2024 United States presidential election in Florida explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Florida
Country:Florida
Type:Presidential
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Florida
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Florida
Next Year:2028
Turnout:76.84% (0.33 pp)
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:6,110,125
Percentage1:56.09%
Popular Vote2:4,683,038
Percentage2:42.99%
Electoral Vote2:0
Electoral Vote1:30

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

A heavily populated South Atlantic state, Florida had formerly been considered a crucial swing state and a bellwether in previous election cycles, but has shifted significantly to the political right and is now considered a safe red state with Trump's double digit margin of victory solidifying it as such. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban and Puerto Rican populations in the Miami metropolitan area.

In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.

On election day, Trump defeated Harris in his home state by 13.1 points, flipping six counties and winning by the biggest margin since 1988.[1] Trump also received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in the state, breaking his own record from 2020, and marking the first time since 1984 that a Republican netted over a million votes from the state. Trump's overall total of 6.1 million votes was the second-highest total number of votes he received in any state in the country in 2024, only behind his 6.4 million in Texas.

On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state. That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination. On August 23, 2024, Kennedy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump. This is the first time since 1988 that the state was won with a double digit margin, that it voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections, and that Miami-Dade County voted Republican.[2] Trump became the first Republican nominee to win Hillsborough County and Osceola County since 2004.[3] He also flipped back Duval County, Pinellas County, and Seminole County after carrying them in 2016.[4] Following the 2022 midterms, the election has cemented Florida's transition from a swing state to a reliable red state.

Florida had the third largest swing to the right in this election (after New York and New Jersey), with Trump improving his performance from 2020 by 9.7%. It was also the largest swing to the right in a state he won.

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Florida Republican presidential primary. The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Democratic primary

On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which means that the primary would be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns. Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move. On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips, Williamson, and Uygur's name to the ballot. The voter lost in district court.

Winner (Assumptive)

Hypothetical polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Joe
Biden		Hillary
Clinton		Kamala
Harris		Gavin
Newsom		Undecided
Suffolk UniversitySep 15–18, 2022163 (LV)–50%––33%17%
Suffolk UniversityJan 26–29, 2022164 (LV)–43%46%––11%
Victory InsightsSep 16–18, 2021200 (LV)–60%–17%–23%

General election

Trump assassination attempt

See main article: Attempted assassination of Donald Trump in Florida.

On September 15, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while golfing at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. 58-year-old Ryan Wesley Routh was spotted hiding in nearby shrubbery while aiming a rifle at a member of Trump's security detail. A Secret Service agent fired upon Routh, who fled the scene and was later captured in Martin County. The incident occurred two months after Trump survived a previous assassination attempt while speaking at a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.

Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Florida:

