See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland |
| Country: | Maryland |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Maryland |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Maryland |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | California |
| Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
| Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | Florida |
| Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
| Map Size: | 180px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Mainly owing to the progressive and culturally Northeastern Baltimore and Washington metropolitan areas (where the vast majority of Marylanders live) and despite areas like Western Maryland and the Eastern Shore being rural, conservative, and still culturally Southern, Democrats have consistently won Maryland's electoral votes by double digits since 1992. Joe Biden from neighboring Delaware won Maryland by 33 points in 2020, with 52% of the White vote, becoming the first Democratic presidential candidate since LBJ in 1964 to have a majority showing with said electoral demographic.[2] Maryland is expected to be a safe blue state in 2024.[3]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[4] [5] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[6] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[7]
See main article: 2024 Maryland Democratic presidential primary. The Maryland Democratic primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
See main article: 2024 Maryland Republican presidential primary. The Maryland Republican primary was held on May 14, 2024,[8] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[9] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[10] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[13] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[14] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[15] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[16] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[17] | June 26, 2024 |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[18] | data-sort-value=2024-06-20 | June 19–20, 2024 | 635 (V) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 30% | 15% | ||
| Emerson College[19] | data-sort-value=2024-05-09 | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[20] | data-sort-value=2024-05-07 | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (V) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% | ||
| Emerson College[21] | data-sort-value=2024-02-13 | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% | ||
| Gonzales Research[22] | data-sort-value=2024-02-02 | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% | ||
| Gonzales Research[23] | data-sort-value=2023-09-28 | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% | ||
| Gonzales Research[24] | data-sort-value=2023-06-06 | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Cornel West | Jill Stein | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-05-09 | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Emerson College | data-sort-value=2024-02-13 | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Nikki Haley | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2024-02-02 | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-09-28 | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Ron DeSantis | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-09-28 | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% | ||
| Gonzales Research | data-sort-value=2023-06-06 | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Partisan clients