2024 United States presidential election in Alabama explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in Alabama
Country:Alabama
Type:Presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in Alabama
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in Alabama
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Home State2:California
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Tim Walz

The 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Alabama voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alabama has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

As a Bible Belt state in the Deep South, Alabama is one of the most socially conservative states in the nation. Being a strongly red state, it is expected to remain a safe Republican state in 2024. Following the national Democratic Party's leftward shift in the mid-20th century, the only Democrat to win the Alabaman popular vote in a presidential election after John F. Kennedy in 1960 was Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. Since then, the only Democrats to come within single digits of winning the state at this level were Carter in 1980 and fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in his 1990s nationwide victories.

No presidential Democrat has won more than 40% of the vote in Alabama since Al Gore of neighboring Tennessee in 2000. Democratic support in Alabama today is often vastly concentrated on the state's largest city of Birmingham and the majority-African American Black Belt.[2]

Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[3] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.

Former Republican President Donald Trump is running for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020.[5]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Alabama Democratic presidential primary. The Alabama Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary. The Alabama Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

General election

Alabama secretary of state Wes Allen informed the Democratic National Committee that state law would not permit certification in time, as the 2024 Democratic National Convention takes place days after the state deadline.[6] The following month, legislation was approved extending the deadline, allowing Biden to appear on the ballot.[7]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[8] December 19, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[9] April 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] June 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] December 14, 2023
align=left CNalysis[12] December 30, 2023
align=left CNN[13] January 14, 2024
align=left The Economist[14] June 12, 2024
538[15] June 11, 2024
RCP[16] June 26, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . February 7, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
  2. Web site: 270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map . 2024-03-12 . 270toWin.com.
  3. Web site: Kinery, Emma . April 25, 2023 . Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230425102004/https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/25/joe-biden-announces-2024-reelection-campaign.html . April 25, 2023 . April 25, 2023 . CNBC.
  4. News: Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside . July 21, 2024 . The Washington Post.
  5. Web site: Orr, Gabby . November 16, 2022 . Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024 . October 8, 2023 . CNN.com . en.
  6. Web site: Biden may miss window to appear on Alabama's presidential ballot, secretary of state says. CNN. April 9, 2024. May 3, 2024. Jack Forrest.
  7. Web site: Alabama lawmakers approve legislation to ensure President Biden is on the November ballot. Associated Press. May 2, 2024. May 3, 2024. Kim Chandler.
  8. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
  9. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
  10. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
  11. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  12. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
  13. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
  14. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
  15. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . June 11, 2024.
  16. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
  17. Web site: Alabama voters support Tuberville military hold abortion protest, poll says. September 11, 2023. archive.today. August 8, 2024. September 11, 2023. https://archive.today/20230911014830/https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/senate/new-poll-shows-alabama-voters-support-tuberville-military-hold. bot: unknown.