In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his name from the ballot after he suspended his campaign.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportAugust 27, 2024
align=left Inside ElectionsAugust 29, 2024
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallAugust 20, 2024
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The HillOctober 21, 2024
align=left CNalysisNovember 4, 2024
align=left CNNSeptember 1, 2024
align=left The EconomistJune 12, 2024
538October 8, 2024
NBC NewsOctober 6, 2024
YouGovOctober 16, 2024
Split TicketNovember 1, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Margin
270ToWinOctober 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202444.6%51.1%4.3%Trump +6.5%
538through November 4, 2024November 4, 202444.6%51.2%4.2%Trump +6.6%
Silver Bulletinthrough November 3, 2024November 3, 202444.8%51.3%3.9%Trump +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQthrough November 3, 2024November 3, 202444.9%51.6%3.2%Trump +6.7%
Average44.7%51.3%4.0%Trump +6.6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.data-sort-value="2024-11-03" November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%51%44%5%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value="2024-11-02" November 1–2, 2024400 (LV)–51%47%2%
Stetson Universitydata-sort-value="2024-10-27" October 25 – November 1, 2024452 (LV)± 5.0% 53%46%1%
Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-11-01" October 23 − November 1, 20242,022 (LV)± 2.0%51%46%3%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityOctober 19–27, 2024913 (RV)± 3.2%53%44%3%
897 (LV)53%44%3%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-10-27" October 11–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9% 56%44%–
St. Pete Pollsdata-sort-value="2024-10-25" October 23–25, 20241,227 (LV)± 2.8%50%45%5%
CES/YouGovOctober 1–25, 20245,952 (A)–51%47%2%
5,916 (LV)52%46%2%
Hunt Researchdata-sort-value="2024-10-20" October 16–22, 20241,234 (LV)± 2.8% 50%45%5%
Emerson CollegeOctober 18–20, 2024860 (LV)± 3.3%52%44%4%
54%46%–
Cherry Communications (R)data-sort-value="2024-10-20" October 10–20, 2024614 (LV)± 4.0% 51%45%4%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-10-20" October 7–20, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9% 55%45%–
University of North Floridadata-sort-value="2024-10-18" October 7–18, 2024977 (LV)± 3.5%53%43%4%
RMG ResearchOctober 14–17, 2024788 (LV)± 3.5%52%45%3%
52%47%1%
Rose Institute/YouGovOctober 7–17, 20241,094 (RV)± 3.5%50%45%7%
1,094 (RV)51%46%3%
1,076 (LV)51%46%3%
The Terrance Group (R)data-sort-value="2024-10-08" October 5–8, 2024818 (RV)± 3.5% 51%44%5%
Marist CollegeOctober 3–7, 20241,410 (RV)± 3.3%51%47%2%
1,257 (LV)± 3.6%51%47%2%
New York Times/Siena Collegedata-sort-value="2024-10-06" September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 5.0% 55%41%4%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-09-25" September 17 – October 6, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9% 53%47%–
Mason-Dixondata-sort-value="2024-10-06" October 1–4, 2024625 (RV)± 4.0% 49%43%8%
RMG ResearchSeptember 25–27, 2024774 (LV)± 3.5%50%47%3%
50%48%2%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-09-25" September 25–26, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5% 50%46%4%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value="2024-09-25" September 22–25, 2024600 (LV)± 4.4%47%45%8%
The Bullfinch Groupdata-sort-value="2024-09-23" September 20–23, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%48%47%5%
Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-09-18" September 9−18, 20242,948 (LV)± 2.0%50%47%3%
Morning Consultdata-sort-value="2024-09-08" August 30 – September 8, 20243,182 (LV)± 2.0%49%47%4%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 3–5, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%50%45%5%
51%48%1%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-08-26" August 16–31, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9% 53%47%–
Cherry Communications (R)data-sort-value="2024-08-26" August 15–26, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0% 52%45%3%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-08-22" August 21–22, 2024837 (RV)± 3.4% 51%47%2%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-08-15" August 5–15, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityAugust 10–11, 20241,055 (RV)± 3.0%49%46%5%
1,040 (LV)50%47%3%
University of North Floridadata-sort-value="2024-07-27" July 24–27, 2024774 (LV)± 4.6%49%42%9%
July 21, 2024Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)data-sort-value="2024-07-17" July 15–16, 2024800 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Suffolk University/USA Todaydata-sort-value=2022-09-18 September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–46%44%10%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value=2021-09-18 September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Chase
Oliver
Other /
Undecided
FocaldataOctober 3 – November 1, 20241,250 (LV)–52%45%–0%0%3%
1,099 (RV)± 2.8%50%46%–1%0%3%
1,250 (A)–49%47%–1%0%3%
Cygnal (R)data-sort-value="2024-10-28" October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%43%–1%1%7%
Hunt Researchdata-sort-value="2024-10-20" October 16–22, 20241,234 (LV)± 2.8% 50%44%–0%0%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-10-18" October 16–18, 20241,275 (LV)–49%45%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-10-14" October 12–14, 20241,009 (LV)–50%44%–1%0%5%
