2024 United States presidential election in Michigan explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Michigan
Country:Michigan
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Michigan
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Michigan
Next Year:2028
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance
Image3:Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee3:Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Party3:Natural Law Party (United States)
Home State3:California
Running Mate3:Nicole Shanahan
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.[2]

An Upper Midwestern state at the heart of the Rust Belt, no Republican presidential candidate has won Michigan with a majority since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and the last Republican to win by double digits was Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide four years earlier. The state was formerly part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, but only doing so by a double-digit margin in 1996 and 2008. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by a very narrow 0.23% in an unexpected sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory, only to have the state flipped back into the Democratic column by Joe Biden four years later with a 2.78% margin of victory as the former lost the presidency to the latter. However, it was the worst margin for a victorious Democrat dating back to the 2.01% margin of victory for John F. Kennedy in the state in the extremely close 1960 election.

Michigan is purple to slightly blue, with Democrats holding all statewide offices since 2019. Due to the state's nearly even partisan lean and the close margin by which it was decided in 2016 and 2020, this race is considered to be a tossup, although recent polls conducted in the state have shown to be narrowly favoring Kamala Harris.

On April 18, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party.[3] Jill Stein from the Green party has ballot access.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary. Incumbent United States President Joe Biden won the Democratic primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[4]

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary. Former United States President Donald Trump won the Republican primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[4]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[5] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[6] March 14, 2024
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] July 3, 2024
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[9] August 18, 2024
align=left CNN[10] August 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[11] August 15 2024
538[12] July 18, 2024
RCP[13] August 15, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPoliticsJuly 10 – August 17, 2024August 21, 202448.6%46.6%4.8%Harris +2.0
270ToWinAugust 10–17, 2024August 21, 202447.8%46.0%6.2%Harris +1.8
Average48.2%46.3%5.5%Harris +1.9
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (R)[14] data-sort-value="2024-08-17" August 13–17, 20241,093 (LV)–48%47%5%
Focaldata[15] data-sort-value="2024-08-16" August 6–16, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%53%47%–
The Bullfinch Groupdata-sort-value="2024-08-11" August 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%48%43%9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)data-sort-value="2024-08-11" August 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%48%4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)data-sort-value="2024-08-08" August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–49%47%4%
New York Times/Siena College[16] August 5–8, 2024619 (RV)± 4.8%45%48%7%
619 (LV)± 4.8%50%46%5%
Navigator Research (D)[17] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[18] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 26 – August 8, 2024406 (LV)–49%46%6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[19] data-sort-value="2024-07-29" July 23–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%45%45%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[20] data-sort-value="2024-07-28" July 24–28, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%53%42%4%
SoCal Research[21] data-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 25–26, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%46%49%5%
Fox News[22] data-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 20241,012 (RV)± 3.0%49%49%2%
Emerson College[23] July 22–23, 2024800 (RV)± 3.4%45%46%9%
800 (RV)± 3.4%49%51%–
July 21, 2024Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Public Policy Polling (D)[24] data-sort-value="2024-07-22" July 11–12, 2024568 (RV)–46%48%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] data-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%44%47%9%
New York Times/Siena College[26] October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%45%47%8%
616 (LV)± 4.4%48%46%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Donald
Trump
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Chase
Oliver
Other /
Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (R)[27] data-sort-value="2024-08-17" August 13–17, 20241,093 (LV)–47%44%4%1%1%–3%
Focaldata[28] August 6–16, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%51%44%4%–1%0%–
702 (RV)± 3.7%50%44%4%–1%0%1%
702 (A)± 3.7%50%42%5%–1%0%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[29] data-sort-value="2024-08-15" August 12–15, 2024530 (LV)–44%45%5%–1%0%5%
The Bullfinch Groupdata-sort-value="2024-08-11" August 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%46%40%7%1%1%–5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)data-sort-value="2024-08-11" August 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%45%6%1%1%0%4%
