See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado |
| Country: | Colorado |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Colorado |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | California |
| Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
| Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | Florida |
| Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Colorado voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1]
A Mountain West state that was formerly Republican leaning, no Republican has won Colorado by double digits at the presidential level since Ronald Reagan in his 1984 landslide re-election victory. Colorado was consistently competitive at the presidential level from the late 1980s going through the 2010s, including Hillary Clinton narrowly winning the state by 4.9% in 2016. In 2020, Democrat Joe Biden carried the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Colorado by a double-digit margin since Reagan. The last Republican to win the Centennial State's electoral votes was George W. Bush in his 2004 re-election victory, which he won by a margin of 4.67%. Since then, the state has shifted substantially to the left. Today, Colorado is a slightly-to-moderately blue state,[2] with Democrats winning the state in every presidential election starting in 2008, and occupying every statewide office since 2023, but recent polls for 2024 have indicated a tighter race for the state.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for re-election to a second term, but withdrew from the race on July 21,[3] [4] and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[5]
See main article: 2024 Colorado Democratic presidential primary. The Colorado Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
See main article: 2024 Colorado Republican presidential primary. The Colorado Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
See main article: Trump v. Anderson.
See also: 2024 presidential eligibility of Donald Trump.
The Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, a left-leaning non-profit, filed a lawsuit on behalf of four Republicans and independent voters, saying that Donald Trump is ineligible to run for president because of a section in the 14th Amendment that states "no person shall ... hold any office, civil or military, under the United States ... who, having previously taken an oath .... as an officer of the United States ... shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof". A trial on this case took place during October and November 2023.[6] [7] The judge found that Trump engaged in insurrection but declined to remove Trump from the primary ballot, saying there is "scant direct evidence regarding whether the Presidency is one of the positions subject to disqualification".[8] [9] On December 19, 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court ruled that Trump is disqualified from the Presidency under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment and ordered that Trump be removed from the 2024 Colorado Republican presidential primary ballot.[10] [11] [12]
Trump appealed this ruling to the Supreme Court of the United States, and arguments were heard in February.[13] The Colorado decision was stayed pending appeal, and Trump was included on the certified ballot, which began to be mailed to overseas voters on January 20.[14] On March 4, 2024, the Supreme Court issued a ruling unanimously reversing the Colorado Supreme Court decision, ruling that states had no authority to remove Trump from their ballots, and this was instead a power held by Congress.[15]
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[16] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[17] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[20] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | The Economist[21] | August 15, 2024 | |
| 538[22] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[23] | June 26, 2024 |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[24] | data-sort-value="2024-07-08" | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | 10% | |
| McLaughlin and Associates (R)[25] | data-sort-value="2024-06-15" | June 9–11, 2024 | 725 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% | |
| John Zogby Strategies[26] | data-sort-value="2024-05-01" | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 49% | 43% | 8% | |
| New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)[27] | data-sort-value="2024-04-03" | March 15–19, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% | |
| Florida Atlantic University[28] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 170 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% | ||
| 179 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||||
| Emerson College[29] | data-sort-value="2024-01-29" | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,856 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 35% | 24% | |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[30] | data-sort-value="2024-02-28" | January 22–28, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% | |
| YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[31] | data-sort-value="2024-01-29" | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% | |
| Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)[32] | data-sort-value="2023-11-28" | November 26–27, 2023 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 36% | 19% | |
| Emerson College[33] | data-sort-value="2023-10-16" | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | 20% | |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[34] | data-sort-value="2023-05-09" | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 39% | 12% | |
| Emerson College[35] | data-sort-value="2022-10-29" | October 26–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% | |
| Emerson College[36] | data-sort-value="2022-09-19" | September 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% | |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[37] | data-sort-value="2022-07-26" | July 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 6% | |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[38] | data-sort-value="2022-04-08" | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Ron DeSantis | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder | data-sort-value="2024-01-29" | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 33% | 21% | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | data-sort-value="2023-05-09" | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican