2024 United States presidential election in Illinois explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Illinois
Country:Illinois
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Illinois
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Illinois
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Illinois voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College this election, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]

Illinois is a strongly blue state in the Great Lakes region anchored by Chicago, with the sparsely populated southern region of the state being culturally influenced by the Upper South and Bible Belt. The state has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election beginning in 1992 (doing so by at least 10% each time), including voting for Senator Barack Obama from Illinois in 2008 and 2012 and Chicago-born Hillary Clinton in 2016. This will also be the first election since 1868 in which Illinois will not have 20 or more electoral votes.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Illinois Democratic presidential primary. The Illinois Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Kansas, and Ohio.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Illinois Republican presidential primary. The Illinois Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Ohio.

General election

The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled to happen in Chicago between August 19 and August 22nd.[2] This year will mark the first time the Democratic Party hosted it in Chicago since 1996.[3] Chicago is commonly selected for presidential nominating conventions due to its location and has hosted presidential nominating conventions for the Democrats 11 times up until the 2024 convention and 14 times by the Republicans.[4]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[5] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[6] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] June 13, 2024
align=left CNalysis[9] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[10] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[11] July 19, 2024
538[12] June 11, 2024
RCP[13] June 26, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[14] data-sort-value=2022-10-24 October 1–4, 2023468 (RV)± 4.5%43%34%23%
Cor StrategiesAugust 24–27, 2023811 (RV)55%35%10%
Emerson College[15] data-sort-value=2022-10-24 October 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%37%14%
Public Policy Polling[16] data-sort-value=2022-10-11 October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%
Emerson College[17] data-sort-value=2022-09-23 September 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%38%11%

J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. News: Homan . Maya . August 12, 2024 . The 2024 Democratic National Convention kicks off next week. Here's what to expect. . August 12, 2024 . USA TODAY . Digital.
  3. News: Elving . Ron . August 12, 2024 . Chicago ’68 recalls a Democratic convention and a political moment like no other . August 12, 2024 . NPR . Digital.
  4. Web site: Political Conventions in Chicago . August 12, 2024 . Chicago History Museum.
  5. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . June 14, 2024.
  9. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  11. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . July 19, 2024 . en.
  12. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  14. Web site: Illinois 2024 Poll: Biden Holds Nine-Point Lead Over Trump. Camille. Mumford. October 15, 2023. Emerson Polling.
  15. Web site: Emerson College.
  16. Web site: Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll: Illinois voters don't want Pritzker or Biden to run for president – but they'd take either over Trump. October 17, 2022. Chicago Sun-Times.
  17. Web site: Illinois 2022: Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth in Strong Position in Re-election Bids. Camille. Mumford. September 28, 2022. Emerson Polling.