New York Times/Siena College[30] August 5–8, 2024619 (RV)± 4.8%44%43%5%0%1%0%6%
619 (LV)± 4.8%48%43%4%0%1%0%3%
Navigator Research (D)[31] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%44%5%1%0%0%6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[32] data-sort-value="2024-08-08" July 26 – August 8, 2024406 (LV)–46%44%6%1%0%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[33] data-sort-value="2024-08-03" July 31 – August 3, 2024771 (LV)–41%42%5%–1%0%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-07-28" July 24–28, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%51%39%5%–1%2%2%
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 20241,012 (RV)± 3.0%43%45%7%1%1%0%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[34] data-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 2024512 (LV)–41%44%7%–0%0%8%
Glengariff Group[35] data-sort-value="2024-07-25" July 22–24, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%42%41%10%–1%1%5%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-07-25" July 22–23, 2024800 (RV)± 3.4%44%44%5%1%1%0%5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 17–18, 2024650 (RV)± 3.9%46%49%5%
EPIC-MRA[38] data-sort-value="2024-07-21" July 13–17, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%49%9%
Emerson College[39] data-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%45%13%
Marketing Resource Group[40] data-sort-value="2024-07-14" July 11–13, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%39%25%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-22" July 11–12, 2024568 (RV)–46%47%7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[41] data-sort-value="2024-07-19" July 5–12, 20241,025 (LV)± 3.0%46%46%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[42] data-sort-value="2024-07-06" July 1–5, 2024694 (RV)± 4.0%48%43%9%
Emerson College[43] data-sort-value="2024-07-08" June 30 – July 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%45%12%
Remington Research Group (R)[44] data-sort-value="2024-07-03" June 29 – July 1, 2024584 (LV)± 4.0%42%45%13%
EPIC-MRA[45] data-sort-value="2024-06-29" June 21–26, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%49%6%
Emerson College[46] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%46%9%
1,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%–
Mitchell Research[47] data-sort-value="2024-06-04" June 3, 2024697 (LV)± 3.7%48%48%4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[48] May 30–31, 2024723 (RV)± 3.6%45%45%10%
636 (LV)± 3.6%47%46%7%
Mitchell Research[49] data-sort-value="2024-05-27" May 20–21, 2024697 (LV)± 3.7%47%49%4%
KAConsulting (R)[50] data-sort-value="2024-07-08" May 15–19, 2024600 (RV)–44%45%11%
Prime Group[51] data-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 9–16, 2024482 (RV)–52%48%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[52] data-sort-value="2024-05-23" May 6–13, 2024606 (LV)± 4.0%45%47%8%
New York Times/Siena College[53] April 28 – May 9, 2024616 (RV)± 4.0%42%49%9%
616 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%
Emerson College[54] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%45%11%
1,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%52%–
CBS News/YouGov[55] data-sort-value="2024-04-18" April 19–25, 20241,262 (LV)± 3.1%51%49%–
Fox News[56] data-sort-value="2024-04-18" April 11–16, 20241,126 (RV)± 3.0%46%49%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[57] data-sort-value="2024-04-24" April 8–15, 2024708 (RV)± 4.0%47%45%8%
Marketing Resource Group[58] data-sort-value="2024-04-17" April 8–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%42%22%
The Bullfinch Group[59] data-sort-value="2024-04-06" March 29 – April 3, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%39%19%
Spry Strategies[60] data-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 25–28, 2024709 (LV)± 3.7%44%48%8%
Wall Street Journal[61] data-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%45%48%7%
Echelon Insights[62] data-sort-value="2024-04-15" March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.3%45%51%4%
Emerson College[63] March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%45%11%
1,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%50%–
CNN/SSRS[64] data-sort-value="2024-03-22" March 13–18, 20241,097 (RV)± 3.6%42%50%8%
Mitchell Research[65] data-sort-value="2024-03-22" March 15–16, 2024627 (LV)± 3.9%44%47%9%
Quinnipiac University[66] data-sort-value="2024-03-14" March 8–12, 20241,487 (RV)± 2.5%45%48%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[67] data-sort-value="2024-03-26" March 8–12, 2024698 (RV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
North Star Opinion Research[68] data-sort-value="2024-02-26" February 22–25, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%43%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[69] data-sort-value="2024-02-29" February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Emerson College[70] data-sort-value="2024-02-26" February 20–24, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%46%10%
EPIC-MRA[71] data-sort-value="2024-02-21" February 13–18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%41%45%14%
Fox News[72] data-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%45%47%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[73] data-sort-value="2024-01-31" January 16–21, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%42%47%7%
Target Insyght[74] data-sort-value="2024-01-13" January 4–10, 2024800 (RV)–45%41%14%
Glengariff Group[75] data-sort-value="2024-01-07" January 2–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%39%47%14%
