| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland |
| Country: | Maryland |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Turnout: | 72.75%[1] 1.88 pp |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Maryland |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Maryland |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | California |
| Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
| Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | Florida |
| Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
| Map Size: | 350px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Donald Trump |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Electoral Vote1: | 10 |
| Popular Vote1: | 1,900,010 |
| Percentage1: | 62.60% |
| Electoral Vote2: | 0 |
| Popular Vote2: | 1,034,990 |
| Percentage2: | 34.10% |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Due to the progressive and culturally Northeastern influence of the Baltimore-Washington metropolitan area—home to the majority of Maryland's population and most of Maryland's significant African American population—Democrats have consistently won Maryland's electoral votes by double-digit margins since 1992. While regions like Western Maryland and the Eastern Shore remain rural, conservative, culturally Southern, and predominantly white, their impact is outweighed by the state's urban centers. In 2020, Joe Biden from neighboring Delaware won Maryland by 33 points. Maryland was widely expected to remain a safe blue state in 2024.
Harris comfortably won the state by about 28.5%, but by a margin 4 points lower than Joe Biden. Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to surpass one million votes in Maryland since George W. Bush in 2004. Larry Hogan, who was concurrently running for the U.S. Senate, ran 17 points ahead of Trump.
See main article: 2024 Maryland Democratic presidential primary. The Maryland Democratic primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
See main article: 2024 Maryland Republican presidential primary. The Maryland Republican primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538 | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP | June 26, 2024 | ||
| NBC News | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | data-sort-value=2024-10-31 | October 22–31, 2024 | 490 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 64% | 31% | 5% | |
| ActiVote | data-sort-value=2024-10-30 | October 6–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 64% | 37% | – | |
| Braun Research | October 17–22, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 61% | 33% | 7% | ||
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 59% | 34% | 7% | ||||
| Emerson College | October 19–21, 2024 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 64% | 34% | 2% | ||
| 63% | 33% | 4% | ||||||
| Morning Consult | data-sort-value=2024-10-15 | October 10–15, 2024 | 490 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 64% | 31% | 4% | |
| ActiVote | data-sort-value=2024-10-14 | September 8 – October 14, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – | |
| Braun Research | September 19–23, 2024 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 64% | 32% | 5% | ||
| 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 62% | 32% | 6% | ||||
| Morning Consult | data-sort-value=2024-09-18 | September 9–18, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 61% | 33% | 6% | |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value=2024-09-17 | September 16–17, 2024 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 64% | 33% | 3% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-09-13 rowspan=2 | September 12–13, 2024 | 890 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 65% | 33% | 2% | |
| 63% | 32% | 5% | ||||||
| Morning Consult | data-sort-value=2024-09-08 | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 62% | 34% | 4% | |
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2024-08-30 | August 24–30, 2024 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 10% | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | data-sort-value=2024-08-20 | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 64% | 32% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Chase Oliver | Jill Stein | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chism Strategies | October 28–30, 2024 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.34% | 56% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10% | ||
| YouGov | October 23–27, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 61% | 34% | – | 0% | 2% | 5% | ||
| University of Maryland, Baltimore County | September 23–28, 2024 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 35% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Braun Research | September 19–23, 2024 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 63% | 31% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||
| 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 61% | 31% | – | 1% | 1% | 6% | ||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | data-sort-value=2024-08-20 | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 29% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value=2024-06-20 | June 19–20, 2024 | 635 (V) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 30% | 15% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-05-09 | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% | |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | data-sort-value=2024-05-07 | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (V) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-02-13 | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% | |
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2024-02-02 | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% | |
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-09-28 | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% | |
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-06-06 | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Cornel West | Jill Stein | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-05-09 | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-02-13 | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Nikki Haley | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2024-02-02 | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% | |
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-09-28 | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Ron DeSantis | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-09-28 | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% | |
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-06-06 | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Partisan clients