2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey
Country:New Jersey
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in New Jersey
Next Year:2028
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance
Map Size:180px
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

As a densely-populated state in the Northeast, New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election starting in 1992, doing so consistently by double digits starting in 2008. In 2020, the state broke 57%–41% for Democrat Joe Biden of neighboring Delaware. However, early polling showed a tighter race in 2024 compared to previous election cycles.

Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. claimed he had gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot in May 2024.[2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary. The New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary. The New Jersey Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[3] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[4] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] June 8, 2024
align=left CNalysis[7] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[8] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[9] July 19, 2024
538[10] June 11, 2024
RCP[11] June 26, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R)[12] data-sort-value="2024-07-03" July 1–2, 2024477 (RV)± 4.5%41%43%16%
co/efficient (R)[13] data-sort-value="2024-06-28" June 26–27, 2024810 (LV)± 3.4%40%41%20%
Emerson College[14] data-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 26–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%39%15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R)data-sort-value="2024-07-03" July 1–2, 2024477 (RV)± 4.5%43%43%8%3%3%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 26–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%36%8%1%1%13%

Results

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . February 7, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: Kennedy Collects Signatures Needed to Gain Ballot Access in New Jersey . Kennedy 2024 . 16 May 2024.
  3. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  4. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  5. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  9. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . July 19, 2024 . en.
  10. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  12. Web site: GOP super PAC poll in N.J. shows Biden vs. Trump, Kim vs. Bashaw statistically tied. David. Wildstein. July 3, 2024. New Jersey Globe.
  13. Web site: co/efficient (R).
  14. Web site: New Jersey 2024 Poll: Majority of Democrats Support Kim for U.S. Senate Nomination. Camille. Mumford. April 2, 2024. Emerson Polling.