2024 United States Senate election in Utah explained

Election Name:2024 United States Senate election in Utah
Country:Utah
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2018 United States Senate election in Utah
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2030 United States Senate election in Utah
Next Year:2030
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Image1:CurtisHeadShotOfficial (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:John Curtis
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:Caroline Gleich
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
U.S. senator
Before Election:Mitt Romney
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2024 United States Senate election in Utah will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Utah. Republican congressman John Curtis and Democratic skier Caroline Gleich are seeking their first term in office. The winner will succeed Republican incumbent Mitt Romney, who is not seeking a second term.[1]

At the Utah Democratic convention on April 27, Gleich won the nomination with 92.5% of the first ballot. Curtis won the Republican nomination in the June 25 primary with 49% of the vote over Riverton mayor Trent Staggs and former state House speaker Brad Wilson.[2] Democrats have not held a Senate seat in Utah since 1977.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

Withdrawn

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
John Curtis (R)$3,796,591$3,607,565$575,864
Trent Staggs (R)$1,247,183$871,934$375,248
Jason Walton (R)$2,882,658$2,620,544$262,114
Brad Wilson (R)$5,019,090$4,465,090$554,000
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Curtis
Trent
Staggs
Jason
Walton
Brad
Wilson
OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive InsightsJune 20–21, 2024432 (LV)± 4.7%48%28%6%9%7%2%
HarrisXJune 4–7, 2024469 (RV)± 4.5%34%16%4%12%33%
47%21%8%24%
Guidant Polling and StrategyApril 30 – May 3, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%41%15%2%9%33%
Noble Predictive InsightsApril 8–16, 2024283 (RV)± 5.8%27%5%2%10%15%41%
Dan Jones & AssociatesJanuary 16–21, 2024428 (RV)± 4.74%18%3%1%8%18%52%
Guidant Polling and StrategyNovember 28–
December 5, 2023
600 (RV)± 4.0%40%6%11%43%
44%12%44%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Deidre
Henderson
Mike
Kennedy
Sean
Reyes
Mitt
Romney
Trent
Staggs
Brad
Wilson
OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & AssociatesAugust 7–14, 2023803 (RV)± 3.5%44%3%6%32%14%
Noble Predictive InsightsJuly 7–18, 2023301 (RV)± 5.7%3%5%13%30%3%5%39%
8%7%16%4%7%55%

Convention results

State Republican convention results, 2024 - style="background:#eee; text-align:center;" ! rowspan=2 style="text-align:center;" Candidate ! colspan=2 style="text-align:center;" Round 1 ! colspan=2 style="text-align:center;" Round 2 ! colspan=2 style="text-align:center;" Round 3 Round 4
Votes ! % Votes ! % Votes ! % Votes %
1342 42.64% 1571 51.68% 1686 57.68% 1892 69.74%
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" 683 21.70% 683 22.47% 721 24.67% 821 30.26%
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" 411 13.06% 356 11.71% 273 9.34% ! colspan=6 style="text-align:center;"
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" Brad Wilson 242 7.69% 162 5.56% 142 4.86% ! colspan=6 style="text-align:center;"
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" Jason Walton 224 7.12% 139 4.57% 101 3.46% ! colspan=6 style="text-align:center;" - - ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" Chandler Tanner 82 2.61% 69 2.27% ! colspan=8 style="text-align:center;" - - ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" Brent Hatch 107 3.40% 53 1.74% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;" - - ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" Josh Randall 47 1.49% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;" - -

! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"

Brian Jenkins 5 0.16% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;" - - ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;" Jeremy Friedbaum 4 0.13% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;" - -

! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"

Inactive Ballots ! colspan="2" 0 ballots ! colspan="2" 0 ballots ! colspan="2" 5 ballots 21 ballots

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Results

Convention

State Democratic Convention results, 2024
CandidateFirst ballotPct.
Caroline Gleich79592.5%
Laird Hamblin485.6%
Archie Williams161.9%
Total

Independent American convention

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[22] November 9, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[23] November 9, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] November 9, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[25] June 8, 2024
align=left Elections Daily[26] May 4, 2023
align=left CNalysis[27] November 21, 2023

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
John Curtis (R)$4,497,486$4,058,071$826,255
Caroline Gleich (D)$756,449$664,929$91,520
Carlton Bowen (IA)$16,084$15,200$884
Source: Federal Election Commission[28]