New York Times/Siena Collegedata-sort-value="2024-10-06" September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 5.0% 53%40%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-10-02" September 27 – October 2, 20242,946 (LV)–49%45%–1%1%4%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-09-25" September 25–26, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5% 49%45%0%1%–5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-09-19" September 16–19, 20241,602 (LV)–50%45%–0%1%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-09-06" September 6–9, 20241,465 (LV)–50%44%–0%0%6%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Chase
Oliver
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena Collegedata-sort-value="2024-10-06" September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 5.0% 53%40%0%0%0%1%6%
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-08-27" August 21–22, 2024837 (RV)± 3.4% 48%45%2%1%1%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-08-15" August 12–15, 20241,296 (LV)–48%43%3%–0%1%5%
Suffolk University/USA Todaydata-sort-value="2024-08-14" August 7–11, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%47%42%5%0%0%1%5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-08-03" July 31 – August 3, 2024976 (LV)–47%41%5%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-07-26" July 22–24, 2024572 (LV)–47%39%5%–0%1%8%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityAugust 10–11, 20241,055 (RV)± 3.0%47%44%5%4%
1,040 (LV)47%45%5%3%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)data-sort-value="2024-08-08" August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–52%44%3%1%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
InsiderAdvantage (R)data-sort-value="2024-07-17" July 15–16, 2024800 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityJune 8–9, 2024883 (RV)± 3.3%46%42%13%
771 (LV)49%43%8%
The Tyson Group (R)data-sort-value="2024-06-11" June 6–9, 20241,050 (LV)± 3.0%46%36%18%
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-06-06" June 1–4, 20241,075 (RV)± 3.0%50%46%4%
CBS News/YouGovdata-sort-value="2024-05-19" May 10–16, 20241,209 (RV)± 3.9%54%45%1%
Prime Groupdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 9–16, 2024486 (RV)–53%47%–
Cherry Communications (R)data-sort-value=2024-05-10 April 28 – May 7, 2024609 (RV)± 4.0%51%42%7%
John Zogby Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-05-01" April 13–21, 2024749 (LV)–51%42%7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityApril 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%50%42%8%
815 (LV)51%43%6%
Emerson CollegeApril 9–10, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%11%
56%44%–
St. Pete Pollsdata-sort-value=2024-03-15 March 11–13, 20241,963 (LV)± 2.2%48%42%10%
Cygnal (R)data-sort-value=2023-11-20 November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%48%43%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic Universitydata-sort-value=2023-06-27 October 27 – November 11, 2023946 (RV)± 3.2%49%39%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value=2023-06-27 October 7–9, 20231,100 (RV)–44%39%17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic Universitydata-sort-value=2023-06-27 June 27 – July 1, 2023933 (RV)± 3.2%49%39%2%
Metropolitan Research Servicesdata-sort-value=2023-03-15 March 15–19, 20231,001 (RV)–47%43%10%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value=2023-03-15 March 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%44%44%12%
University of North Floridadata-sort-value=2023-03-07 February 25 – March 7, 20231,452 (RV)± 2.6%50%43%7%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value=2022-11-17 November 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%49%51%–
Rasmussen Reports (R)data-sort-value=2022-11-09 November 8–9, 20221,224 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Florida Atlantic Universitydata-sort-value=2022-10-16 October 12–16, 2022719 (LV)± 3.7%45%41%14%
Suffolk Universitydata-sort-value=2022-09-18 September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–47%44%9%
Echelon Insightsdata-sort-value=2022-09-07 August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%49%41%10%
Suffolk Universitydata-sort-value=2022-01-29 January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%47%44%9%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value=2021-09-18 September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
St. Pete Pollsdata-sort-value=2021-08-17 August 16–17, 20212,068 (RV)± 2.2%47%48%5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)data-sort-value=2021-08-10 August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%42%50%8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Fox Newsdata-sort-value="2024-06-06" June 1–4, 20241,075 (RV)± 3.0%47%40%7%2%1%3%
Prime Groupdata-sort-value="2024-05-22" May 9–16, 2024486 (RV)–48%39%9%3%1%–
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-04-11" April 9–10, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%35%6%1%1%8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityJune 8–9, 2024883 (A)± 3.3%43%37%10%10%
771 (LV)45%40%8%6%
Cherry Communications (R)data-sort-value=2024-05-10 April 28 – May 7, 2024609 (RV)± 4.0%46%37%10%7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value=2024-05-13 May 2–4, 2024586 (LV)± 3.7%47%38%6%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityApril 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%48%38%7%7%
815 (LV)49%40%6%5%
USA Today/Ipsosdata-sort-value="2024-04-14" April 5–7, 20241,014 (A)± 4.1%39%31%7%23%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-03-25" March 14–17, 2024815 (LV)–46%39%7%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-01-08" December 28–30, 20231,147 (LV)–45%34%9%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2023-12-05" November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–44%34%9%13%
Cygnal (R)data-sort-value="2023-10-15" November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%44%37%11%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2023-10-15" October 7–9, 20231100 (LV)–44%37%8%11%

