2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Country:Connecticut
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Next Year:2028
Image1:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kamala Harris
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Tim Walz
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Florida
Running Mate2:JD Vance
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

A New England state, Connecticut last voted for a Republican candidate in 1988. It is a strongly blue state, voting for Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 20%.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2] [3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[5]

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Connecticut Republican presidential primary. The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary.[6]

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary. The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024.[7]

2024 Connecticut Libertarian straw poll
CandidateRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
3734.9%+13835.8%3837.6%+34141.0%+14242.4%+24444.4%+54951.0%
1211.3%1211.3%+11312.9%+11414.0%+21616.2%+42020.2%+42425.0%
1414.6%1413.2%1413.9%1414.0%+21616.2%+21818.2%+52324.0%
109.4%+11110.4%1110.9%1111.0%+21313.1%+41717.2%–17Eliminated
98.5%98.5%98.9%+11010.0%+21212.1%–12Eliminated
76.6%+187.5%87.9%+21010.0%–10Eliminated
76.6%+187.5%87.9%–8Eliminated
None of the above65.7%65.7%–6Eliminated
43.8%–4Eliminated
Active ballots106–5101–1100–199–396

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[8] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[9] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[12] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[13] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[14] June 12, 2024
538[15] June 11, 2024
RCP[16] June 26, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[17] data-sort-value="2022-10-21" October 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Emerson College[18] data-sort-value="2022-09-09" September 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[19] data-sort-value="2022-07-27" July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%9%
Emerson College[20] data-sort-value="2022-05-11" May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%11%

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. News: Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision. Kinery . Emma. April 25, 2023. CNBC.
  3. News: Levine . Sam . Gambino . Lauren . 2024-07-22 . Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit . 2024-07-22 . The Guardian . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  4. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . The Washington Post . July 22, 2024.
  5. News: Gold . Michael . Nehamas . Nicholas . March 13, 2024 . Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations . July 22, 2024 . The New York Times . 0362-4331 . March 13, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240313034919/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html . live.
  6. Web site: Election Calendars .
  7. Web site: The winner of our LPCT Presidential Primary straw poll is @ChaseForLiberty.. x.com.
  8. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  14. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  15. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  16. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  17. Web site: Connecticut 2022: Incumbents Blumenthal & Lamont Maintain Leads Ahead of Midterm Elections. Camille. Mumford. October 25, 2022. Emerson Polling.
  18. Web site: Emerson College.
  19. Web site: New poll shows Blumenthal ahead in U.S. Senate race by double digits and that many voters don't know his challengers. August 1, 2022.
  20. Web site: Emerson Polling - Connecticut 2022 Poll: Lamont Leads Stefanowski in Gubernatorial Election. emersonpolling.reportablenews.com.