  88. Web site: Meredith College.
  89. Web site: Cygnal (R).
  90. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (14-17 March 2024). March 25, 2024.
  91. Web site: News — League of American Workers. February 8, 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240208195956/https://www.amworkers.com/news . February 8, 2024 .
  92. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (28-30 December 2023). January 8, 2024.
  93. Web site: Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27-29 November 2023). December 5, 2023.
  94. Web site: Bloomberg/Morning Consult.

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