See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in California |
Country: | California |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | yes |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in California |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in California |
Next Year: | 2028 |
President | |
Before Election: | Joe Biden |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Image1: | Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Kamala Harris |
Home State1: | California |
Running Mate1: | Tim Walz |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Nominee2: | Donald Trump |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Home State2: | Florida |
Running Mate2: | JD Vance |
The 2024 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.[2]
The most populous state in the Union as well as one of the most Democratic, California is a deeply blue state today and has voted Democratic in every presidential election starting in 1992. It has done so by double digits in each of them excluding 2004, when John Kerry won it by 9.95%. It is thus expected that California will be continue its streak, with Vice President Kamala Harris – a native Californian who served as the state's Attorney General from 2011 to 2017 and later represented it in the U.S. Senate from 2017 to 2021 before assuming the vice presidency – being the Democratic nominee for president.
Harris is the first Californian to appear on a major party presidential ticket since Ronald Reagan in 1984, and if elected, she will be the fourth president from California after Herbert Hoover, Richard Nixon, and Reagan, as well as the first Californian and Western Democrat to do so.[3] [4]
In April 2024, the American Independent Party of California nominated independent candidate, environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (whom resides in the state) as its presidential nominee, despite not seeking the party's nomination.[5]
See main article: 2024 California Democratic presidential primary. The California Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won all 424 pledged delegates with nearly 90% of the vote, the largest share of delegates awarded by any contest in the 2024 primaries.
See main article: 2024 California Republican presidential primary. The California Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 60 points and earning all 169 delegates.
The state was the site of the second Republican primary debate, held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library on September 27, 2023.
See main article: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries. Charles Ballay was the only candidate to qualify for the Libertarian Party primary ballot.[6] Chase Oliver later qualified as a write-in candidate.[7]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
---|---|---|---|
Charles Ballay | 21,906 | 98.6% | |
Chase Oliver (write-in) | 313 | 1.4% | |
Total: | 22,219 | 100.0% |
See main article: 2024 Green Party presidential primaries. Jill Stein, the Green Party's nominee for president in 2012 and 2016, was the only candidate on the California primary ballot, although she was followed by three write-in candidates. Stein won the primary and earned all 59 of the state's delegates.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jill Stein | 15,801 | 99.96% | 59 | |
Matthew Pruden (write-in) | 3 | 0.02% | ||
Jorge Zavala (write-in) | 3 | 0.02% | ||
Davi (write-in) | 1 | 0.00% | ||
Total: | 15,808 | 100.0% | 59 |
Three candidates successfully achieved ballot access in the Peace and Freedom Party non-binding presidential primary: Claudia de la Cruz, the nominee for the Party for Socialism and Liberation; Cornel West, who is running an independent campaign after withdrawing from the Green nomination; and Jasmine Sherman.[9] The party's presidential nominee will be chosen by the state central committee in August.[10]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
---|---|---|---|
Claudia de la Cruz | 6,430 | 47.0% | |
Cornel West | 5,455 | 39.9% | |
Jasmine Sherman | 1,795 | 13.1% | |
Total: | 13,680 | 100.0% |
The sole candidate of the American Independent Party primary was James Bradley, who was simultaneously running for U.S. Senator as a Republican in the blanket primary held on the same day.[11] Andrew George Rummel also qualified as an official write-in candidate.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
---|---|---|---|
James Bradley | 45,565 | 99.96% | |
Andrew George Rummel (write-in) | 16 | 0.04% | |
Total: | 45,581 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[12] | December 19, 2023 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[13] | April 26, 2023 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | June 29, 2023 | |
align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[15] | December 14, 2023 | |
align=left | CNalysis[16] | December 30, 2023 | |
align=left | CNN[17] | January 14, 2024 | |
align=left | The Economist[18] | June 12, 2024 | |
538[19] | June 11, 2024 | ||
RCP[20] | June 26, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote[21] | data-sort-value="2024-08-19" | August 2–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 65% | 35% | – | |
UC Berkeley IGS[22] | data-sort-value="2024-08-11" | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 3,765 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 34% | 7% | |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[23] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Robert Kennedy Jr | Cornel West | Jill Stein | Chase Oliver | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Weekly[24] | data-sort-value="2024-07-27" | July 25–27, 2024 | 1,904 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 2% | – | – | ||
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[25] | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 19–22, 2024 | 2,121 (LV) | – | 54% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 4% | – | 2% | ||
Capitol Weekly[26] | data-sort-value="2024-07-14" | July 12–14, 2024 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 54% | 35% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other / Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Institute of California[27] | June 24 – July 2, 2024 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 30% | 15% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[28] | May 23 – June 2, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 31% | 14% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[29] | March 19–25, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 31% | 14% | |||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[30] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% | |||
UC Berkeley IGS[31] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% | |||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[32] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[33] | February 6–14, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% | |||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[34] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% | |||
UC Berkeley IGS[35] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% | |||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[36] | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% | |||
UC Berkeley IGS[37] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[38] | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% | |||
Data Viewpoint[39] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[40] | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17% | |||
UC Berkeley IGS[41] | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[42] | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% | |||
Public Policy Institute of California[43] | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% | |||
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[44] | data-sort-value="2023-02-20" | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Cornel West | Jill Stein | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Weekly[45] | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 19–22, 2024 | 2,121 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 3% | |
Capitol Weekly[46] | data-sort-value="2024-07-14" | July 12–14, 2024 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 51% | 33% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 5% | |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% | ||
UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% | ||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% | ||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% | ||
UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% | ||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis