2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii
Country:Hawaii
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Hawaii
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance

The 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Hawaii voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2] [3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[5] Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in late February.[6]

Hawaii is a Pacific island state with its own unique culture separated from the mainland, and is majority Asian American. It is a deeply blue state and expected to be easily won by the Democratic Party ticket. A reliably blue state, Hawaii has only voted Republican in two presidential elections since gaining statehood.

Primary elections

Democratic caucuses

See main article: 2024 Hawaii Democratic presidential caucuses. The Hawaii Democratic caucuses were held on March 6, 2024.

Republican caucuses

See main article: 2024 Hawaii Republican presidential caucuses. The Hawaii Republican caucuses was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington.

General election

The Democratic Party of Hawaii attempted to disqualify the "ballot access petition" for Kennedy's newly created party, the We the People Party, on the November ballot, though the state Democratic Party was unsuccessful.[7]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[8] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[9] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[12] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[13] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[14] June 12, 2024
538[15] June 11, 2024
RCP[16] June 26, 2024

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . February 7, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. News: Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision. Kinery . Emma. April 25, 2023. CNBC.
  3. News: Levine . Sam . Gambino . Lauren . 2024-07-22 . Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit . 2024-07-22 . The Guardian . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  4. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . The Washington Post . July 22, 2024.
  5. News: Gold . Michael . Nehamas . Nicholas . March 13, 2024 . Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations . July 22, 2024 . The New York Times . 0362-4331 . March 13, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240313034919/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html . live.
  6. Web site: Pellish . Aaron . 2024-02-27 . Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia CNN Politics . 2024-02-27 . CNN . en.
  7. Web site: RFK Jr. will appear on Hawaii ballot, third state to include him. CNN. April 20, 2024 . May 15, 2024. Pellish . Aaron.
  8. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  14. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  15. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  16. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.