2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Country:Louisiana
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

As a Deep Southern state located largely within the Bible Belt, Louisiana has a conservative voting pattern, with the only Democrats to carry the state's electoral votes after FDR being Adlai Stevenson II in his first bid, John F. Kennedy, fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in his first bid, and Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas.

A strongly red state today, Republicans have won the state in every presidential election since George W. Bush of neighboring Texas did in 2000, doing so by double-digit margins since Bush's 2004 re-election; and since 2008, presidential Democrats have consistently and exclusively carried these parishes: Orleans, home to Louisiana's largest city New Orleans; East Baton Rouge, home to the state capital; Caddo, home to Shreveport; and the rural, predominantly-Black parishes of East Carroll, Madison, Tensas, St. Helena, Iberville, St. James, and St. John the Baptist. Louisiana is expected to again go comfortably towards the Republican candidate in 2024.[2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Louisiana Republican presidential primary. The Louisiana Republican primary was scheduled to be held on March 23, 2024.

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary. The Louisiana Democratic primary will be held on March 23, 2024. Alongside primary with Missouri.

General election

Electoral slates

The voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for the President and Vice President. Louisiana is allocated eight electors because it has six congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of eight electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all eight electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. There are no laws on the books in Louisiana that prohibit or punish faithless electors.[3]

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state as of August 1, 2024:[4]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[5] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[6] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[9] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[10] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[11] June 12, 2024
538[12] June 11, 2024
RCP[13] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[14] data-sort-value=2024-05-10 April 22–26, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%52%38%10%
Echelon Insights[15] data-sort-value=2022-09-07 August 31 – September 7, 2022506 (LV)± 6.5%51%36%13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map . 2024-02-22 . 270toWin.com.
  3. Web site: August 1, 2024. Faithless Elector State Laws. August 1, 2024. FairVote.
  4. Web site: Candidate Inquiry . LA SOS Voter Portal . 1 August 2024.
  5. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  11. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  12. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  14. Web site: Faucheux Strategies.
  15. Web site: New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech. Krista. Chavez. September 13, 2022. NetChoice.