2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi
Country:Mississippi
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Mississippi
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Mississippi voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Though Mississippi has voted to the left of its bordering states in recent presidential elections, owing mainly to its large African-American minority, the state is located in the Deep South and therefore the Bible Belt. It is one of the most socially conservative states in the nation, and has not been won by a Democrat at this level since fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter narrowly did in 1976 nor has it been competitive since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas fell five points short of carrying the state in 1996. Thus, Mississippi is predicted to go safely for the Republican candidate in 2024.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2] [3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[5] Independent Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has received the nomination of the Reform Party of the United States of America, which has ballot access in the state.[6]

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Mississippi Republican presidential primary. The Mississippi Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Missouri, and Washington. 40 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[7]

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary. The 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside the Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Mississippi, and Washington primaries, and Northern Mariana Islands caucuses. 40 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[8]

In Mississippi, candidates have to pay a filing fee of $2,500 and gather at least 500 signatures to make the primary ballot.[9] Incumbent President Joe Biden won the primary, being the only candidate that met these requirements.[10]

Winner

Results

Libertarian caucuses

See main article: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries. The Mississippi Libertarian caucuses were held on February 27, 2024. Author and former New York University professor, Michael Rectenwald from Pennsylvania won the non-binding preferential vote with 41.2% of the vote.

Election Name:2024 Mississippi Libertarian presidential caucuses
Country:Mississippi
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2020 Mississippi Libertarian presidential caucuses
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Iowa#Libertarian caucuses
Next Year:2028
Election Date:February 24, 2024
Outgoing Members:IA
Elected Members:MN
Candidate1:Michael Rectenwald
Color1:C72532
Home State1:Pennsylvania
Popular Vote1:7
Percentage1:41.2%
Candidate2:Lars Mapstead
Color2:533BA4
Home State2:California
Popular Vote2:5
Percentage2:29.4%
Candidate3:Jacob Hornberger
Colour3:DAA520
Home State3:Virginia
Popular Vote3:2
Percentage3:11.8%
Candidate4:Chase Oliver
Color4:218DDA
Home State4:Georgia
Popular Vote4:2
Percentage4:11.8%
Candidate5:None of the above
Color5:000000
Home State5:N/A
Popular Vote5:1
Percentage5:5.9%
Map Size:200px

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[11] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[12] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[15] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[16] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[17] June 12, 2024
538[18] June 11, 2024
RCP[19] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. News: Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision. Kinery . Emma. April 25, 2023. CNBC.
  3. News: Levine . Sam . Gambino . Lauren . 2024-07-22 . Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit . 2024-07-22 . The Guardian . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  4. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . The Washington Post . July 22, 2024.
  5. News: Gold . Michael . Nehamas . Nicholas . March 13, 2024 . Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations . July 22, 2024 . The New York Times . 0362-4331 . March 13, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240313034919/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html . live.
  6. Web site: Hensley . Nicholas . 2024-05-24 . The Reform Party Nominates Robert Kennedy Jr. For President of the United States . 2024-05-24 . Reform Party National Committee . en-US.
  7. Web site: March 5, 2023 . Mississippi Republican Presidential Nominating Process . February 6, 2023 . thegreenpapers.com.
  8. Web site: Mississippi Democratic Delegation 2024 . 2023-10-11 . www.thegreenpapers.com.
  9. Web site: Ballot access for presidential candidates . 2024-01-20 . Ballotpedia . en.
  10. Web site: January 15, 2024 . 2024 Candidate Qualifying List 1.15.2024 . January 17, 2024 . Mississippi Secretary of State.
  11. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  14. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  15. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  16. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  17. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  18. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  19. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  20. Web site: New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech. Krista. Chavez. September 13, 2022. NetChoice.