See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky |
| Country: | Kentucky |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Kentucky |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | California |
| Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
| Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | Florida |
| Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
| Map Size: | 180px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kentucky voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A Southern state completely in the Bible Belt, Republicans have won Kentucky by double digits since 2000. The state last voted Democratic for fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996. Kentucky is widely expected to continue its Republican streak in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[2] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[3] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.
Former Republican President Donald Trump is running for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020.[4]
See main article: 2024 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary. The Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.
See main article: 2024 Kentucky Republican presidential caucuses. The Kentucky Republican caucuses were held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[5] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[6] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[9] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[10] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[11] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[12] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[13] | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[14] | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[15] | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% | ||
| co/efficient (R)[16] | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Partisan clients