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)data-sort-value=2023-11-20 November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%46%43%11%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic Universitydata-sort-value=2023-06-27 October 27 – November 11, 2023946 (RV)± 3.2%47%39%15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic Universitydata-sort-value=2023-06-27 June 27 – July 1, 2023933 (RV)± 3.2%49%36%15%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value=2023-03-15 March 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%46%43%11%
University of North Floridadata-sort-value=2023-03-07 February 25 – March 7, 20231,452 (RV)± 2.6%51%42%8%
Cherry Communicationsdata-sort-value=2023-02-19 February 10–19, 2023608 (LV)± 4.0%49%38%13%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value=2022-11-17 November 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%53%47%–
Suffolk Universitydata-sort-value=2022-09-18 September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–52%44%4%
Echelon Insightsdata-sort-value=2022-09-07 August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%51%42%7%
Suffolk Universitydata-sort-value=2022-01-29 January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%44%4%
Victory Insightsdata-sort-value=2021-09-18 September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)data-sort-value=2021-09-12 September 11–12, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%–
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)data-sort-value=2021-08-10 August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%47%49%4%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Kamala
Harris
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk Universitydata-sort-value=2022-09-18 September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–52%40%8%
Victory InsightsSeptember 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%51%49%–

Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton

Results

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Kamala Harris
Democratic		Various candidates
Write-ins		MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Alachua52,93938.56%81,57859.42%2,7652.02%-28,639-20.86%137,282
Baker12,92686.11%1,98213.20%1030.69%10,94472.91%15,011
Bay71,49772.84%25,20125.67%1,4591.49%46,29647.17%98,157
Bradford10,92078.27%2,94621.12%860.61%7,97457.15%13,952
Brevard216,53359.65%141,23338.91%5,2491.44%75,30020.74%363,015
Broward358,95240.92%507,32857.83%10,9821.25%-148,376-16.91%877,262
Calhoun5,36783.29%1,02115.84%560.87%4,34667.45%6,444
Charlotte82,48066.45%40,45032.59%1,1880.96%42,03033.86%124,118
Citrus71,35672.41%26,27626.67%9080.92%45,08045.74%98,540
Clay87,71168.90%37,92629.79%1,6651.31%49,78539.11%127,302
Collier143,26765.89%71,72032.98%2,4471.13%71,54732.91%217,434
Columbia25,10874.53%8,25024.49%3320.98%16,85850.04%33,690
DeSoto8,88870.96%3,52528.14%1120.90%5,36342.82%12,525
Dixie6,92084.77%1,18314.49%600.74%5,73770.28%8,163
Duval236,28549.92%229,36548.46%7,6831.62%6,9201.46%473,333
Escambia96,40758.96%64,60139.51%2,4961.53%31,80619.45%163,504