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Romney Won't Run for Reelection, Opening GOP Primary Fight. September 13, 2023. Cook Political.
  2. Web site: 2024 State Primary Election Dates . 2023-08-06 . www.ncsl.org.
  3. News: Rep. John Curtis officially running for Romney's senate seat . Aerts . Lindsay . January 2, 2024. January 2, 2024 . KSL Newsradio.
  4. Web site: Bates . Suzanne . Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs announces run for Mitt Romney's Senate seat . . 23 May 2023.
  5. News: Irwin . Lauren . Utah House speaker joins race to replace Romney . September 28, 2023 . . September 27, 2023.
  6. Web site: Brent Hatch, Orrin's son, joins Senate race to replace Mitt Romney. Bates. Suzanne. January 2, 2024. January 2, 2024. Deseret News.
  7. News: Ballots & Boundaries . September 15, 2023 . . September 15, 2023.
  8. News: . October 30, 2023 . These Utahns are running for Mitt Romney's seat in the U.S. Senate. October 20, 2023 . Anderson Stern, Emily .
  9. Web site: Tomco . Brigham . Roosevelt mayor opts for House bid, says background in energy sector makes him 'a good fit' . . 4 January 2024 . 3 January 2024 . Roosevelt Mayor Rod Bird Jr. ended his U.S. Senate campaign Wednesday, filing instead to run for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District..
  10. News: Woodruff . Daniel . Utah governor not considering run for U.S. Senate. September 15, 2023 . . September 14, 2023 .
  11. News: September 13, 2023 . September 14, 2023 . Winslow . Ben . . As Romney exits, Republicans line up to replace him . Former House Speaker Greg Hughes, who recently lost a bid for GOP nomination for the 2nd Congressional District, said he was not interested in running for the seat..
  12. Web site: Pignanelli . Frank . Webb . LaVarr . September 13, 2023 . Opinion: Who will replace Mitt Romney? . September 13, 2023 . Deseret News.
  13. Web site: Former Utah GOP chair Carson Jorgensen jumps into governor's race. Bojórquez. Kim. January 5, 2024. January 5, 2024. Axios.
  14. News: Tomco . Brigham . September 18, 2023 . The latest on who might run for Romney's Senate seat: Robert O'Brien announces his decision . September 18, 2023 . Deseret News.
  15. News: 10 August 2023 . . A group of 60 members of the Utah Legislature are pushing Brad Wilson to run for the U.S. Senate seat held by Mitt Romney.. 10 August 2023 . Everett . Burgess . Adragna . Anthony .
  16. News: . September 28, 2023 . Schott . Bryan . September 28, 2023 . Josh Romney won't run to replace his father in the Senate next year.
  17. News: . 13 September 2023 . 13 September 2023 . Mitt Romney says he will not seek a second term in the Senate. Balz . Dan .
  18. Web site: Sources say Rep. Chris Stewart, who represents Utah’s 2nd Congressional District, and Rep. John Curtis, who represents Utah’s 3rd Congressional District, have thought about running . April 13, 2023 . Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat . April 14, 2023 . Deseret News . en . Bates, Suzanne.
  19. Web site: Schott . Bryan . Breaking: Rep. Chris Stewart plans to resign from Congress . . 30 May 2023.
  20. News: . April 27, 2024 . April 27, 2024 . Utah Democrats nominate Caroline Gleich for Senate, Katrina Fallick-Wang for House. Lewis, Scott .
  21. Web site: 2024 Candidate Filings – Utah Voter Information . 2024-01-06 . vote.utah.gov.
  22. Web site: 2024 Senate Race ratings . 2023-01-25 . Cook Political Report . en.
  23. Web site: January 6, 2023. January 10, 2023 . Senate Ratings . Inside Elections.
  24. Web site: January 24, 2023. February 13, 2023 . 2024 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  25. Web site: 2024 Senate prediction map . June 8, 2024 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . June 8, 2024.
  26. Web site: 2023-08-01 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-02 . Elections Daily . en-US.
  27. Web site: '24 Senate Forecast . November 21, 2023 . CNalysis . en-US.
  28. Web site: 2024 Election United States Senate - Utah . fec.gov . . August 4, 2024.