2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee should not be confused with 2024 Tennessee Senate election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee |
| Country: | Tennessee |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee |
| Previous Year: | 2018 |
| Next Election: | 2030 United States Senate election in Tennessee |
| Next Year: | 2030 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Image1: | Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) official headshot - 116th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Marsha Blackburn |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Nominee2: | Gloria Johnson |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| U.S. senator | |
| Before Election: | Marsha Blackburn |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn will face off against state representative Gloria Johnson. This is the first all-woman general election for a Tennessee senate seat.[1]
The primaries took place on August 1, 2024, with Blackburn and Johnson winning their respective party nominations.
At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 presidential election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.
Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.
| Campaign finance reports as of July 12, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $36,054 | $35,691 | $364 | |
| Gloria Johnson (D) | $5,046,183 | $3,009,194 | $2,048,985 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marquita Bradshaw | Gloria Johnson | Civil Miller-Watkins | Other | Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 282 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 7% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 52% | |||
| Targoz Market Research | December 14–28, 2023 | 251 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 11% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[8] | November 9, 2023 | ||
| align=left | Inside Elections[9] | November 9, 2023 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | November 9, 2023 | ||
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] | June 8, 2024 | ||
| align=left | Elections Daily[12] | May 4, 2023 | ||
| align=left | CNalysis[13] | November 21, 2023 |
| Campaign finance reports as of July 12, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
| Marsha Blackburn (R) | $14,501,964 | $6,339,437 | $8,776,627 | |
| Gloria Johnson (D) | $5,069,008 | $3,009,194 | $2,048,985 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[14] | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Gloria Johnson (D) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,124 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 49% | 32% | 19% | ||
| 944 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 52% | 32% | 16% | ||||
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% | ||
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 955 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 45% | 29% | 26% | ||
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 49% | 29% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Marquita Bradshaw (D) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,124 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 51% | 33% | 17% | ||
| 942 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 54% | 33% | 14% | ||||
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 947 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 46% | 22% | 32% | ||
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 824 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 48% | 36% | 17% |