2024 United States Senate election in Washington explained

Election Name:	2024 United States Senate election in Washington
Country:	Washington
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2018 United States Senate election in Washington
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2030 United States Senate election in Washington
Next Year:	2030
Election Date:	November 5, 2024
Image1:	Maria Cantwell (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Maria Cantwell
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:	Raul Garcia
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
U.S. Senator
Before Election:	Maria Cantwell
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 United States Senate election in Washington will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was first elected in 2000, narrowly defeating Republican incumbent Slade Gorton. In her most recent re-election campaign, Cantwell won with 58.3% of the vote in 2018. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.^[1]

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

• Maria Cantwell, incumbent U.S. senator^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• Paul Giesick, blue collar worker^[3]

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

• Raul Garcia, physician and candidate for governor in 2020^[4]

Eliminated in primary

• Goodspaceguy, amateur astronomer and perennial candidate^[3]
• Isaac Holyk, software development company CEO and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022^[3]
• Scott Nazarino, financial consultant and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016^[3]
• Mel Ram, private investigator^[3]

Declined

• John Guenther, retired state employee and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (ran for U.S. House)^[5]

Third party and independent candidates

Eliminated in primary

• Thor Amundson (Independent), project expediter and perennial candidate^[3]
• Henry Dennison (Socialist Workers), political organizer and perennial candidate^[3]
• Chuck Jackson (Independent), merchant mariner and perennial candidate^[3]
• David Tilton (Independent), data analyst^[3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Maria Cantwell (D)	$11,651,974	$5,128,836	$7,093,030
	Raul Garcia (R)	$558,646	$394,077	$164,568
	Isaac Holyk (R)	$6,846	$7,278	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[6]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[7]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections^[8]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[9]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ/The Hill^[10]		June 8, 2024
align=left	Elections Daily^[11]		May 4, 2023
align=left	CNalysis^[12]		November 21, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Maria Cantwell (D)	Raul	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	July 24–25, 2024	581 (LV)	± 4.0%		55%	32%	13%
SurveyUSA	July 10–13, 2024	564 (LV)	± 5.1%		58%	37%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)	May 15–16, 2024	615 (LV)	± 4.0%		53%	38%	9%
Elway Research	data-sort-value="2024-05-24"	May 13–16, 2024	403 (RV)	± 5%		39%	30%	31%
Echelon Insights	March 18–21, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.7%		44%	36%	20%
Public Policy Polling (D)	February 13–14, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%		53%	37%	10%
Public Policy Polling (D)	data-sort-value="2023-06-08"	November 14–15, 2023	700 (LV)	± 3.7%		51%	38%	11%
Elway Research	data-sort-value="2023-11-03"	October 30 – November 3, 2023	403 (RV)	± 5%		43%	23%	34%

Maria Cantwell vs. Jaime Herrera Beutler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Maria Cantwell (D)	Jaime	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	data-sort-value="2023-06-08"	June 7–8, 2023	773 (LV)	± 3.5%		52%	37%	11%
Public Policy Polling (D)	March 7–8, 2023	874 (LV)	± 3.3%		50%	35%	14%

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Maria Cantwell (D) for Senate
• Raul Garcia (R) for Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: 2024 State Primary Election Dates . 2023-08-06 . www.ncsl.org.
2. Web site: Everett . Burgess . Will Women US Senators Run the Table in 2024? . Smart Politics . April 13, 2023 . July 7, 2023. eight of the 14 women in the chamber up for election have already announced they are seeking another term: Republican Deb Fischer of Nebraska and Democrats Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, Jacky Rosen of Nevada (pictured), Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Maria Cantwell of Washington, and Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin..
3. Web site: PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List . 2024-05-09 . voter.votewa.gov.
4. Web site: Sowersby . Shauna . Raul Garcia drops out of governor's race, will run for US Senate in 2024 . July 7, 2023 . . 7 July 2023.
5. News: Dinman . Emry . Brian Dansel and John Guenther enter race for Congress; Michael Baumgartner, Nadine Woodward considering . The Spokesman-Review . February 16, 2024 . February 16, 2024 . [Guenther] initially planned to run for Senate again, this time against Cantwell, but decided to run for U.S. House.
6. Web site: 2024 Election United States Senate - Washington . fec.gov . . August 11, 2023.
7. Web site: 2024 Senate Race ratings . 2023-01-25 . Cook Political Report . en.
8. Web site: January 6, 2023. January 10, 2023 . Senate Ratings . Inside Elections.
9. Web site: January 24, 2023. February 13, 2023 . 2024 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball.
10. Web site: 2024 Senate prediction map . June 8, 2024 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . June 8, 2024.
11. Web site: 2023-08-01 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-02 . Elections Daily . en-US.
12. Web site: '24 Senate Forecast . November 21, 2023 . CNalysis . en-US.