2024 United States presidential election in Kansas explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Kansas
Country:Kansas
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Kansas
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Kansas
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Kansas is a sparsely populated Great Plains state that has not voted Democratic since 1964. Although Democrats have seen some success in the state in recent years, such as defeating the 2022 Kansas abortion referendum and holding the governorship since 2019, Kansas voted for Donald Trump by double digits in 2016 and 2020 (although the margins have decreased somewhat from the overwhelming Republican margins previously). Nonetheless, it is considered by nearly all major news organizations to be safely Republican at the presidential level.

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: article and 2024 Kansas Republican presidential primary. The Kansas Republican Primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Kansas Democratic presidential primary. The Kansas Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Green primary

Election Date:January 22, 2024 – February 5, 2024
Type:primary
Election Name:2024 Kansas Green presidential primary
Country:Kansas
Previous Year:2020
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Kansas#Green primary
Next Year:2028
Votes For Election:4 Green National Convention delegates
Turnout:7
Image1:Jill Stein by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidate1:Jill Stein
Delegate Count1:4
Popular Vote1:7
Percentage1:100%
Colour1:18563e
Home State1:Massachusetts

The Kansas Green primary was held from January 22, 2024, to February 5, 2024. It was a held digitally under a ranked-choice voting system. Jill Stein won with 100% of the vote, being ranked first by all 7 voting party members. Stein automatically received Kansas' 4 delegates to the 2024 Green National Convention.[2]

Kansas Green primary, January 22, 2024 – February 5, 2024!Candidate!Votes!Percentage!Delegate count
Jill Stein7100%4
Total:7100%4
Source:

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[3] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[4] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] May 31, 2024
align=left CNalysis[7] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[8] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[9] June 12, 2024
538[10] June 11, 2024
RCP[11] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[12] data-sort-value=2023-10-04 October 1–4, 2023487 (RV)± 4.4%47%31%22%
Emerson College[13] data-sort-value=2022-10-29 October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%37%13%
Emerson College[14] data-sort-value=2022-09-18 September 15–18, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%52%36%12%
Echelon Insights[15] data-sort-value=2022-09-07 August 31 – September 7, 2022392 (LV)± 7.5%52%41%7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. 1755595595690184999 . KSGreenParty . The Kansas Green Party has concluded its presidential primary. Seven Kansas Green Party members cast their ranked-choice ballot and all ranked @DrJillStein first. Jill Stein will receive all four of our delegates at the Presidential Nominating Convention. #GreenParty.
  3. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  4. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  5. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . May 31, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  9. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  10. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  12. Web site: Kansas 2024 Poll: Trump Holds 16-point Lead Over Biden in Potential 2024 Rematch. Camille. Mumford. October 12, 2023. Emerson Polling.
  13. Web site: Kansas 2022: Governor Laura Kelly Holds Three-Point Lead Over AG Derek Schmidt in Gubernatorial Election; Senator Moran leads by 21 points for Re-election. Camille. Mumford. November 2, 2022. Emerson Polling.
  14. Web site: Kansas 2022: Democratic Governor Laura Kelly in Tight Race with A.G. Derek Schmidt in Gubernatorial Election. Camille. Mumford. September 21, 2022. Emerson Polling.
  15. Web site: New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech. Krista. Chavez. September 13, 2022. NetChoice.