2024 United States presidential election in Indiana explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Indiana
Country:Indiana
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Indiana
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Indiana
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Indiana has a reputation for being the most conservative state in the Great Lakes region, with the southern region of the state having cultural influence from the Upper South and Bible Belt. The last Democrat to carry the state at the presidential level was Barack Obama of neighboring Illinois, who narrowly won the state in 2008. In addition, Indiana was decided by single digits in the elections of 1976, 1992, and 1996, all three of which consisted of the state being won by a Republican as a former Southern governor won under the Democratic banner.

Republican Donald Trump won Indiana comfortably in the past two presidential election cycles, with popular former Governor of Indiana Mike Pence on the ticket, by 19% in 2016 and by 16% in 2020. As a strongly red state, Trump — now running with JD Vance of neighboring Ohio — is expected to win the state a third time in 2024.[2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary. The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary was held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and 9 superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[3]

In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot.[4] Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements.[5] Uncommitted will not appear on the ballot and write-in votes are not allowed.[6]

With no opposition, President Biden won 100% of the primary vote.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Indiana Republican presidential primary. The Indiana Republican primary was held on May 7, 2024. Nikki Haley, who had already dropped out, and Donald Trump appeared on the ballot.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[7] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[8] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[11] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[12] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[13] June 12, 2024
538[14] June 11, 2024
RCP[15] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[16] data-sort-value="2024-03-07" March 2–5, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%55%34%11%
Emerson College[17] October 1–4, 2023462 (RV)± 4.5%48%29%24%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . February 7, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map . 2024-02-15 . 270toWin.com.
  3. Web site: Indiana Democratic Delegation 2024 . 2024-03-01 . www.thegreenpapers.com.
  4. Web site: Ballot access for presidential candidates . 2024-01-20 . Ballotpedia . en.
  5. Web site: Candidate List - Abbreviated . March 1, 2024 . Indiana Secretary of State.
  6. Web site: January 9, 2024 . Indiana 2024 Delegate Selection Plan with DNC Edits . March 1, 2024 . Indiana Democratic Party . No provision is provided under Indiana state law for primary voters to express an uncommitted preference on the ballot. Write-in presidential candidates are permitted..
  7. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  13. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  14. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  15. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  16. Web site: Indiana 2024 Poll: Sen. Braun Leads GOP Primary for Governor at 34%, 43% undecided. Camille. Mumford. March 7, 2024. Emerson Polling.
  17. Web site: Indiana 2024: Plurality of Voters Undecided in U.S. Senate Election to Replace Sen. Braun. Camille. Mumford. October 13, 2023. Emerson Polling.