Flagler51,01463.59%28,43135.44%7720.97%22,58328.15%80,217
Franklin4,83171.20%1,87027.56%841.24%2,96143.64%6,785
Gadsden7,49534.17%14,20364.76%2341.07%-6,708-30.59%21,932
Gilchrist8,93183.27%1,66215.50%1321.23%7,26967.77%10,725
Glades4,03476.11%1,22223.06%440.83%2,81253.05%5,300
Gulf6,68476.62%1,97022.58%700.80%4,71454.04%8,724
Hamilton3,96468.92%1,72730.02%611.06%2,23738.90%5,752
Hardee6,33677.65%1,75121.46%730.89%4,58556.19%8,160
Hendry9,25368.61%4,09630.37%1381.02%5,15738.24%13,487
Hernando75,44667.94%34,43131.00%1,1751.06%41,01536.94%111,052
Highlands36,38269.92%15,22729.27%4220.81%21,15540.65%52,031
Hillsborough342,01750.68%321,45547.63%11,4351.69%20,5623.05%674,907
Holmes8,19389.72%8829.66%570.62%7,31180.06%9,132
Indian River62,73763.06%35,65435.84%1,1021.10%27,08327.22%99,493
Jackson16,07472.56%5,89226.60%1860.84%10,18245.96%22,152
Jefferson5,01158.73%3,42940.19%921.08%1,58218.54%8,532
Lafayette3,29687.50%44111.71%300.79%2,85575.79%3,767
Lake140,50061.75%84,54637.16%2,4681.09%55,95424.59%227,514
Lee250,66163.60%139,24035.33%4,2041.07%111,42128.27%394,105
Leon60,39738.29%94,52059.93%2,8101.78%-34,123-21.64%157,727
Levy18,24574.62%5,99424.51%2120.87%12,25150.11%24,451
Liberty2,89882.89%56616.19%320.92%2,33266.70%3,496
Madison5,87464.01%3,23135.21%710.78%2,64328.80%9,176
Manatee140,48661.13%86,67437.72%2,6521.15%53,81223.41%229,812
Marion140,17365.27%72,43633.73%2,1341.00%67,73731.54%214,743
Martin64,12164.90%33,53933.95%1,1361.15%30,58230.95%98,796
Miami-Dade605,59055.19%480,35543.78%11,2641.03%125,23511.41%1,097,209
Monroe26,06458.57%17,93340.30%5051.13%8,13118.27%44,502
Nassau47,94572.72%17,14326.00%8461.28%30,80246.72%65,934
Okaloosa80,30970.31%32,07428.08%1,8421.61%48,23542.23%114,225
Okeechobee12,31576.51%3,67122.81%1100.68%8,64453.70%16,096
Orange258,27942.37%340,80755.91%10,5211.72%-82,528-13.54%609,607
Osceola86,71350.04%84,20548.59%2,3711.37%2,5081.45%173,289
Palm Beach366,83649.01%372,51249.77%9,1411.22%-5,676-0.76%748,489
Pasco197,77961.87%117,45036.74%4,4351.39%80,32925.13%319,664
Pinellas269,47251.89%242,45246.68%7,4161.43%27,0205.21%519,340
Polk209,04459.71%136,87939.10%4,1911.19%72,16520.61%350,114
Putnam26,70073.41%9,35425.72%3160.87%17,34647.69%36,370
St. Johns128,75964.87%66,86233.68%2,8751.45%61,89731.19%198,496
St. Lucie100,29354.00%83,51744.97%1,9221.03%16,7769.03%185,732
Santa Rosa84,31474.67%27,03523.94%1,5611.39%57,27950.73%112,910
Sarasota163,21958.48%112,66840.37%3,2141.15%50,55118.11%279,101
Seminole129,73550.90%120,71747.37%4,4081.73%9,0183.53%254,860
Sumter72,13468.30%32,55130.82%9230.88%39,58337.48%105,608
Suwannee17,56179.98%4,21719.21%1790.81%13,34460.77%21,957
Taylor7,95479.37%1,99119.87%770.76%5,96359.50%10,022
Union5,22483.64%97115.55%510.81%4,25368.09%6,246
Volusia187,69160.23%120,13238.55%3,8211.22%67,55921.68%311,644
Wakulla14,24671.51%5,44127.31%2361.18%8,80544.20%19,923
Walton38,97078.25%10,28720.66%5451.09%28,68357.59%49,802
Washington10,37082.14%2,14016.95%1150.91%8,23065.19%12,625
Totals6,110,12555.87%4,683,03842.82%142,3021.31%1,427,08713.05%10,935,465

