2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Country:Massachusetts
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Next Year:2028
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Massachusetts voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

A New England state, Massachusetts had been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is still considered a deeply blue state today. Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1996. In 2020, Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2] [3] [4] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[5] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[6]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary. The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary. The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.

Massachusetts Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentage
No Preference3,98236.45%
Chase Oliver1,45313.30%
Jacob Hornberger1,0899.97%
Michael Rectenwald5465.00%
Lars Mapstead3993.65%
Mike ter Maat3142.87%
All Others2,16119.78%
Blank ballots9808.97%
Total:10,924100.00%
Source:[7]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[8] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[9] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[12] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[13] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[14] June 12, 2024
538[15] June 11, 2024
RCP[16] June 26, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[17] data-sort-value=2024-07-19 July 16–18, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%47%29%24%
University of New Hampshire[18] data-sort-value="2024-05-23" May 16–20, 2024526 (LV)± 4.3%68%32%
University of Massachusetts Lowell[19] data-sort-value=2022-10-25 October 18–25, 20221,000 (LV)± 4.1%58%32%10%
Emerson College[20] data-sort-value=2022-09-08 September 7–8, 2022708 (LV)± 3.6%54%34%12%
University of Massachusetts Lowell[21] data-sort-value=2022-06-15 June 7–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 4.0%60%31%9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Other /
Undecided
YouGov/UMass Amherst[22] data-sort-value=2024-06-05 May 17–30, 2024700 (A)± 4.4%48%27%9%16%
Suffolk University[23] data-sort-value=2024-04-25 April 16–20, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%52%22%8%18%
Suffolk University[24] data-sort-value=2024-02-05 February 2–5, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%45%26%9%21%
YouGov[25] October 13–20, 2023700 (V)± 5.1%43%21%17%19%

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. News: Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision. Kinery . Emma. April 25, 2023. CNBC.
  3. Web site: Biden 'running for re-election' in 2024, White House says. June 25, 2022. Foxnews.com. en. Chasmar, Jessica. June 13, 2022.
  4. News: Levine . Sam . Gambino . Lauren . 2024-07-22 . Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit . 2024-07-22 . The Guardian . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  5. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . The Washington Post . July 22, 2024.
  6. News: Gold . Michael . Nehamas . Nicholas . March 13, 2024 . Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations . July 22, 2024 . The New York Times . 0362-4331 . March 13, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240313034919/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html . live.
  7. Web site: 2024 President Libertarian Primary. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. March 12, 2024.
  8. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  14. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  15. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  16. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  17. Web site: 'I think he cannot win.' New Globe/Suffolk poll shows strong unhappiness with Biden as the nominee. - The Boston Globe. BostonGlobe.com.
  18. Web site: University of New Hampshire.
  19. Web site: University of Massachusetts Lowell.
  20. Web site: Massachusetts 2022: Healey Leads Diehl By 18 Points; Majority of Massachusetts Voters Approve of Biden. Camille. Mumford. September 8, 2022. Emerson Polling.
  21. Web site: University of Massachusetts Lowell.
  22. https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Healey2024ElectionToplinesMay2024.pdf YouGov/UMass Amherst
  23. Web site: 404 - Suffolk University. www.suffolk.edu.
  24. Web site: Suffolk University.
  25. https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf YouGov