2024 United States presidential election in Idaho explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Idaho
Country:Idaho
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Idaho
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Idaho
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Idaho is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Idaho voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Idaho has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Idaho is a sparsely-populated Mountain state with an overwhelmingly-White population and an evangelical plurality, and thus a conservative stronghold. Since statehood, the only non-Republicans to win Idaho's electoral votes have been Populist James B. Weaver and Democrats William Jennings Bryan, Woodrow Wilson, FDR, Harry Truman, and landslide victor Lyndon B. Johnson. Idaho is a deeply red state, with no presidential Democratic candidate after LBJ's narrow 1964 win coming within 13 percentage points of winning the state. Republicans have occupied all statewide offices since 2007. Thus, Idaho is expected to be easily won by the Republicans in 2024.

Incumbent president Joe Biden has declared he is no longer running for a second term, and thus suspended his candidacy before the 2024 Democratic National Convention officially nominates a candidate.[2] He has endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris for his replacement.[3]

Primary elections

The Idaho Legislature passed HB 138 during the 2023 legislative session, resulting in the elimination of the state-ran primary for all parties. The legislature did not restore the state-ran primary by the October 1 deadline, and both the major parties in the state opted to operate and fund firehouse nominations for president.[4]

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Idaho Republican presidential primary. The Idaho Republican primary was held on March 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington.

Democratic caucuses

See main article: 2024 Idaho Democratic presidential caucuses.

The Idaho Democratic presidential caucuses were held on May 23, 2024.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[5] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[6] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[9] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[10] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[11] June 12, 2024
538[12] June 11, 2024
RCP[13] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . February 7, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 2024-07-21 . President Joe Biden drops out of 2024 presidential race . 2024-07-21 . NBC News . en.
  3. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . The Washington Post . July 22, 2024.
  4. Web site: Corbin . Clark . 2023-10-16 . Idaho will have a presidential caucus in 2024 — not a primary. Here's how they differ. • Idaho Capital Sun . 2024-07-15 . Idaho Capital Sun . en-US.
  5. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  6. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  7. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  11. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  12. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  14. Web site: Idaho 2024 Poll: Housing Affordability is a 'Big Problem' in the Gem State. Camille. Mumford. October 11, 2023. Emerson Polling.