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[5]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
68.10%30.88%Matt Gaetz
58.55%40.48%Neal Dunn
60.04%38.93%Kat Cammack
55.32%43.49%Aaron Bean
59.85%38.52%John Rutherford
64.52%34.50%Michael Waltz
55.62%43.11%Cory Mills
60.72%38.35%Bill Posey (118th Congress)
Mike Haridopolos (119th Congress)
47.65%51.17%Darren Soto
37.82%60.43%Maxwell Frost
57.58%41.34%Daniel Webster
66.77%32.24%Gus Bilirakis
55.22%43.41%Anna Paulina Luna
45.38%53.01%Kathy Castor
54.68%43.52%Laurel Lee
57.23%41.71%Vern Buchanan
61.60%37.68%Greg Steube
64.33%34.90%Scott Franklin
63.97%34.92%Byron Donalds
29.57%69.26%Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
57.69%41.19%Brian Mast
46.62%52.17%Lois Frankel
48.43%50.31%Jared Moskowitz
34.43%64.38%Frederica Wilson
46.69%51.98%Debbie Wasserman Schultz
66.99%32.11%Mario Díaz-Balart
56.73%42.12%María Elvira Salazar
62.22%36.86%Carlos A. Giménez

Analysis

Voter demographics

2024 presidential election in Florida voter demographics[6]
Demographic subgroupTrumpHarris% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals128719
Moderates465344
Conservatives91938
Party
Democrats29725
Republicans93639
Independents534536
Gender
Men623846
Women514854
Race/ethnicity
White633759
Black158312
Latino584224
Asiann/an/a2
All other races71283
Cuban/Puerto Rican descent
Cuban descent70306
Puerto Rican descent45537
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men683127
White women584132
Black men23765
Black women11887
Latino men633712
Latina women524612
All other races70295
Age
18–29 years old445614
30–44 years old564323
45–64 years old594035
65 and older584128
First time voter
Yes514911
No574289
2020 presidential vote
Biden79238
Trump97348
Another candidaten/an/a2
Did not vote534711
Education
No college degree584164
College graduate534636
Education by race
White college graduates564324
White no college degree673235
Non-white college graduates465312
Non-white no college degree475328
Area type
Urban504946
Suburban613846
Rural64358
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove94550
Somewhat disapprove524614
Somewhat approve59518
Strongly approve29716
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Angry792027
Dissatisfied594051
Satisfied178315
Enthusiasticn/an/a5
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead732734
Can bring needed change752328
Has good judgment188018
Cares about people like me307018
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate613876
Against their opponent356321
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy178230
Economy802038
Abortion208011
Immigration861416
Foreign policyn/an/a3
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened564440
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened574333
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure495017
Democracy in the U.S. very securen/an/a8
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident485138
Somewhat confident594043
Not very confident633513
Not at all confidentn/an/a4
Condition of the nation's economy
Poor861340
Not so good613731
Good89122
Excellentn/an/a6
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago841555
About the same267225
Better than four years ago138619
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases247427
Legal in most cases465337
Illegal in most cases94627
Illegal in all casesn/an/a5

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2024-11-06 . Florida President Election 2024 Live Results: Trump Wins . 2024-11-06 . www.nbcnews.com . en.
  2. Web site: Gans . Jared . 2024-11-06 . Trump set to win Miami-Dade, a past Democratic base . 2024-11-06 . The Hill . en-US.
  3. Web site: November 2, 2004 General Election . 2024-11-11 . results.elections.myflorida.com.
  4. Web site: Florida Department of State - Election Results . 2024-11-11 . results.elections.myflorida.com.
  5. https://x.com/MappingFL/status/1859058014591873498
  6. News: Exit poll results 2024. November 21, 2024. CNN. en.

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