John Zogby Strategies[76] data-sort-value="2024-01-07" January 2–4, 2024602 (LV)–44%47%9%
CNN/SSRS[77] data-sort-value="2023-11-09" November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%40%50%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[78] data-sort-value="2023-12-14" November 27 – December 6, 2023703 (RV)± 4.0%42%46%12%
EPIC-MRA[79] data-sort-value="2023-11-09" November 10–16, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%41%46%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[80] data-sort-value="2023-11-09" October 30 – November 7, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%43%43%14%
Emerson College[81] data-sort-value=2023-11-05 October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%41%16%
New York Times/Siena Collegedata-sort-value=2023-11-05 October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%43%48%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[82] data-sort-value="2023-10-19" October 5–10, 2023706 (RV)± 4.0%44%44%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[83] data-sort-value="2023-10-15" October 7–9, 2023820 (LV)–41%41%17%
Marketing Resource Group[84] data-sort-value="2023-10-11" October 2–8, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%35%42%22%
Emerson College[85] data-sort-value="2023-08-16" October 1–4, 2023468 (RV)± 4.5%44%43%8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[86] data-sort-value="2023-09-28" September 26–27, 2023679 (RV)± 3.8%48%44%8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[87] data-sort-value="2023-09-15" September 7–12, 2023700 (RV)± 3.7%46%43%11%
EPIC-MRA[88] data-sort-value="2023-08-17" August 6–11, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Emerson College[89] data-sort-value="2023-08-04" August 1–2, 20231,121 (LV)± 2.9%44%44%13%
Mitchell Research[90] data-sort-value="2023-07-21" July 11–13, 2023639 (LV)± 4.0%45%43%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[91] Jul 8–10, 2023500 (RV)± 4.38%45%44%9%
Prime Group[92] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–50%50%–
500 (RV)–40%43%17%
EPIC-MRA[93] data-sort-value="2023-06-16" June 8–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%44%44%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[94] data-sort-value="2023-04-19" April 17–19, 2023500 (V)± 3.6%45%42%12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[95] data-sort-value="2022-12-07" December 6–7, 2022763 (V)± 3.6%50%43%7%
EPIC-MRA[96] data-sort-value="2022-12-06" November 30 – December 6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%43%10%
Emerson College[97] data-sort-value="2022-10-31" October 28–31, 2022900 (LV)± 3.2%44%47%9%
Emerson College[98] data-sort-value="2022-10-14" October 12–14, 2022580 (LV)± 4.0%44%44%12%
EPIC-MRA[99] data-sort-value="2022-09-19" September 15–19, 2022600 (LV)–48%44%8%
Blueprint Polling (D)[100] data-sort-value="2022-08-16" August 15–16, 2022611 (LV)± 4.0%41%41%19%
Blueprint Polling (D)[101] data-sort-value="2022-02-04" February 1–4, 2022632 (LV)± 3.9%38%40%22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[102] data-sort-value="2021-11-16" November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%41%53%6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Other /
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[103] data-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 15–17, 20241,091 (LV)± 2.9%43%45%4%1%1%6%
EPIC-MRAdata-sort-value="2024-07-21" July 13–17, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%36%43%8%2%2%9%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%43%7%1%1%8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)data-sort-value="2024-07-19" July 5–12, 20241,025 (LV)± 3.0%43%44%7%0%1%5%
YouGov[104] data-sort-value="2024-07-15" July 4–12, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.6%40%42%4%1%1%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-07-06" July 1–5, 2024694 (RV)± 4.0%45%39%6%2%1%7%
EPIC-MRAdata-sort-value="2024-06-29" June 21–26, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%38%42%10%2%2%6%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-06-20" June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%44%5%1%1%7%
Mitchell Researchdata-sort-value="2024-06-04" June 3, 2024697 (LV)± 3.7%45%46%3%1%1%4%
Mitchell Researchdata-sort-value="2024-05-27" May 20–21, 2024697 (LV)± 3.7%45%46%5%1%1%2%
KAConsulting (R)data-sort-value="2024-07-08" May 15–19, 2024600 (RV)–41%42%7%2%1%7%
Prime Groupdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 9–16, 2024482 (RV)–44%42%10%2%2%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%42%40%7%1%2%8%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)data-sort-value="2024-05-23" May 6–13, 2024606 (LV)± 4.0%40%43%7%2%2%6%
New York Times/Siena CollegeApril 28 – May 9, 2024616 (RV)± 4.0%36%38%9%0%1%16%
616 (LV)± 4.0%42%39%7%0%1%11%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-04-30" April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%43%5%1%1%8%
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-04-18" April 11–16, 20241,126 (RV)± 3.0%40%42%9%2%2%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-04-24" April 8–15, 2024708 (RV)± 4.0%43%40%7%1%1%8%
Marketing Resource Groupdata-sort-value="2024-04-17" April 8–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%34%37%13%2%1%13%
Wall Street Journaldata-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%37%39%12%2%2%8%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-02-26" March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%5%1%1%10%
Mitchell Researchdata-sort-value="2024-03-22" March 15–16, 2024627 (LV)± 3.9%42%44%6%1%1%6%
