| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut |
| Country: | Connecticut |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Connecticut |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Turnout: | 69.6%[1] |
| Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | California |
| Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
| Electoral Vote1: | 7 |
| Popular Vote1: | 994,494 |
| Percentage1: | 56.39% |
| Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | Florida |
| Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
| Electoral Vote2: | 0 |
| Popular Vote2: | 739,472 |
| Percentage2: | 41.93% |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Donald Trump |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
A New England state, Connecticut last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in George H. W. Bush's landslide victory in the 1988 election. It is a strongly blue state, voting for Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 20%.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21. He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.
Harris comfortably won the state by 14.5 points, performing worse than Biden in 2020, but performing slightly better than Clinton in 2016. In contrast, Trump secured 41.9% of the vote to record the best Republican performance in Connecticut since 2004.[2] He flipped 14 municipalities across the state, including Bristol, Connecticut's twelfth-most populous city.[3] Conversely, Harris flipped the small town of Warren.[4] [5] This was the first election since 1936 that Connecticut voted to the left of neighboring Rhode Island.
See main article: 2024 Connecticut Republican presidential primary. The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary.
See main article: 2024 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary. The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.
The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024.
| Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | Round 6 | Round 7 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||||||||||
| 37 | 34.9% | +1 | 38 | 35.8% | 38 | 37.6% | +3 | 41 | 41.0% | +1 | 42 | 42.4% | +2 | 44 | 44.4% | +5 | 49 | 51.0% | ||||||
| 12 | 11.3% | 12 | 11.3% | +1 | 13 | 12.9% | +1 | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +4 | 20 | 20.2% | +4 | 24 | 25.0% | ||||||
| 14 | 14.6% | 14 | 13.2% | 14 | 13.9% | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +2 | 18 | 18.2% | +5 | 23 | 24.0% | ||||||||
| 10 | 9.4% | +1 | 11 | 10.4% | 11 | 10.9% | 11 | 11.0% | +2 | 13 | 13.1% | +4 | 17 | 17.2% | –17 | Eliminated | ||||||||
| 9 | 8.5% | 9 | 8.5% | 9 | 8.9% | +1 | 10 | 10.0% | +2 | 12 | 12.1% | –12 | Eliminated | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.9% | +2 | 10 | 10.0% | –10 | Eliminated | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.9% | –8 | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||||
| None of the above | 6 | 5.7% | 6 | 5.7% | –6 | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3.8% | –4 | Eliminated | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Active ballots | 106 | –5 | 101 | –1 | 100 | –1 | 99 | –3 | 96 | |||||||||||||||
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | December 19, 2023 | ||
| Inside Elections | April 26, 2023 | ||
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | June 29, 2023 | ||
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | December 14, 2023 | ||
| CNalysis | December 30, 2023 | ||
| CNN | January 14, 2024 | ||
| The Economist | August 28, 2024 | ||
| 538 | August 23, 2024 | ||
| RCP | June 26, 2024 | ||
| NBC News | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||||
| John Zogby Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-05-01" | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 55% | 38% | 7% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-10-21" | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-09-09" | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% | |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | data-sort-value="2022-07-27" | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value="2022-05-11" | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% | |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Harris won all five congressional districts, performing the best in the fourth district to match Biden's strongest result there in 2020. However, she ceded ground by 1.71% to 3.99% across districts compared to 2020 despite a uniform victory. Such a result was also consistent with her underperformance in comparison to Democratic nominees for the election to the House of Representatives.
Conversely, Trump outran Republican nominees in three out of five districts, earning a poorer result in the third and fifth districts. He still improved on his 2020 performance in all five districts, gaining 2.01% to 3.77% more votes.[6] [7]
| District | Harris | Trump | Harris vs House[8] | Harris vs 2020 | Trump vs House | Trump vs 2020 | Representative | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.61% | 37.67% | −2.52% | −2.69% | +2.85% | +2.45% | John B. Larson | ||||||||||
| 53.01% | 45.29% | −5.01% | −1.71% | +3.31% | +2.01% | Joe Courtney | ||||||||||
| 55.94% | 42.11% | −2.91% | −3.29% | −0.96% | +2.60% | Rosa DeLauro | ||||||||||
| 60.83% | 37.59% | −0.20% | −3.99% | +0.23% | +3.77% | Jim Himes | ||||||||||
| 51.89% | 46.51% | −1.49% | −2.74% | −0.11% | +2.63% | Jahana Hayes |
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