Quinnipiac Universitydata-sort-value="2024-03-14" March 8–12, 20241,487 (RV)± 2.5%36%41%10%3%4%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-03-26" March 8–12, 2024698 (RV)± 4.0%40%40%9%3%2%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-02-29" February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%40%41%9%1%1%8%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-02-26" February 20–24, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%39%42%6%1%1%11%
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%37%42%11%2%3%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[105] data-sort-value="2024-01-31" January 16–21, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%37%43%8%1%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[106] data-sort-value="2023-12-14" November 27 – December 6, 2023703 (RV)± 4.0%35%39%10%2%1%13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Other /
Undecided
Civiqsdata-sort-value="2024-07-19" July 13–16, 2024532 (RV)± 5.3%43%46%5%6%
1983 Labs[107] data-sort-value="2024-07-03" June 28–30, 2024563 (LV)± 4.1%41%45%5%9%
P2 Insights[108] data-sort-value="2024-06-26" June 11–20, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%40%43%8%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityMay 30–31, 2024723 (RV)± 3.6%41%39%11%9%
636 (LV)± 3.6%44%43%8%5%
Spry Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-04-02" March 25–28, 2024709 (LV)± 3.7%40%43%9%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109] data-sort-value="2024-03-25" March 14–17, 2024616 (LV)–39%41%6%14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] data-sort-value="2024-01-08" December 28–30, 2023832 (LV)–37%39%9%15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] data-sort-value="2023-12-05" November 27–29, 2023874 (LV)–38%39%9%13%
New York Times/Siena College[112] data-sort-value="2023-10-15" October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (LV)± 4.4%31%34%26%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2023-10-15" October 7–9, 2023820 (LV)–38%40%7%15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Jill
Stein
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-18" July 17–18, 2024650 (RV)± 3.9%44%45%5%3%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113] data-sort-value="2024-05-13" May 2–4, 2024650 (LV)–37%43%7%1%12%
CBS News/YouGovdata-sort-value="2024-03-22" April 19–25, 20241,262 (LV)± 3.1%45%43%9%3%0%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Cornel
West
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRSdata-sort-value="2024-03-22" March 13–18, 20241,097 (RV)± 3.6%34%40%18%4%4%
CNN/SSRSdata-sort-value="2023-12-11" November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%31%39%20%6%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[114] data-sort-value="2023-11-09" October 30 – November 7, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%38%37%10%2%13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-22" July 11–12, 2024568 (RV)–44%45%11%
Glengariff Groupdata-sort-value="2024-01-07" January 2–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%40%45%15%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 20241,012 (RV)± 3.0%52%46%2%
Glengariff Groupdata-sort-value="2024-07-25" July 22–24, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%40%17%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-22" July 11–12, 2024568 (RV)–52%45%3%
Emerson College/The Hill[115] Mar 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%45%5%
Glengariff Groupdata-sort-value="2024-01-07" January 2–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%45%6%
Marketing Resource GroupOctober 2–8, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%47%40%13%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Josh
Shapiro
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 20241,012 (RV)± 3.0%47%48%5%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-07-22" July 11–12, 2024568 (RV)–43%46%11%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Nikki
Haley
Other /
Undecided
Fox News[116] data-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 8–12, 20241,106 (RV)± 3.0%42%43%15%
Glengariff Groupdata-sort-value="2024-01-07" January 2–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%34%44%22%
CNN/SSRSdata-sort-value="2023-11-09" November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%38%50%12%
EPIC-MRAdata-sort-value="2023-11-09" November 10–16, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%36%47%17%
New York Times/Siena College[117] data-sort-value="2023-11-05" October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%36%46%18%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Ron
DeSantis
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS[118] data-sort-value="2023-12-11" November 29 – December 6, 20231,197 (RV)± 3.4%42%49%9%
New York Times/Siena Collegedata-sort-value="2023-11-05" October 22 – November 3, 2023616 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%13%
Susquehanna Polling & Researchdata-sort-value="2023-06-16" September 7–12, 2023700 (RV)± 3.7%48%42%10%
Mitchell ResearchJuly 11–13, 2023639 (LV)± 4.0%44%31%25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)July 8–10, 2023500 (RV)± 4.38%44%46%7%
EPIC-MRAdata-sort-value="2023-06-16" June 8–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%44%45%11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)data-sort-value="2023-04-19" April 17–19, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%43%45%12%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

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  48. Web site: Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University.
  49. Web site: Mitchell Research.
  50. Web site: KAConsulting (R).
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  62. Web site: Echelon Insights.
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